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Use Simulation To Differentiate Between Some Modern Methods To the Model GM(1,1) To Find Missing Values And Estimate Parameters With A Practical Application
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Abstract

       The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values ​​in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 30 2021
Journal Name
Gsc Biological And Pharmaceutical Sciences
Survey and revision of leaf miners to some plants from different localities of Iraq
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This investigation showed (31) species belonging to (15) genera under (five) families and two orders. The leafminers Dipter families (Agromozidae, Anthomyiidae, Drosophilidae), Agromyzid flies is the highest level of investigated many host plants, but other families have lowest host plants. The synonyms of species were provided from GBIF scarlet's. The date and localities of sampling collection were recorded.

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Simulation of five methods for parameter estimation and functionExponential distribution reliability
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The estimation process is one of the pillars of the statistical inference process as well as the hypothesis test, and the assessment is based on the collection of information and conclusions about the teacher or the community's teachers on the basis of the result
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Publication Date
Tue Feb 14 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
University Students' Attitudes towards Reading and Its Relationship to Some Demographic Variables in the Sultanate of Oman
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The current study aims to identify university students' attitudes towards reading and its relationship to some demographic variables in the universities of the Sultanate of Oman. The study sample consisted of (1434) male and female university students from various Omani public and private universities affiliated with the Ministry of Higher Education. The study covered all (11) governorates of Oman. The researcher adopted the descriptive analytical approach. The researcher employed a scale of reading attitudes to collect the needed data. The study results showed that university students' reading attitudes recorded a high degree. The results also showed there are statistically significant differences at th

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 10 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Environmental And Occupational Science
The resistance of locally isolated Serratia marcescens to heavy metals chlorides and optimization of some environmental factors
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Summary The aim of this study is the evaluation the resistance of S. marcescence obtained from soil and water to metals chlorides (Zn+2, Hg+2, Fe+2, Al+3, and Pb+2). Four isolates, identified as Serratia marcescence and S. marcescena (S4) were selected for this study according to their resistance to five heavy metals. The ability of S. marcescena (S4) to grow in different concentrations of metals chloride (200-1200 µg/ml) was tested, the highest concentration that S. marcescence (S4) tolerate was 1000 µg/ml for Zn+2, Hg+2, Fe+2, AL+3, pb+2 and 300 µg/ml for Hg+2 through 24 hrs incubation at 37 Co. The effects of temperature and pH on bacteria growth during 72 hrs were also studied. S. marcescence (S4) was affected by ZnCl2, PbCl2, FeC12

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 17 2025
Journal Name
Sciences Journal Of Physical Education
Analytical study of the causes of winning and losing according to some technical indicators among young boxers
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Publication Date
Mon Mar 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
Methods to stimulate consumer desire included in the production of communicative formats for contemporary commercial advertisements.: غسان فاضل الجبوري
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Companies need to educate people about the facts that characterize the business. This is the mission of promotion, it is an important marketing activity, promotion communicates with others and seeks to provide customers with a new business process experience.
Advertising is the most important methods of promotion and the best way to reach an audience. Once the organization advertises its products and services, it can operate in a competitive environment. Marketing competition requires knowledge of humanity that must be affected and convinced. Advertising should create Desires and need for satisfaction. This research comes in the study of visual representations of this psychological incident and how to use it communicatively to create

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 08 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of Al-rafidain University College For Sciences ( Print Issn: 1681-6870 ,online Issn: 2790-2293 )
Utilizing the Error Correction Model to Investigate the Impact of Fluctuations in Bank Deposits on the Money Supply
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This paper assesses the impact of changes and fluctuations in bank deposits on the money supply in Iraq. Employing  the research constructs an Error Correction Model (ECM) using  monthly time series data from 2010 to 2015. The analysis begins with  the Phillips-Perron unit root test to ascertain the stationarity of the  time series and the Engle and Granger cointegration test to examine  the existence of a long-term relationship. Nonparametric regression functions are estimated using two methods: Smoothing Spline and M-smoothing. The results indicate that the  M-smoothing approach is the most effective, achieving the shortest adjustment period and the highest adjustment ratio for short-term disturbances, thereby facilitating a return

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 29 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Tasks of the Intermediate Schoolmasters in Reference to Time Administration according to Headmaster’s Viewpoint
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The aim of this research is to recognize the tasks undertaken by   the   headmasters   of   intermediate   schools   concerning   time- administration,   in   accordance   to   the   viewpoints   of   the headmasters   of   intermediate   schools   in   the   Administration   of Education   of   Al-Karkh   the   Third.   The   sample   of   this   research consists   of   (60)   headmasters   and &n

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 01 2019
Journal Name
International Journal Of Electrical And Computer Engineering (ijece)
Compared to wireless deployment in areas with different environmentse
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<p>In the mobile phone system, it is highly desirable to estimate the loss of the track not only to improve performance but also to achieve an accurate estimate of financial feasibility; the inaccurate estimate of track loss either leads to performance degradation or increased cost. Various models have been introduced to accurately estimate the path loss. One of these models is the Okomura / Hata model, which is recommended for estimating path loss in cellular systems that use micro cells. This system is suitable for use in a variety of environments. This study examines the comparison of path loss models for statistical analysis derived from experimental data collected in urban and suburban areas at frequencies of 150-1500 MHz

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Al-qadisiyah For Computer Science And Mathematics
Strongly (E,F)-convexity with applications to optimization problems
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In this paper, a new class of nonconvex sets and functions called strongly -convex sets and strongly -convex functions are introduced. This class is considered as a natural extension of strongly -convex sets and functions introduced in the literature. Some basic and differentiability properties related to strongly -convex functions are discussed. As an application to optimization problems, some optimality properties of constrained optimization problems are proved. In these optimization problems, either the objective function or the inequality constraints functions are strongly -convex.&nbsp;

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