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العلاقة بين موقف الحساب الجاري وسعر الصرف (حالة الولايات المتحدة)
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خضعت العلاقة بين موقف الحساب الجاري, سواء اكان بحالة عجز ام فائض, وسعر الصرف, اكان بحالة انخفاض او ارتفاع, لجدل واسع بين اوساط الاقتصاديين بشأن هذه العلاقة واتجاهاتها.

الا ان الاعتماد المتزايد لبعض الدول على المستثمرين الاجانب لتمويل العجز في حساباتها الجارية قد يصطدم بعدم رغبة هولاء المستثمرون في الاستمرار باقتناء موجودات معينة مقوِِِِِِِِمة بعملات تلك الدول. وتنشأ الطامة الكبرى لاقتصاديات وعملات هذه الدول عندما يقرر المستثمرون التخلي عن هذه الموجودات كلية (بيعها) .

وكان المضاربون على هبوط العملات bears يؤكدون على ان زيادة عجز الحساب الجاري لدولة ما  يفضي بالضرورة الى انخفاض حاد في قيمة تلك العملة. الا ان هؤلاء المضاربين قد ثبت خطا تقديراتهم في عدة مواضع .

فعلى الرغم من تفاقم عجز الحساب الجاري الامريكي في عقد التسعينات الى مستويات قياسية, فقد ارتفعت قيمة الدولار, ولم تنخفض خلال تلك  المدة, كما هو من المفروض ان يحصل.

ان الغرض من هذا البحث هو تحديد علاقة عجز الحساب الجاري بسعر الصرف على المدى المتوسط والطويل. ويبدأ البحث بمناقشة العوامل الاساسية التي اسهمت بتوسيع عجز الحساب الجاري الامريكي مع الاشارة الى تدهوره في الاونة الاخيره الى مستويات قياسية.

ثم يعرج البحث لمناقشة في ما اذا كانت هذه الزيادة في العجز تمثل ظاهرة اختلالية يتحتم تصحيحها  او ان هناك عوامل معينة تجعل الولايات المتحدة تتحمل عجوزات كبيرة بالحساب الجاري بشكل اكبر من المستوى الطبيعي (بشكل مستدام ولسنوات قادمة) .

إن التطورات التكنولوجية في مضمار تكنولوجيا المعلومات قد افضت الى رفع المعدل الذي نما به الاقتصاد الأمريكي بدون استفحال التضخم في عقد التسعينات. كما إن الإنفاق الاستثماري الأمريكي ارتفع في ذات المدة, بسبب الابتكارات المثيرة في تكنولوجيا المعلومات, مما أفضى إلى إحداث فجوة متوسعة باستمرار بين المدخرات والاستثمار الأمريكي لصالح الأخير.

وطالما ان عجز الحساب الجاري يساوي الفجوة بين المدخرات والاستثمار, فأن الفجوة المتزايدة بين الاستثمار والمدخرات المحلية تتضمن وجود عجز متزايد باستمرار في الحساب الجاري.

ثم يحاول البحث التعريج على اهم الطرق المختلفة لمعالجة عجز الحساب الجاري من الناحية النظرية والتطبيقية .

ويختتم البحث بملاحظات استنتاجيه عن علاقة موقف الحساب الجاري وسعر الصرف وأثره عليه عبر عدة قنوات . ويلخص بما توصل إليه البحث بشأن دراسة الحالة (الولايات المتحدة) .

 

 

 

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 25 2019
Journal Name
Al-academy
Digital Image Visual Communication in Internal Virtual Spaces between the Graphic Design and the Internal Design: وسام حسن هاشم - رغد منذر احمد
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The digital revolution had greatly affected the methods through which we communicate, starting from the basic concepts of the internet technology and the web content in addition to the important issues that concern the culture of the digital media, the internet governance and the variation in the digital age in general and the graphic and internal design in particular.
This research addresses an important topic that goes along with the scientific development in the field of the digital design, especially in the internal and graphic designs. This study consists of two sections: the first includes the problem of the study and the need for it. Starting from the problem of the research, there is no clear perception of the formal characte

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Sun Dec 01 2019
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Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Application of the excess cash margin model (ECM) to detect the Earning Management in the banking sector: Comparative study between commercial and Islamic banks
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The research draws its importance from identifying the methods of profit management in misleading the financial statements, which in turn is reflected in the decisions of the authorities that relied on these reports, and then the models that help in detecting those methods used by the auditors. Risks. The index (margin of excess cash) was used to detect profit management practices on a group of banks listed in the Iraqi market for securities and the number of (23) banks, including (12) commercial bank and (11) Islamic bank and the results were compared to commercial banks with Islamic banks.((The research started from the hypothesis that the use of the (excess cash margin) model in the banking sector reveals the management

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 15 2019
Journal Name
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Comic Scene Construction between Dramatic Situation and Acting Performance in Feature Film: علاء الدين عبد المجيد جاسم-عمار حميد حسين
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The research (Comic Scene Construction between Dramatic Situation and Acting Performance in Feature Film) has been divided into the following: the methodological framework which consists of the problem of the research: how to construct the comic scene between the dramatic situation and acting performance in the feature film. The research importance and aims are: identifying how to construct the comic scene between the dramatic situation and acting performance in the feature film. The limits of the research are also stated.
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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2017
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A comparison between Bayesian Method and Full Maximum Likelihood to estimate Poisson regression model hierarchy and its application to the maternal deaths in Baghdad
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Abstract:

 This research aims to compare Bayesian Method and Full Maximum Likelihood to estimate hierarchical Poisson regression model.

The comparison was done by  simulation  using different sample sizes (n = 30, 60, 120) and different Frequencies (r = 1000, 5000) for the experiments as was the adoption of the  Mean Square Error to compare the preference estimation methods and then choose the best way to appreciate model and concluded that hierarchical Poisson regression model that has been appreciated Full Maximum Likelihood Full Maximum Likelihood  with sample size  (n = 30) is the best to represent the maternal mortality data after it has been reliance value param

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Publication Date
Sat Nov 10 2018
Journal Name
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Impact of Socio-economic Status on Age at Menarche among Secondary School Students at AL-Dora Region in Baghdad Governorate
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Objective: To assess the Impact of Socio-economic status on age at menarche among secondary school students at
AL-Dora city in Baghdad, Iraq.
Methodology: This is a cross sectional study with multi-stage sampling was carried out during the period from the
3
th of December2013 to 12th of March 2014. The Sample comprised of 1760 girls, 1510 girls from urban area and
250 from rural area was included in the study. In first stage, selection of schools was done, and one class was
selected randomly from each level of Education, The data collection through a special questionnaire which Contain
the age of girl by year, class level, birth order, number of household, number of rooms, residency (urban/rural),
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Publication Date
Tue Jun 30 2020
Journal Name
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The Interactive Role of Organizational Elegance between Organizational Anomaly and Planned Human Resource Behavior A survey of a sample of workers in the Ministry of Construction and Housing
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This study attempts to test the interactive role played by organizational agility in enhancing the effect of organizational anomie on the behavior of planned human resources. The study of organizational anomie has increased because of the moral and legal pressures facing the organization by the external environment within its framework. To adapt to all external developments faced by these organizations, the behavior of human resources planned reflects the ability of individuals to control their behavior in different situations and situations that face them in the work.

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2020
Journal Name
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The role of merger in creating differences in the profitability of companies Analytical research between a sample of subsidiaries to the Iraqi Ministry of Industry and Minerals
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The research aims to identify the impact of the merger of the companies affiliated to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals on their financial profitability since the companies before the merger suffered a rise in losses and the deficit reached very high levels that affected its overall performance and even on the morale of workers as losses are increasing and solutions Efficiency is absent. The problem stems from knowing the impact of the merger on the profitability ratios of the companies. The research field was represented by the companies affiliated to the Ministry of Industry and Minerals (21) companies, while the research sample reached (6) companies after the merger (14) companies before the merger, was based on data The f

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
العلاقــة بين المقرر الدراســي والتخصـص والتحصـيل العلمي في الكيميــاء والاتجــاه نحــو العـلوم لدى طلبــة كليــة التربيــة ابن الهيثــم / جامعــة بغــداد
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تهدف هذه الدراسة إلى معرفة الفرق في التحصيل الدراسي في الكيمياء والاتجاه نحو العلوم بين طلاب التخصص العلمي وطلاب التخصص الصناعي الصف الأول كلية التربية ابن الهيثم، كذلك تهدف الدراسة إلى معرفة العلاقة بين التحصيل الدراسي في الكيمياء ودرجات اختبار نهاية الفصل في الكيمياء، والمعدل التراكمي بعد أخذ المقرر الدراسي والاتجاه نحو العلوم بالنسبة لطلاب التخصص العلمي وطلاب التخصص الصناعي.

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 01 2016
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THE METHOD OF EXPRESSION IN INNATE AND POPULAR IRAQI SCULPTURAL CONTEMPORARY STUDYING BETWEEN (Hadi KadhimNassif) and (Ibrahim al nakash): كفاح عبد المجيد
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The innate art,is a major tributary in the art world, It is a bold achievement, has a special flavor, With self-identity, linked to the origins and roots of human ,That goes back to the past and the history and culture of peoples. This business is not limited to only aesthetic side, but is loaded with religious and magical experience, and have social functions, This creations stayed live, breathe, grow, and change with the transformation of society, these processors emerged, from local people have not been trained academically.Their Elvis came from community culture,Which are, Mesopotamian thoroughbreds.This culture that we desperately need today, in order to increase ourselves Iraqi force, In the face of the modern world, which is locke

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Comparison of the RLS and LMS Algorithms to Remove Power Line Interference Noise from ECG Signal
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