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jeasiq-1218
Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 29 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Carol Ann Duffy’s Poetry: Reframing the World
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In her poetry, Carol Ann Duffy looks into the concerns of the disregarded and humiliated people. Approaching facts fearlessly and disclosing realities in a way highly characteristic of her, she establishes the world newly and reframes it honestly. This research shows how Duffy reframes the world in her own peculiar terms, starting with her own creative use of the language, in particular, when the forms of things of the world are distorted, thus our perception of things will be reframed too.
As regards relations among people, the research elucidates how Duffy’s strained characters abandon real life and reframe an eccentric way of living, while respecting faith, wherein Duffy notices that religious rituals confine the intellect, she r

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 14 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Cultural Identity in David Gentelman’s Works
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The study of cultural identity and its data in the designer’s work is considered a cultural nature to highlight the cultural identity and link it to the national culture of their country and society. It provides a reflection and translation of the society’s culture, traditions, social and economic dimensions, the natural environment, and scientific phenomena. Within meanings translated into a variety of methods, including expressive and realistic, which defines the designer’s relationship with his society and the national culture of his country and his connection with the civilization of the country.
The research problem came with the following question: What are the data of cultural identity in the work of designer David Gent

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 14 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
proposed rules in the eastern musical theories.
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This paper deals with one of important topics that serve the art movement music, which is looking at the stairs of Arab music in the process of reaching to the directory musical on the subject of so-called (Photo by stairs music) and that by comparing the method used previously and the proposed rules reached by the researcher and received the patent invention, the method is easier for the musician and the author in a directory of peace Arab music when used on grades and half grades voice, and to achieve its objectives researcher dealt with the problem that is determined by the multitude of stairs leading Arab and the difficulty of keeping its catalog of music, and for being an anchor and pillar of the music was taken up and put her impor

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 30 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Role of Product Innovation on an Improvement of the Organization's Reputation /A Field Study in State Organization for Marketing of Oil (SOMO)
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 This paper aims to verify the existence of relationships between product innovation and the reputation of the organization. The study problem is that the State Organization for Marketing of Oil (SOMO) system is inflexible in terms of marketing procedures and needs innovative, unconventional methods in innovating its products and improving performance. The reputation of the organization. The importance of the study lies in that it is an attempt to raise the interest of SOMO in its approach to the research variables in order to enhance its competitive position in the future and improve the marketing business environment, which contributes to enhancing the reputation of the organization by product innovation. The study sample

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The significance of the additional verb in Al-shakshakiah sermon of Imam Ali (peace be upon him)
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The contextual clues researcher guide to determine the meaning of the word is likely to several meanings, was contextual clues Dalili in determining the meanings morphological acts whipped in a sermon Alhqhqih.
And meanings are endless on the contrary language words used to express these meanings, we find that one word may be used to express more than one meaning, leading to the phenomenon of semantic possibility.
So it was inevitable that contain language text on the signs designate the reader and listener and researcher to identify the intended meaning, and these signs are contextual clues in the text.
Actual formulas whipped features from other formulas morphological Pkthertha frequent use and the large number of meanings men

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Publication Date
Tue Aug 15 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Identifying the Level of Effective Leadership Practices : An Analytical Research in "The Office of Iraqi Interior Ministry "
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The current research aims to identify the level of effective leadership practices dimensions (clear vision and specific goals, good planning and effective influence, and monitoring well as evaluation) among the senior leaders in the Office of the Iraqi Interior Ministry., The researchers adopted the descriptive analytical approach to collect data through the questionnaire as a main tool, developed by relying on international standards after making adjustments to its items consisting of (25) items that included the research variable, the questionnaire was distributed to all the research community (comprehensive inventory) by 120 forms from emplo

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 21 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
Evaluation of some indicators of urbanization in the city of al-Qaim in the Iraqi province of Anbar
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Urban Balance is one of the important indicators that leads to an assessment of the urbanization process in a particular country  , province or even a city that is multi-centered. By examining  the data related to Anba  province, it was found that the value of this indicator is equal to 0.96, which is less than the absolute one, and therefore the urbanization in the province is distributed collectively  

The development of a mathematical or statistical model for estimating urban growth is a complex process due to the overlap between indicators or variables that can be adopted to calculate estimate growth rates Al-Qaim city has been considered as an example to develop a statistical method by which changes

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
Representations of the body in the works of the artist Ali Al-Najjar (analytical study): رحاب حسين حسن-سلام ادور يعقوب اللوس
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The twentieth century witnessed developments, transformations and artistic revolutions, including what was witnessed in Arab art, especially contemporary Iraqi plastic art, and as a result, research and studies have increased that dealt with its topics in different ways, which has become a presence that gave it its own language and unique discourse, especially the body, thus opening the way for its employment in composition, to become a form. It denotes interpretable meanings through its various formal representations, which are artistic, cultural and cognitive products. The modernity of the Iraqi formation in the body has passed through different roles, so it started to deal with the body as a representation that reflects the real envir

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 09 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Financial technology as one of the recovery strategies of the Iraqi banking sector in the post-Covid-19 stage: An exploratory study
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The research aims to employ one of the most important strategies for recovery from the crisis of the Covid-19 pandemic, which ravaged the economies of the entire world and its various sectors, including the banking sector, through financial technology that is based on digital transformation to achieve financial sustainability and the creation of innovative financial value chains in light of the decline in the banking sector as a result of The negative effects of the Covid-19 pandemic, be guided by the relevant international accounting standards to control the risks associated with financial technology. To recover from the Covid-19 crisis, the research came out with a set of recommendations, most notably financial technology from

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The role of internal audit in promoting social performance reports
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The research aims to demonstrate the impact of internal audit in Iraqi economic units on enhancing social performance reports, through the statistical models used, as a survey list (for the independent variant) of the search, which contains five axes of each axis, contains a set of The questions were prepared on the basis of the standards issued by the Institute of Internal Auditors (IIA) and were distributed to a sample of internal auditors, as for (for the approved variable) the researcher obtained numerical data represented by the financial statements of the research sample and used statistical models such as model (Kolmakrov-Smirnov) is a good match (goodness of fit) which assumes that the data is distributed naturally as wel

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