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jeasiq-1218
Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 29 2016
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Theoretical Study to Fatigue Crack Growth to Duplex Steel Alloy byGeneralized Paris Equation
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  A theoretical study was done in this work for Fatigue , Fatigue Crack Growth (FCG) and stress factor intensity range for steel .       It also includes Generalized Paris Equation and the fulfillment of his equation which promises that there is a relation between parameters C and n .          Usig Simple Paris Equation through which we concluded the practical values of C and n and compared them with the theoretical values which have been concluded by Generalized Paris Equation .           The value of da/dN and ∆K for every material and sample were concluded and compared with the data which was used in

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Publication Date
Thu May 25 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Multicriteria Scheduling Problems to Minimize Total Tardiness Subject to Maximum Earliness or Tardiness
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Scheduling problems have been treated as single criterion problems until recently. Many of these problems are computationally hard to solve three as single criterion problems. However, there is a need to consider multiple criteria in a real life scheduling problem in general. In this paper, we study the problem of scheduling jobs on a single machine to minimize total tardiness subject to maximum earliness or tardiness for each job. And we give algorithm (ETST) to solve the first problem (p1) and algorithm (TEST) to solve the second problem (p2) to find an efficient solution.  

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 04 2023
Journal Name
Al-rafidain Journal Of Medical Sciences ( Issn 2789-3219 )
Factors Influencing Adalimumab Treatment Response in Patients with Rheumatoid Arthritis: The Future of Clinical Expertise
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Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is characterized by persistent joint inflammation, which is a defining feature of this chronic inflammatory condition. Considerable advancements have been made in the field of disease-modifying anti-rheumatic medicines (DMARDs), which effectively mitigate inflammation and forestall further joint deterioration. Anti-tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-α) drugs, which are a class of biological DMARDs (bDMARDs), have been efficaciously employed in the treatment of RA in recent times Adalimumab, a TNF inhibitor, has demonstrated significant efficacy in reducing disease symptoms and halting disease progression in patients with RA. However, its use is associated with major side effects and high costs. In addition,

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Groundwater situation before production and after production stoppage in Al-Mishraq Sulfur field-1, northern Iraq
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This study dealt with the reality of groundwater before Sulfur production in the Al-Mishraq field-1 and after production stopped in the field, by measuring the groundwater table for (44) wells in 2021, and comparing it to the groundwater table measured by the Polish company Centrozap in 1971, the groundwater table was a range between (187.71-205.8)m in 1971, but in 2021 it ranged was between (188.51-196.55)m.
Maps of the groundwater movement and water table were created using these data. It turned out that there was little change in the direction of groundwater flow; in both cases, the flow is from the west and northwest towards the east with a slight slope toward the southeast and the Tigris River. As for hydraulic properties, it w

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Artificial Intelligence For Covid-19
An Efficient Mixture of Deep and Machine Learning Models for COVID-19 and Tuberculosis Detection Using X-Ray Images in Resource Limited Settings
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Publication Date
Tue Jan 29 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Using Quality and Accreditation standard in performance improvement of education institutions: بحث تطبيقي في كلية الهندسة جامعة بغداد
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enjoyed the process of the development of higher education institutions attention of most countries of the world and to reconsider its objectives and programs and administrative and organizational structures, and it was the most important development of the application of Quality Assurance and Accreditation Standards (QAAS) tools, as the aim of these tools to the application of advanced with a far-reaching impact on all of the disciplines in the organization methods education that contribute, and plays a performance audit an important role in verifying the extent to which carried out these institutions activities or programs effectively and efficiently, economic, There are a number of objectives for the search of the most important attem

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Publication Date
Fri Aug 16 2024
Journal Name
Jurnal Arjuna: Publikasi Iimu Pendidkan,bahasa Dan Matematika
Some Physical and Motor Abilities and Their Contribution to The Scoring Skill of Futsal Players
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The game of futsal requires physical and motor abilities in order to perform it, as these abilities play a fundamental role in making the player have a wonderful physical level and be able to implement the skill aspect of futsal football, especially the scoring skill, which is the subject of the study. The importance of the research lies in arriving at knowledge of the percentage The contribution of some physical and motor abilities to the performance of the scoring skill in indoor soccer, in order to reach final scientific results that serve researchers, coaches, and players alike. The research aims to identify the most important physical and motor abilities of young players in futsal football, and to identify the percentage of contributio

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 01 2023
Journal Name
Practice Periodical On Structural Design And Construction
Leading Indicators of the Health and Well-Being of the Construction Workforce: Perception of Industry Professionals
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Publication Date
Tue Feb 28 2023
Journal Name
Egyptian Journal Of Chemistry
Application of UV-A light Operating Photoreactor for Green Degradation of Direct Blue 15 through the Photo-Fenton-like process: Effects and Box-Behnken Optimization
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Publication Date
Sun Aug 08 2021
Journal Name
Al – Bahith Al – A A‚lami
The Impact of Financial Financing on the Future of the Iraqi Print Press, A Survey Study by the Contactor
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The objectives of this study revolve around identifying the extent of funding impact on the future of the printed Iraqi press, and whether it threatens their chances of survival, stating the extent of technological development on the income of the printed newspaper, and identifying the causes of the financial crisis on the newspaper. This research is classified as descriptive research, and the researcher used the survey method, and adopted the questionnaire of the views of the contactors, in five Iraqi newspapers (morning - extent - time - the way of the people - the call). The research community included (68) respondents, whereby the comprehensive inventory method was used to define the research community, and the researcher used t

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