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Compare Prediction by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model from first order with Exponential Weighted Moving Average
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The prediction process of time series for some time-related phenomena, in particular, the autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA) models is one of the important topics in the theory of time series analysis in the applied statistics. Perhaps its importance lies in the basic stages in analyzing of the structure or modeling and the conditions that must be provided in the stochastic process. This paper deals with two methods of predicting the first was a special case of autoregressive integrated moving average which is ARIMA (0,1,1) if the value of the parameter equal to zero, then it is called Random Walk model, the second was the exponential weighted moving average (EWMA). It was implemented in the data of the monthly traffic accidents in the province of Dhi Qar Governorate for the period from (Jan. 2011) to (Aug. 2019). It was found through the research that the model studied is well of the traffic accident, we can predict dangerous traffic accident using this model and reduce the aggravation through Develop plans strategic of the roads.

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2024
Journal Name
مجلة التراث العلمي العربي
التنبيه على ما في تحقيق محمد علي الصابوني لـ ( فتح الرحمن بكشف ما يلتبس في القرآن ) من تغيير وسقط ووهم وتحريف
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(فتح الرحمن بكشف ما يلتبس في القرآن ) لزكريا الأنصاري (ت 926 هـ ) مصنَّف مهم تبارت فيه علوم العربية لفكّ ما يثيره ظاهر آيات قرآنية من لبس لدى المتلقي ، فكان للبلاغة السطوة في ذلك ، ولأهميته طبع طبعات كثيرة ، خمس منها بتحقيق محمد علي الصابوني ، وهو التحقيق المهمين الشائع ، غيرأنه لم يستوفِ الأسلوب العلمي في اخراج النصوص، إذ بدت فيه مزالق كثيرة بينَ تغيير وسقط ووهم وتحريف وتصحيف ودمج مما استنهض فكرة هذا البحث ، للتنب

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Supervisory oversight role for the central bank to raise awareness of the banking supervisory: Applied Research in the Central Bank of Iraq and a sample of the Iraqi private banks
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Representing banking supervision An important function performed by the Iraqi Central Bank, in order to achieve stability in the financial and banking system, and safeguard the rights of depositors, investors and other targets, and to realize the Iraqi Central Bank banking supervision actors on banks, there must be an awareness of regulatory bank's existing control and subject them, as well as the role of banking oversight interested in spreading this awareness.
So sought search to find out the role played by the Iraqi Central Bank in raising awareness of the regulatory banking between the parties to the regulatory process, through the presentation and analysis of the legal framework for banking supervision and awareness supervisory

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The effect of the volume of Capital heldin stock prices: An analytical study in a sample of Iraqi banks listed in the Iraqi Stock Exchange
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 The capital in the bank is the important element in establishing it, because it maintains the banking sector in the event of exposure to losses or risks In addition to contributing to the provision of liquidity And protection of depositors' money from potential and unexpected losses. There is also a relationship between the prices of shares and the indicators of the durability of the capital owned, considering that the shares are the components of the bank capital The study limited the indicators of capital to assets and capital to deposits, capital to loans and financial investments Where the most important conclusions are the damage to the detriment of shareholders in contrast to the depositors in the case of increasing the propo

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 30 2021
Journal Name
م Tikrit Journal Of A Dministrative And Economics Sciences
الجانب المظلم للمساءلة وتأثييره على سلوكيات الاداء المهني)دراسة تحليلةلاراء عينة من المحاسبين والمدقيقن الداخليين في المؤسسات الحكومية في محافظة المثنى)
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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The effect of strategic decisions for operations management in performance excellence organizational.
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This research focused on clarifying the relationship strategic decisions for operations management & performance excellence organizational, The research emerges from a problem which explained by many application questions. Special questionnaire has been prepared for this purpose distributed (72) to sample of  management levels (Top, middle) in the General company for mining industries and aquatic Insullation & the General company of batteries industry, The research has tried to test a number hypotheses related to the relation and regression among the variables of the research, and the differences among the <

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 02 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
الطرائق والأساليب الشائعة في تدريس مادة التربية الإسلامية في المرحلة المتوسطة من وجهة نظر مدرسي مادة التربية الإسلامية ومدرساتها والمشرفين الاختصاص
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The problem of the current research has been crystallized through the study of the current reality of teaching Islamic Education in the intermediate schools. In order to get realistic results and to built on them the recommendations and suggestion that might help in improving teaching Islamic Education with more effective styles in the intermediate and secondary schools, this research has been formulated with the following question:

What are the common methods and styles used in teaching Islamic Education in the intermediate schools?

The importance of the research can be summarized as follows:

  1. The importance of the Islamic Education according to its

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 12 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Relationship between Third Trimester Vaginal Bleeding Medical Causes and pregnancy Outcomes of Pregnant Women Attending Bint Al-Huda Hospital in Al-Nasiriya City
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Objective: To find out the relationship between vaginal bleeding during third trimester and pregnancy outcomes. Methodology: A purposive sample is "Non-probability" of (100) women who had diagnostic vaginal bleeding during third trimester (27-40wk) of pregnancy, and who visited the Bint Al-Huda Hospital for the period from 15th Feb. to 17th May 2015.Validity and reliability of questionnaire are determined through pilot study. Descriptive and inferential statistical procedures were used to analyze the data, and the data were collected by using interview technique, constructed questionnaire has been desig

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Strategic Human Resource Management Practices and their reflections for Organizational Performance Improvement A Survey Study of the views of a sample of Managers Baghdad Soft Drinks company/ Zafaraniya
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The aims of research is to identify the role of strategic human resource management Practices in organizational performance improvement in the Baghdad soft drinks company, as well as the implications of the results for both managers and practitioners.

In order to achieve the objectives of the research, the researcher designed questionnaire included (40) items to collect the initial data from the research sample consisting of (53) Single. In light of that has been collecting and analyzing data and test hypotheses using the statistical package for Social Sciences (SPSS21), and use a number of statistical methods to achieve the goal of the research, including the means, standard deviations and simple correla

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Quality of internal audit and its impact on nature, timing and procedures of external audit An investigative study of a sample of external auditors Iraqi Solidary Companies for Auditing.
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           The study aims at investigating the quality of internal auditing and its impact on nature, timing, and procedures of external audit, based on international auditing standards, in particular ISA (610). The standard ISA (610) requires the external auditors to assess independence, the scope of internal audit unit, competence, and due professional care of internal auditors as indicators that reflect the quality of internal audit performance before deciding to rely on internal auditors.

The sample of this study consisted of external auditors in Iraqi Solidary Companies for Auditing. A questionnaire was distributed to them via e-mail

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 11 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
The Effects of Long-Term Operation and High Temperature on Material Properties of Austenitic Stainless Steel Type 321H
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Changes in mechanical properties of material as a result of service in different conditions can be provided by mechanical testing to assist the estimation of current internal situation of these materials, or the degree of deterioration may exist in furnaces serviced at high temperature and exceed their design life. Because of the rarity works on austenitic stainless steel material type AISI 321H, in this work, ultimate tensile strength, yield strength, elongation, hardness, and absorbed energy by impact are evaluated based on experimental data obtained from mechanical testing. Samples of tubes are extracted from furnace belong to hydrotreaterunit, also samples from un-used tube material are used to make comparisons between these properti

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