The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in dete

ملخص الدراسة
سعت الدراسة تعرف اثراستعمال الأنموذج المعملي في تصحيح المفاهيم الرياضية شائعة الخطأ لدى طلاب الصف الأول المتوسط بالإجابة عن السؤال "ما اثر استعمال الأنموذج المعملي في تصحيح المفاهيم الرياضية شائعة الخطأ لدى طلاب الصف الأول المتوسط" ولتحقيق هدف الدراسة وضعت الفرضية الصفرية "لايوجد فرق ذو دلالة إحصائية عند مستوى الدلالة (0.05) بين متوسطي درجات طلاب المجموعة التجريبية الذين يدرسون المادة المقرر

Resumen:

       La traducción de los dos verbos ser y estar no es una tarea tan simple como piensan muchas personas, sino es una de las complicadas y difíciles tareas, ya que el traductor tiene que saber y perfeccionar los correctos casos gramaticales relacionados con esos dos verbos auxiliares  tanto el verbo ser como el verbo estar, especialmente en la frase nominal para que pueda dar una clara y correcta traducción. Usados con el mismo adjetivo, "ser" comunicará una cualidad que es parte de la identidad o naturaleza del sujeto, mientras que "estar" comunicará un estado o circunstancia del mismo. Este e

Magical realism potential bulwark plastic art and literature، and won great fame and Research cash innumerable، and like other currents of literary found his outlet in the art of cinema، quoted cinema of literature magical realism and influenced his concepts، and Arab cinema، it was necessary to have a vulnerability to stream، either Tools employing magical realism، unintentionally since the early beginnings dating back to the time of World Wars I and II، or in deliberate more mature in the twenty-first century، due to the emergence of film-makers more aware and culture، and more friction global currents.

      But this raises a number of problems that need to be addressed from the maker of

This study aims to find out the impact of activities office provided to kindergarten children in the development of creativity in linguistic performance goal of capabilities (fluency, flexibility and originality) through the application of the test configuration Algheih Children Riyadh, which consists of (70) Single to measure the skills of language arts four a listening and speaking and a willingness to read and prepare for writing, was applied (30) Single of language arts, listening and speaking in this research, and was the correlation coefficient for the hearing (0.78) and for speaking was (0.61) has been extracted stability of the scale using the equation Alvakronbach the value of (0.73).

The proper

Many undergraduate learners at English departments who study English as a foreign language are unable to speak and use language correctly in their post -graduate careers.  This problem can be attributed to certain difficulties, which they faced throughout their education years that hinder their endeavors to learn. Therefore, this study aims to discover the main difficulties faced by EFL students in language learning and test the difficulty variable according to gender and college variables then find suitable solutions for enhancing learning.  A questionnaire with 15 items and 5 scales were used to help in discovering the difficulties. The questionnaire was distributed to the selected sample of study wh

يهدف البحث الحالي إلى معرفة اثر التدريس بطريقة التنقيب الحواري في حفظ النصوص الأدبية لدى طلبة قسم اللغة الكردية، اختارت الباحثة طلبة المرحلة الثانية في قسم اللغة الكردية بكلية التربية ابن رشد، للعام الدراسي
(2008-2009) ميدان لتطبيق تجربتها.
تألفت عينة الدراسة من (48) طالبا وطالبة، تم توزيعها عشوائيا إلى مجموعتين، مجموعة ضابطة (درست بالطريقة الاعتيادية) تألفت من (23) طالبا وطالبة ومجموعة تجريبية (درست بطريقة الت

Directional Compact Geographic Forwarding (DCGF) routing protocol promises a minimal overhead generation by utilizing a smart antenna and Quality of Service (QoS) aware aggregation. However, DCGF was tested only in the attack-free scenario without involving the security elements. Therefore, an investigation was conducted to examine the routing protocol algorithm whether it is secure against attack-based networks in the presence of Denial-of-Service (DoS) attack. This analysis on DoS attack was carried out using a single optimal attacker, A1, to investigate the impact of DoS attack on DCGF in a communication link. The study showed that DCGF does not perform efficiently in terms of packet delivery ratio and energy consumption even on a sin

_{Die vorliegende Forschung erklärt ein sprachliches Phänomen im Deutschen und Arabischen, dessen Aspekte die Grund-Folge-Relation (Kausalität) im Allgemeinen sowie den wirkungslosen Gegengrund (Konzessivität) im Besonderen behandeln.}

_{In diesem Kontext wird der Unterschied der verschiedenartigen Gründe der Kausalität im Deutschen, wie wirklicher Grund (kausal), möglicher Grund (konditional) und wirkungsloser bzw. unzureichender Gegengrund (konzessiv) gezeigt.}

_{Die theoretischen Darlegungen der konzessiven Ausdrucksmittel in dieser Forschungsarbeit werden durch diverse praktische Beispiele aus der deutschen und arabischen Literatur fundamentiert.}

_{Das Hauptziel dieser For}