Preferred Language
Articles
/
jeasiq-1405
العلاقة بين موقف الحساب الجاري وسعر الصرف (حالة الولايات المتحدة)
...Show More Authors

خضعت العلاقة بين موقف الحساب الجاري, سواء اكان بحالة عجز ام فائض, وسعر الصرف, اكان بحالة انخفاض او ارتفاع, لجدل واسع بين اوساط الاقتصاديين بشأن هذه العلاقة واتجاهاتها.

الا ان الاعتماد المتزايد لبعض الدول على المستثمرين الاجانب لتمويل العجز في حساباتها الجارية قد يصطدم بعدم رغبة هولاء المستثمرون في الاستمرار باقتناء موجودات معينة مقوِِِِِِِِمة بعملات تلك الدول. وتنشأ الطامة الكبرى لاقتصاديات وعملات هذه الدول عندما يقرر المستثمرون التخلي عن هذه الموجودات كلية (بيعها) .

وكان المضاربون على هبوط العملات bears يؤكدون على ان زيادة عجز الحساب الجاري لدولة ما  يفضي بالضرورة الى انخفاض حاد في قيمة تلك العملة. الا ان هؤلاء المضاربين قد ثبت خطا تقديراتهم في عدة مواضع .

فعلى الرغم من تفاقم عجز الحساب الجاري الامريكي في عقد التسعينات الى مستويات قياسية, فقد ارتفعت قيمة الدولار, ولم تنخفض خلال تلك  المدة, كما هو من المفروض ان يحصل.

ان الغرض من هذا البحث هو تحديد علاقة عجز الحساب الجاري بسعر الصرف على المدى المتوسط والطويل. ويبدأ البحث بمناقشة العوامل الاساسية التي اسهمت بتوسيع عجز الحساب الجاري الامريكي مع الاشارة الى تدهوره في الاونة الاخيره الى مستويات قياسية.

ثم يعرج البحث لمناقشة في ما اذا كانت هذه الزيادة في العجز تمثل ظاهرة اختلالية يتحتم تصحيحها  او ان هناك عوامل معينة تجعل الولايات المتحدة تتحمل عجوزات كبيرة بالحساب الجاري بشكل اكبر من المستوى الطبيعي (بشكل مستدام ولسنوات قادمة) .

إن التطورات التكنولوجية في مضمار تكنولوجيا المعلومات قد افضت الى رفع المعدل الذي نما به الاقتصاد الأمريكي بدون استفحال التضخم في عقد التسعينات. كما إن الإنفاق الاستثماري الأمريكي ارتفع في ذات المدة, بسبب الابتكارات المثيرة في تكنولوجيا المعلومات, مما أفضى إلى إحداث فجوة متوسعة باستمرار بين المدخرات والاستثمار الأمريكي لصالح الأخير.

وطالما ان عجز الحساب الجاري يساوي الفجوة بين المدخرات والاستثمار, فأن الفجوة المتزايدة بين الاستثمار والمدخرات المحلية تتضمن وجود عجز متزايد باستمرار في الحساب الجاري.

ثم يحاول البحث التعريج على اهم الطرق المختلفة لمعالجة عجز الحساب الجاري من الناحية النظرية والتطبيقية .

ويختتم البحث بملاحظات استنتاجيه عن علاقة موقف الحساب الجاري وسعر الصرف وأثره عليه عبر عدة قنوات . ويلخص بما توصل إليه البحث بشأن دراسة الحالة (الولايات المتحدة) .

 

 

 

Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jan 08 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
Lebanese building law between texts, Application gaps and land scarcity
...Show More Authors

This paper examines the gaps in Lebanese building law as well as the exploitation of contractors, stakeholders, and residents in order to make illegal profits at the expense of The Shape of urban agglomerations and their expansion in cities and rural areas, which is contrary to the principles of sustainable land development. It also emphasizes the amplification of the factors of vertical and horizontal building investments in the implementation of buildings contrary to the license, as well as the burden that this places on the city's resulting infrastructure and ability to absorb the activities and needs of its residents. The study then presents recommendations in the process of transformation in the technique of planning and application

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Jan 02 2008
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
امن الخليج العربي بين الاحتكار الامريكي ورغبة المشاركة الاوربية
...Show More Authors

امن الخليج العربي بين الاحتكار الامريكي و رغبة المشاركة الاوربية

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Dec 10 2017
Journal Name
Al-academy
The speech communication btween the shape and content in commercial advertising
...Show More Authors

The Main think that be kept by the speech communication as a concept traditionally being expressed on the subject or a certain idea of ​​a goal came on as needed functional addressed to recipients of benefits or likely to benefit from those rhetorical message through a speech importance and priority of the effect of not less than the effect of that letter, in science content role ends once you absorb it mentally, either in the art of design Valamadmon intellectual embodied through its interaction with the overall shape of the finished design, and often content is associated in the mind of the receiver through a letter communicative linked to the sense or the goal that meant the designer, and try to identify and explain. And meaning i

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Sep 08 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
A Comparison Between Two Shape Parameters Estimators for (Burr-XII) Distribution
...Show More Authors

This paper deals with defining Burr-XII, and how to obtain its p.d.f., and CDF, since this distribution is one of failure distribution which is compound distribution from two failure models which are Gamma model and weibull model. Some equipment may have many important parts and the probability distributions representing which may be of different types, so found that Burr by its different compound formulas is the best model to be studied, and estimated its parameter to compute the mean time to failure rate. Here Burr-XII rather than other models is consider  because it is used to model a wide variety of phenomena including crop prices, household income, option market price distributions, risk and travel time. It has two shape-parame

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (2)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Structural and contextual dimensions of the coming   Intervals Between that diluted and her experience
...Show More Authors

In the name of of Allah the Merciful
Praise be to Allah, Lord of the Worlds, and prayers and peace be upon the Seal of the Prophets and Messengers. The envoy is a mercy to the worlds Muhammad Sadiq Al - Amin, and to the pure and good companions of the Tayyibites.
The formula of the morphological formulas, which have diverged from other meanings, whether lexicon or contextual and what this formula contains many meanings (effective source) and (effective in the sense of effective) and (effective sense reactor) and (effective sense) and ( (F) in the sense of a similar character) and ((the name of the) (collect). This was dealt with in the formula in Surat al-Nisaa a gramophone study. As mentioned in the study of the morphological subj

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jun 11 2017
Journal Name
Al-academy
Directorial Vision Between The Closed And Open In The Iraqi Theater Space
...Show More Authors

This research deals with the concept of space in the theatrical performance and how the director works between two different spaces, the closed space and the open space. The question was how to use space according to the director's vision in the presentation. The problem of the research was whether the director of the Iraqi filmmaker could see the variable in the architectural space Or the place or space within the exhibition between open and closed, through the formation of the vision of the external components of intellectual and aesthetic and aesthetic, and impact on the relationship between the actor and the recipient to produce a new aesthetic space, and then the purpose of research and importance and limits and terminology The seco

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Apr 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Industrial Policy and Development in Developing Countries (The Proponents and the Opponents
...Show More Authors

This paper aims to discuss and analyse the role and importance of implementing industrial Policy to promote industry and enhance economic development in developing countries. The paper discusses the economic justifications for using industrial policy as well as the criticisms leveled against it, for this purpose it analyses the ideas of two different approaches to industrial policy. The first held by the neo-liberals in the USA , who oppose the use of industrial policy and emphasise the role of the market in attaining economic development. The second, represented by many economists who support the use of industrial policy to promote industry and accelerate economic development, they justify their stand by pointing to the negative

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Dec 16 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Overlap of Visions between the Scenographer and the Director in the Theatrical Show
...Show More Authors

After the spread of the function of the scenographer in the modern theater, his vision has become present in most of the theatrical works and because the director is the master of the work and the owner of the vision that appears in front of the audience, the overlap between the visions of each of them was required. This research is an attempt to detect the overlap and disengagement in the work of each of them.
The research is divided into a methodological framework that included the research problem, importance, limits, and purpose, and then the definition of terms. In the theoretical framework, the research dealt with two theoretical sections that pave the way for raising ideas related to this subject: the first section (scenography

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Nov 01 2018
Journal Name
قضايا سياسية
The Iraqi Constitution of 2005: Between Constitutional Stagnation and Political Stagnation
...Show More Authors

Browse Iraqi academic journals and research papers

View Publication
Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2006
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
المسرحية بين النقل التلفزيوني والتسجيل في الأستديو (دراسة مقارنة)
...Show More Authors

اهمية البحث والحاجة اليه :

            في بداية ظهور التلفزيون كانت البرامج المقدمة تعتمد على المنوعات والمسرحيات المنقولة من المسرح . وقد استفاد التلفزيون من الفنون التي سبقته مثل المسرح فنرى ان :

" محطات التلفزيون بادرت بتسجيل المسرحيات المتعددة لتملأ بها ساعات الارسال " [1]

            وكذلك

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF