Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequency squares method by "Kalman filter" and "forgetting factor" to obtain the best predictable way for the future using data from the Social Security Department for workers and from the period 1/2013 to 6/2019 where The method of least squares "OLS" was compared with the method of iterative least squares "RLS" by "Karman Filter" and found that "OLS" method is the best according to the comparison measures "RMSE, MAPE" and it gave accurate results close to the real values
بالنظر الظروف الراهنة التي يمر بها قطرنا ونتيجة للارتفاع معدل الاصابة بالامراض ذات الطابع النفسي – جسمي او ما تعرف بامراض سوء التكيف الناتج عن الضغوط النفسية المستمرة.
ارتأت الحاجة الى دراسة هذا النوع من المرض والتي ترجعها الباحثة الى الاسباب التالية :.
1-تعرض المواطن العراقي الى ضغوط نفسية مستمرة متمثلة بحالة الانفلات الامني والشعور بالقلق المستمر المراف
... Show MoreDie vorliegende Forschung erklärt ein sprachliches Phänomen im Deutschen und Arabischen, dessen Aspekte die Grund-Folge-Relation (Kausalität) im Allgemeinen sowie den wirkungslosen Gegengrund (Konzessivität) im Besonderen behandeln.
In diesem Kontext wird der Unterschied der verschiedenartigen Gründe der Kausalität im Deutschen, wie wirklicher Grund (kausal), möglicher Grund (konditional) und wirkungsloser bzw. unzureichender Gegengrund (konzessiv) gezeigt.
Die theoretischen Darlegungen der konzessiven Ausdrucksmittel in dieser Forschungsarbeit werden durch diverse praktische Beispiele aus der deutschen und arabischen Literatur fundamentiert.
Das Hauptziel dieser For
... Show MoreSloped solar chimney system is a solar chimney power plant with a sloped collector. Practically, the sloped collector can function as a chimney, then the chimney height can be reduced and the construction cost would be reduced.The continuity, Naver-stockes, energy and radiation transfer equations have been solved and carried out by Fluent software. The governing equations are solved for incompressible, 3-D, steady, turbulent standard model with Boussiuesq approximation to develop for the sloped solar chimney system in this study and evaluate the performance of solar chimney power plant in Baghdad city of Iraq numerically by Fluent (14) software with orking conditions such as solar radiation intensity (30
... Show MoreAbstract:
The research aims to shed light on the Corona pandemic and its repercussions on the global economy in general, and on the activities of Iraqi economic units in particular. It also aims to show the impact of the auditor’s reporting on the effects of the Corona pandemic on economic units and its reflection on the quality of his reporting. To achieve the objectives of the research, the researcher prepared a questionnaire according to the five-point Likert scale and took into account in its preparation compatibility with the characteristics of the study community, and that the target community for this questionnaire are the economic units listed in the Iraq Stock Exchange that have complet
... Show Moreهدف البحث الى الكشف عن فاعلية استراتيجية المماثلة في تحصيل مادة الكيمياء والذكاء الانفعالي لطلاب الصف الخامس العلمي الاحيائي. وتكونت عينة البحث من (28 ) طالبا من طلبة الصف الخامس العلمي الاحيائي في اعدادية الشاكرين للبنين, التابعة لمديرية تربية بغداد – الكرخ الثانية, موزعين بين شعبتين بالتساوي, شعبة (أ) وهي المجموعة الضابطة التي درست على وفق الطريقة الاعتيادية, وشعبة ( ب) وهي المجموعة التجريبية والتي درست على و
... Show MoreThe current research aims to identify the multiple intelligences in the fourth students’ acquisition of the literary processes of Arabic grammar and to identify the differences in multiple intelligence according to gender (males - females). The study was determined for students of the fourth literary preparatory Al-Hakim Preparatory (for males) and Rabat Preparatory (for females) of the Second Karkh Education Directorate, topics from the Arabic grammar subject (past tense, present tense, imperative, subject, and object) for the first semester of the academic year 2019-2020. The results showed that there were no statistically significant differences at the significance level (0.05) between the average scores of the students who were tau
... Show MoreThis paper demonstrates the spatial response uniformity (SRU) of two types of heterojunctions (CdS, PbS /Si) laser detectors. The spatial response nonuniformity of these heterojunctions is not significant and it is negligible in comparison with p+- n silicon photodiode. Experimental results show that the uniformity of CdS /Si is better than that of PbS /Si heterojunction
The determiner phrase is a syntactic category that appears inside the noun phrase and makes it definite or indefinite or quantifies it. The present study has found wide parametric differences between the English and Arabic determiner phrases in terms of the inflectional features, the syntactic distribution of determiners and the word order of the determiner phrase itself. In English, the determiner phrase generally precedes the head noun or its premodifying adjectival phrase, with very few exceptions where some determiners may appear after the head noun. In Arabic, parts of the determiner phrase precede the head noun and parts of it must appear after the head noun or after its postmodifying adjectival phrase creating a discontinu
... Show MoreThe present study aimed to know The teaching members’ level of the professional development at the University of Baghdad based on the indicators of the overall quality from their perspective;
The researchers used the descriptive and analytical approach the in order to achieve the purposes of research, the researchers designed questionnaire researched and consisted of 40 paragraph has the questionnaire submitted to the arbitrators and experts were verify the authenticity of the questionnaire and stability have been applied questionnaire on a range of teaching and Tdriciat Baghdad University, which reached the study sample (400) teaching and teaching of six colleges in the University of Baghdad equivalent
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