Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values
The problem with research lies in hiding the Hanbali approach in building long and short travel provisions, as well as hiding some provisions relating to short travel that are not provided for by the jurists of Hanbali (in their books).
The research aims to demonstrate the approach and standards on which they based the long and short travel provisions, as well as to reflect the provisions of some of the issues that are silent on long and short travel, with evidence and significance.
The research included a preface and two researches, the researcher in the preface talked about the reality of long and short travel, in the first research on the approach of ha
... Show More There are many economic and financial visions that were mentioned in the book (Al-Anis Al-Mutreb in Rawd Al-Qirtas in the News of the Kings of Morocco and the History of the City of Fez). As this valuable book includes between its two covers, narrations that reveal important and pioneering events and practices that took place and were applied in the recent past on the scene of the countries of the Maghreb. This prompted the officials in the Marinid state to take quick measures to address and confront what happened. Despite the large number and severity of these repercussions and interactions, it is not the nature of this research to download texts and visions beyond what they can bear, but
... Show Moreالتسليات في البلدان الاسلامية مشاهد حياة الطرب والالات الموسيقية كما يعكسها الفن
يهدف البحث التعرف على اثر استراتيجية القوائم المركزة في تحصيل مادة الكيمياء عند طلاب الصف الثاني المتوسط وتم استخدام المنهد التجريبي ذو الضبط الجزئي وكذلك تم اختيار مجامع البحث جميع طلاب المدارس الثانوية والمتوسطة التابعة لمديرية تربية كربلاء
The transition structure is considered as the most important hydraulic structure controlling the w/s transtion, morever it decrease the scouring of outlet structure.
seven experiment samples for transition structure was used in this research at different angles ( 10° - 90° ).
It was shown that froud number has a clear effect on the depth of the scouring, morever the high discharge rates cause an increase of the ratio between the length of the scour and its depth.
In order to select the best flaring angle it was shown that the angle of 40° has the most discharge rate, least structure length and least angle scour depth, with the firmly of t
... Show Moreوقائع واوراق ندوة (السياسة الخارجية الامريكية في عهد اوباما) التي عقدها فرع الدراسات الدولية في 25 تشرين الثاني 2009
Abstract: The researcher aims to highlight the historical frames of political development in royal regime era (1921-1949) and study its transitions on social-political aspect for the various periods during this consistent era of Iraq history. As some elements played an important role in shaping this era’s features ,as well as 2hat succeed it, which mainly affected the political progression’s configuration, such as : political culture role, social and cultural foundation, state policy essence and the unofficial institutions remarkable role in influencing public awareness and concerning it's relation to the state ,the clan and religious institutions. The researcher employed Alexis de Tocqueville’s evaluation criteria and indi
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