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jeasiq-1218
Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 15 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
قضايا قضايا المرأة في ظل لائحة حقوق الانسان
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Women are a social entity and can not be ignored starting from the process of creation Almighty and through the fact that it represents half of society and a fundamental factor and the corner can not be dispensed with in the composition of the family it is no longer acceptable to leave women to perform their role social and cultural or competitive and political role and in all aspects of political activity, It was not only women but the entire society lived loss, anxiety and oppression, a natural state created by deviation from the teachings and values of civil and followers of the corrupt positions in perception and conscience and behavior and links and relations and transactions until corruption became prevalent in all Social, economic

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
واقع الصومال السیاسي في ظل الحركات الإسلامیة المعاصرة
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Somal is considered one of the unstable and restless African Arabian country in
comparison with other Arabian. It has been exposed to division and separation by
European colonization process that worked hardly on dividing this country according to
Berlin conference (1884-1885). Even after obtaining its independence during the sixties
and being led by civilian organizations which were unable to solve the problems of
Somalian society after obtaining the independence.
Somal continued its suffering even after the military rule under the leadership of
Mohammed Sayad Beree.
During Beree's rule, Somal suffered from the War with Ethiopia, as well as it
witnessed an economical Crisis. It suffered also from the tribal po

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
ظاهرة العاملين المؤقتين ( الدور المتنامي في ظل العالمية)
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The research intended to take into consideration the phenomena of employing the temporary employees through the business organization increasingly, which has become one of the most apparent features of the contemporary strategy of the human resources management. It depends on the analytical descrptive Approach to meet the research problem which has been focalized around the dispute praising regarding the phenomena of the temporary employment and its dimensions and challenges which can be faced by the management of human resources as a result .The importance of the research is represented as one of rare research which confronts to the phenomena of the temporary employment in the Iraqi business environment. The most prominent objec

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Publication Date
Mon Jun 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
مسؤولية مراقب الحسابات في ظل ظاهرة غسيل الاموال
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احتلت قضية غسيل الاموال أهمية كبيرة على الساحة الاقتصادية العالمية خلال الفترة الاخيرة إدراكا من المجتمع الدولي لأثارها السلبية على الاستقرار الاقتصادي و خاصة على الاستثمار المحلي و الدولي و لذلك يتزايد الاهتمام بها و سبل مواجهتها من قبل العديد من الدول و المنظمات الدولية و المراكز المالية الكبرى , حيث تهدد هذه الظاهرة الاقتصاد العالمي و خاصة اقتصاديات العالم النامي و من بينها الاقتصاديات العربية .

ان

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Reducing Organizational Anomie in Light of Entrepreneurial Behavior
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The research aims to clarify the role of the main variable represented by the four dimensions of entrepreneurial behavior (creative, risk-taking, seizing opportunities, proactivity), in Reducing the dependent variable of organizational anomie with the dimensions (Organizational Normlessness, Organizational Cynicism, Organizational Valuelessness).

The experimental, analytical method was adopted in the completion of the research, and an intentional sample of (162) individuals in the administrative levels (higher and middle) in the factory was taken. The questionnaire was also adopted as the main tool, which

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
مستقبل الصناعة العربية في ظل اقتصاد عالمي متغير
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أن التطور الاقتصادي  في أية دولة إنما يقاس بالدور الذي يلعبه القطاع الصناعي في اقتصادياتها، ومقدار ما يسهم به في الناتج المحلي الأجمالي. ولا يخفى أن ينسب ذلك إلى خصوصيات هذا القطاع بوصفه الميدان الذي تتحقق فيه انجازات الثورة العلمية والتكنولوجية أكثر من غيره من الميادين، وأرتباطاته الأمامية والخلفية مع سائر القطاعات. يضاف إلى ذلك أن القطاعات الأخرى تتأثر ايجاباً بنمو القطاع الصناعي، كما انه المسؤول

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 29 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The degree of the need for managers working in the directories of education to develop their skills for the exercise of administrative empowerment
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A field study investigated the degree of need for managers working in the directories of education to develop their skills for the exercise of administrative empowerment, and it adopted the descriptive analytical approach. The research community, was determined which consisted of 126 principals, and the sample was selected with arte of randomly Statistics and by (100%) of the research community, as the number of respondents was (126) of managers working in the directories of education. A questionnaire was built which included 40 items distributed among the fields of study. Researchers verified its validity and reliability. The research data were analyzed using software (SPSS), the questionnaire was applied in the second semester of the a

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Publication Date
Fri Oct 19 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Big Data Approch to Enhance Organizational Ambidexterity An Exploratory Study of a Sample of Managers at ASIA Cell For Mobile Telecommunication Company in Iraq
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               The research aimed at measuring the compatibility of Big date with the organizational Ambidexterity dimensions of the Asia cell  Mobile telecommunications company in Iraq in order to determine the possibility of adoption of Big data Triple as a approach to achieve organizational Ambidexterity.

The study adopted the descriptive analytical approach to collect and analyze the data collected by the questionnaire tool developed on the Likert scale After  a comprehensive review of the literature related to the two basic study dimensions, the data has been subjected to many statistical treatments in accordance with res

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 20 2020
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Bayesian Inference for the Parameter and Reliability Function of Basic Gompertz Distribution under Precautionary loss Function
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     In this paper, some estimators for the unknown shape parameter and reliability function of Basic Gompertz distribution have been obtained, such as Maximum likelihood estimator and Bayesian estimators under Precautionary loss function using Gamma prior and Jefferys prior. Monte-Carlo simulation is conducted to compare mean squared errors (MSE) for all these estimators for the shape parameter and integrated mean squared error (IMSE's) for comparing the performance of the Reliability estimators. Finally, the discussion is provided to illustrate the results that summarized in tables.

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 29 2016
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Effect of Exogenous Application of Hydrogen Peroxide and Abscisic Acidfor the Wheat Plant Under Salt Stress
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    The experiment was conducted in twodifferentsplaces, one of this experiment in the field was not under salt stress  and the other experiment field was under salt stress.Those experiments were conducted in college of AgricultureDiyalaUniversity  atautmyseason  (2015  - 2016)to study  the salt stress by usingseeds soaking with Hydrogen Peroxide and foliar application in different concentrations ofAbscisic acid.The experiment  statistical design as RCBD was with three replicates.Soaking the seeds withHydrogen  Peroxidetreatments  0 , 10 , 15 ,  20  mmol.L-1.  Three Abscisic acid levels0 , 15 , 30 mg.L1.α -Tocopherol, Catalase Enzyme, Membrane Stability Index,prolin

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