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Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 23 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Laser
Effect of High Energy Nd:Glass Laser on the Drilled in the 5052 AlMg Alloy
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This study presents the effect of laser energy on burning loss of magnesium from the holes' drilled in aluminum alloy 5052. High energy free running pulsed Nd:Glass laser of 300 µs pulse duration has been used to perform the experiments. The laser energy was varied from 1.0 to 8.0 Joules, The drilling processes have been carried out under atmospheric pressure and vacuum inside a specially designed chamber. Microhardness of the blind drilled holes has been investigated .The results indicated that the magnesium loss could be manipulated by adjusting the focusing conditions of the laser beam. Almost, the obtained holes were free of cracks with low taper and low sputter deposition. .The holes performed under atmospheric conditions have high

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 30 2022
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Infrastructure components Reading in selected texts from the letters of the Brothers of Purity
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Absract

The letters of the Al-Safa Brothers contain many tales, in which each story is a literary text that is independent from the other texts, but it constitutes a unified entity in its entirety, because these stories contain recurring structural elements that go into building each one of them. The stories - the subject of the analysis - were not keen on something that was keen on adhering to the Sufi vision and its apparent effect on the tales of the messages, starting with the announcement of the narration to the narrator and his attempt to persuade the recipient of the truth of what is being told and its realism, and made him believe it. The stories correspond to the formal construction of the ideal style defined by th

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 28 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Role of Social Work in Reducing the Phenomenon of Fanaticism: حسن فاضل جواد
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The present study is concerned with the concept of ethics academically. It aims to investigate the major problems that contemporary Iraqi society suffers from; on top of which is the problem of sectarian and religious intolerance. Such a problem has a major role in the emergence of extremism and terrorism. It further destabilizes the security and stability of the country, exposing, as a result, the lives of citizens to the danger of genocide, disintegrating the social structure, stopping the wheel of development, rampant corruption, and deteriorating the political, social, moral and economic situation. Here comes the role of social work as governmental institutions and civil society organizations in curbing this reprehensible phenomenon

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2014
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The Arts of Media Writing / An Empirical Study on the Privacy of Media Writing
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Media writing is accuracy writing. Clarity and concision are its predominant features. It is a writing that goes straight to the essence because it has no time to waste. Furthermore, it must be as accurate as scientific writing. It is destined for the average reader and has to be understood by everyone. However, it can be as elegant as literary writing. The variety in its forms of expression does not prevent media writing from having its own amplitude.

In short, this study is a practical approach that aims at studying different kinds of writing styles and identifying the specificity of media writing using some patterns and examples

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Reading Trend in the Recent School Book
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Reading Trend in the Recent school book

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The political development in Moritania 1967-1934
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Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Grace in the Holy Quran: Objective study
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God is the source of every grace in which man lives and enjoys, and there is no one in the world told himself that created and destined and ridiculed and found out of nothing God Almighty alone.
The grace is an affliction from God Almighty, when God Almighty blesses his servant with money or children and others, the slave thinks the acceptance of God Almighty, but may be a source of affliction and scrutiny.

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Publication Date
Tue Aug 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The new aesthetic in contemporary world painting
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The research tagged: the new aesthetic in contemporary world painting. The research contained five chapters. The first chapter dealt with the research problem and its importance. It dealt with the concept of the new aesthetic as a concept concerned with the topics of the mind, i.e. the most comprehensive and diverse topics. The New Aesthetic is an aesthetic and stylistic structure whose taste, aesthetic, artistic and emotional contribute to its structure with awareness of the context. The aim of the research is to identify the new aesthetic in contemporary world painting. As for the objective limits of the research, the researcher was interested in studying the new aesthetic, especially in abstract expressionism, pop art, opera, and conc

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2019
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Hadiths Fasting volunteer in the six books
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Hadiths Fasting volunteer in the six books

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 19 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
Performance of the comedian in Moliere plays
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This research aims to study the performance of comedian in the plays of writer Moliere . The problem of research is to answer the following question:      How does comedian Moliere's techniques in a number of his plays and funny acts?   The    research aims at revealing the means used by the comedian in his performance of a comedic character in the number of Moliere plays.                                                 

   &

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