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Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
Geopolitical dimensions of the cinematic image in the films of the Palestinian cause: إبراهيم نعمة محمود - فاضل محمود خضير
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For more than seven decades, the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has not ended, and every one claims his right to the land, waters, airspace and wealth of Palestine. This conflict was reflected in the political, military, social and cultural aspects, and the cinema had a prominent role in conveying messages to the world about this conflict. On the geopolitical dimensions and their impact on the cinematic image in the films of the Palestinian cause), the researchers divided the research into four frameworks that came as follows: (methodological framework) and included the research problem, its importance, research objectives, research limits and sealing the chapter by defining the terms. And (theoretical framework): it was divided into two s

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 03 2020
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The problem of political change in Algeria
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The article aims to study the crisis of political change  from three Phases . The first focuses on the crises of political legitimacy and democratic postponement, as fundamental issues in analyzing the phenomenon of power struggle through the dialectic between the concept of historical legitimacy and institutional fragility from the beginning of statehood in 1962 to the stage of multi-partyism and the cessation of the electoral process in the 1990s. While the second focuses on the question of the monopoly of power in the post-terrorism and national reconciliation according to considerations  Political, social and security measures to prolong the life of the regime and avoid the demands of political change brought about

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Publication Date
Thu May 18 2023
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Lamentation in the poetry of Hafez Ibrahim
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Elegy is one of the foundations of the Arab poetic heritage, and it is one of the main sections of poetry. Man has found in him his desire to express his innermost self at an hour filled with pain, and an outlet from which his anguish and grief come out in an expressive form that liberates tears and reproaches death.
Lamentation is an evolving purpose that grows with the growth of society and life and records the change that takes place in every stage of history. It is an important result of the poet's collision with life and events.
That is why I chose the lamentation poetry of Hafiz Ibrahim, due to the importance of this art to him, and it is the art in which he excelled the poets of his time.
I have divided this research into

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Publication Date
Tue Aug 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
Digital technologies in the means of communication
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Modern digital technologies have affected the means of communication in terms of structure, function and methods of dealing with them, and the communication process has changed, becoming bilateral, reciprocal and interactive, after it was one-way and limited in circulation and the roles changed, so the receiver became the sender and reversed is correct, and the culture of the active user and the participant spread, and the communication process became continuous.
The international information network has provided new electronic channels in the media and communication that are not known and opened a new era for these means, which led to a trend towards digital media in an unprecedented way.
The new communication platforms are the re

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The purpose of charity in tongue science
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The purpose of charity in tongue science

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 30 2006
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Secrets of mountains in the Holy Quran
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Praise be to God, who made the pegs of the earth and entrusted them with the task of keeping the earth from tilting, and prayers and peace be upon the one to whom the Qur’an was revealed, Muhammad, and upon his family and all his companions.

The topic of mountains is one of the important topics in human life, as God has associated great miracles with them that indicate the perfection of the power of God Almighty. God Almighty says: (And to the mountains, my palms have turned. This is worthy of every rational person to contemplate His signs, the Almighty, in this solid part and safety belt of the earth, in order to reveal the secrets of the mountains and uncover their treasures. The more the researcher studies the mountains and

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Publication Date
Sun Aug 18 2019
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The succession of power's problem in Lebanon
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Abstract Political power in Lebanon is a fundamental objective of any political organization, whether political party or political group. Thus, there is a conflict of power. There are two kinds of political conflict that are differentiated by the idea of legitimacy. The competition is in the political system when the agreement between the social forces is considered legitimate, and the conflict is on the political system when the agreement between these forces ceases to be legitimate and Are working to topple it and seek to establish an alternative system. Therefore, the succession of power in Lebanon is a result of the competition and political conflict, which is in turn a result of the large number of regional and international players

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 12 2017
Journal Name
Al-academy
Expressive speech in the art of acting
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The expressive speech in the art of acting is considered to be the leading action for thinking and the interior interaction of the individual, in the organization of his relationship with the elements of the environment and its content, and the more acquired the individual's performance today skills in organizing and export of his conflicts and natural occasions , whenever , becomes more adaptable and an interpreted physically and acoustically inside pluralities in personalities, suited to the modern age. This research has addressed a range of topics related to expressive speech in the art of acting, since the first chapter included a systematic framework of the research, represented by the problem , the importance and aims of research t

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 12 2017
Journal Name
Al-academy
The constructional shifts in Picassos Ceramics Search
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With the massive presence of the critical approaches &, artistical School, movements, methods, Concepts, & theories, which came to take its chance from arts in general view & the plastic arts in special view. The Searches of fine arts & what this methods present from excitement become the point for many questions, & go to the purposes to be useful. For the artistic Work to come out in aesthetic image, especially on the subject of reading& reception, & entering it into layout of multiple relationships, for the artistic Work to be more simulation of the appearances of the things & interpreted it in Accor.
Dance to aesthetic that Limited by the new method. With those Innovative Visions, & Composite Sy

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 14 2022
Journal Name
Al-academy
Space Efficiency in the Arabic Calligraphy panel
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 Most of the propositions, after the Arabic letter reached a position of integrity and proficiency, the calligrapher turned to the production of calligraphic formations in various aesthetic and expressive forms, investing the spiritual energies in what these calligraphic compositions show in artistic paintings. It carries a lot of meanings that are embodied in linear formations, and in order to reach these expressions and know the effective positions of space, this research is concerned with studying these technical treatments. The first chapter included the research problem, which included a question about the effectiveness of space in the linear painting, the importance of research and the temporal and spatial boundaries. As for the s

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