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jeasiq-1481
ستراتيجية دعم وتطوير الصناعات الصغيرة في ضوء تقويم فاعلية مبادرات القروض في العراق
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أفرزت الظروف الاقتصادية والاجتماعية التي عانى منها الاقتصاد العراقي العديد من الاثار السلبية وتكريس بيئة من شانها التشجيع على اقامة مشاريع صناعية وخدمية لا تتناسب وتغيرات السوق وتعتمد على آلات ومعدات بسيطة وتشتمل أعمال حرفية يدوية الصنع وبائعي التجزئة ومختلف انواع الورش والمصانع والمعامل غير المرخص لها وغير المجازة قانونا، حيث أنتشار المشروعات بشكل عشوائي غير منتظم بعيدا عن رقابة وسيطرة الدولة. وسعيا الى تحقيق موازنة نسبية تسمح لها الاستمرار في البقاء ولعدم قدرتها على المنافسة مع نظيرتها من المصانع تلك التي تتمتع بمزايا تنافسية فأنها تكون مضطرة اغلب الأحيان إلى زيادة مستوى الغش الصناعي والتجاري في منتجاتها وخفض مستوى الجودة. باعادة تدوير الإنتاج لبعض المواد الأولية مثل البلاستيك والألمنيوم وأستخدام قطع الغيار المستعملة ليصبح ذلك جزء من ثقافة السوق والقائمين على القطاع الصناعي (أفراد وشركات)  .

ان مجمل هذه الاسباب  تعزى اساسا الى عدم تبني ستراتيجية صناعية لدعم قطاع الاعمال الخاص وخصوصا المصانع الصغيرة، وغياب التنظيمات المسؤولة عن توجيه المستثمرين الصغار في ظل تزايد اعداد العاطلين وماينجم عن ذلك من تزايد مستويات الفقر، بحيث دفع ذلك الى العمل في اقتصاد الظل ليجتذب مختلف الانشطة الصناعية وخصوصا الخدمية منها والاعمال النمطية بسيطة التكنولوجيا من مثل ورش الميكانيك والكهرباء والخدمات الصناعية الاخرى وأنشطة الخدمات المنزلية والتصليح والصيانة   وهذه الانواع من الانشطة تتصف بعدم وجود ترخيص رسمي بمزاولة المهنة ولا تخضع لقوانين العمل، وتفتقر لمعايير الصحة والسلامة المهنية ولا يوجد كيان مستقل أو تنظيم نقابي او اتحادي لها. حيث سهولة مزاولة النشاط سواء كان إنتاجيا أو مهنيا. بناء على ذلك ان تحليل الجوانب المحيطة بالصناعات الصغيرة تلك التي عملت واثبتت نجاحات طيلة فترة الحصار الاقتصادي في تلبية الطلب المحلي قبل تعرضها لحالة الانهيار والتوقف وتحقق خسائر يتطلب تذليل العوائق الادارية والتمويلية والتسويقية والفنية خصوصا وان انشاء المشاريع الصغيرة تعد مدخلا اساسيا لحل مشكلة البطالة والفقر في العراق .

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 28 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The impact of financial development on economic growth in Iraq for the period (2004-2018):An Analytical Econometric Study
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            The objective of this study is to measure the impact of financial development on economic growth in Iraq over the period (2004-2018) by applying a fully corrected square model (FMOLS) Whereas, a set of variables represented by (credit-to-private ratio of GDP, the ratio of money supply in the broad sense of GDP, percentage of bank deposits from GDP) were chosen as indicators for measuring financial development and GDP to measure economic growth.

Major tests have been carried out, such as the stability test (Unite Root Test), the integration test (Cointegration). Results of the study showed that there

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 04 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Measuring the impact of oil price fluctuation on the budget Deficit base in Iraq for the period (2003-2020)
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Abstract

                 The research dealt with a studying the impact of oil price fluctuations on one of the rules of financial discipline, which is the rule of budget deficit in the Iraqi economy for the period (2003-2020) as it is one of the quarterly economies that rely mainly on volatile oil revenues that fluctuate with oil prices in global markets, and therefore the general budget suffers. from The state of instability and then the government resorts to borrowing for a long time . this deficit in the general budget and increase the debt burden in the public debt.The research aim to measure and study the impact of oil price flu

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الدراسات الدراسات التاريخية الخاصة بالمرأة مراجعة تحليلية للكتابة التاريخية في العراق للمدة 1996-2008
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على الرغم من تطور الدراسات التاريخية الخاصة بالمرأة بوصفها حقل معرفي مستقل بدأ منذ نهاية الستينيات من القرن الماضي .ونجاج الكاتبات والباحثات  في العديد من بلدان الشرق الاوسط وشمال افريقيا في إعادة المرأة الى التاريخ، الا ان الكتابة التاريخية في العراق مازالت تعاني من نقص كبير في الموضوعات التي تناولت حياة النساء في الماضي. وما يزال الباحثات والباحثين ينظرون الى التاريخ على انه سردية للمعارك والحروب ويو

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using a hybrid SARIMA-NARNN Model to Forecast the Numbers of Infected with (COVID-19) in Iraq
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Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is an acute disease that affects the respiratory system which initially appeared in Wuhan, China. In Feb 2019 the sickness began to spread swiftly throughout the entire planet, causing significant health, social, and economic problems. Time series is an important statistical method used to study and analyze a particular phenomenon, identify its pattern and factors, and use it to predict future values. The main focus of the research is to shed light on the study of SARIMA, NARNN, and hybrid models, expecting that the series comprises both linear and non-linear compounds, and that the ARIMA model can deal with the linear component and the NARNN model can deal with the non-linear component. The models

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The mechanisms of generation of Unemployment in Iraq and its types and calculating the Disguised of it: Analytical Study for the period 2003-2015
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     The objective of this study is to attempt to provide a quantitative analysis to the causes of unemployment  in Iraq and its mechanisms of generation, as well as a review of the most important  types of both visible and invisible unemployment, and an attempt to measure the disguised  unemployment  and analyze the causes. The problem of the research lies in the fact that the Iraqi Economy has been suffered  for  a long time although its characterized by abundant  physical and natural  resources, from the existence of the  phenomenon of unemployment  in the previous two types. Causing a lot of economic problems, represented by the great waste of resources and

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Using system dynamics model and the statistical indicators for Road Map of "Green government departments" project In Iraq
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Abstract                                                         

The issue of the protection of the environment is a shared responsibility between several destinations and sectors, and constitutes a main subject in which they can achieve sustainable development. In the sectors of government programs can be set up towards the establishment of the government sector to the green environment, so to be the implementati

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 06 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Geographical Distribution of Power Plants in Iraq in 2015 Using Geographic Information Systems
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The study aims to study the geographical distribution of electricpower plants in Iraq, except the governorates of Kurdistan Region (Dohuk, Erbil, Sulaymaniyah) due to lack of data.

In order to reach the goal of the research was based on some mathematical equations and statistical methods to determine how the geographical distribution of these stations (gas, hydropower, steam, diesel) within the provinces and the concentration of them as well as the possibility of the classification of power plants in Iraq to facilitate understanding of distribution in a scientific manner is characterized by objectively.

The most important results of the research are that there are a number of factors that led to the irregular distribution

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Box and Jenkins use models to predict the numbers of patients with hepatitis Alvairose in Iraq
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The time series of statistical methods mission followed in this area analysis method, Figuring certain displayed on a certain period of time and analysis we can identify the pattern and the factors affecting them and use them to predict the future of the phenomenon of values, which helps to develop a way of predicting the development of the economic development of sound

The research aims to select the best model to predict the number of infections with hepatitis Alvairose models using Box - Jenkins non-seasonal forecasting in the future.

Data were collected from the Ministry of Health / Department of Health Statistics for the period (from January 2009 until December 2013) was used

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
(Dynamic& Static) Forecast of surplus or Deficit of Public budget in Iraq for (2017،2018)
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 This research aims at forecasting the public budget of Iraq (surplus or deficit) for 2017 & 2018 through using two methods to forecast. First: forecast budget surplus or deficit by using IMF estimations average oil price per barrel adopted in the public federal budget amounted to USD 44 in 2017 & USD 46 in 2018; Second: forecast budget surplus or deficit by using MOO actual average oil price in global markets amounted to USD 66 in 2018 through applying Dynamic Model & Static Model. Then analyze the models to reach the best one. The research concluded that those estimations of dynamic forecasting model of budget surplus or deficit for 2017 & 2018 gives good reliable results for future periods when using the a

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The role of electronic trading and central filing in the performance of the Iraq Stock Exchange for the period (2008-2018)
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The rapid development of information technology and its use in all areas has had a positive impact on all areas, and financial markets have had a share of this development through the use of an electronic trading system to settle transactions, enhance transparency and disclosure in all activities of these markets and revitalize their performance.

The reason for choosing this topic is that it is a very important topic for what modern technology addresses in trading operations in financial markets. It is worth noting that these innovations have eliminated the need for direct contact with people, but through the Internet and telephone networks, and the new technology has reduced the costs of building systems

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