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jeasiq-1218
Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Study the positive effects of “Whatsup” application in the educational process
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Limited importance of research in a stand on the most important difficulties faced by both faculty and parents to communicate with each process to follow up on their children, and the analysis and inventory of the obstacles that hinder the educational process, and work to develop a vision of how to address these constraints and the important role of technology in the treatment of problems of the society so as to develop frameworks future to minimize the errors and the problems they face, and the development outlook for future generations in order to promote the educational level, especially that Iraq is going through a change in conditions in all sectors. Through the questionnaire, which includes questions set that was made on a sample o

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 29 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Scientific values in the chemistry curriculum For the sixth grade scientific
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The goal of current research to know the according of scientific values in the curriculum of chemistry sixth - grade science To achieve this goal wasa to build aalistaofa scientifica values toa be included in the curriculum of chemistry sixth - grade science after seeing a group of literature and previous studies, the list presented to a group of arbitrators and specialists in educational and psychological sciences and methods of teaching science, and curricula and teaching methods , Arbitrators and specialists have expressed their views and comments on the tool, and that the list was formed in final form (9) values Head of scientific includes ( 35) sub - value, then the researcher analyzed the chemistry curriculum for sixth grade Scient

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 01 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
THE MEENTAL FACTS CONCEPTS IN THE (1408) FILM: حيدر صبري جعفر
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The location element indispensable in the film, it is the container that meets the all the elements of the artwork, and place in the cinema topic or space as the existence of a material perceptible senses, is one of the key elements in the drama because he is one of the conditions to achieve supply drama which, with the nature of the vehicle because it is linked to reality the real and the reality of mental imagined, and returns the importance of the place mentally to change the pattern in the building's traditional place in the world of the film, is that the space under the facts of the events imagined or mental and determined by the processors directorial, and where mental in the movies but found himself a world with a pace sometimes s

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 13 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
The The Predictive Role of Sociodemographic Factors in Nurses' Psychological Hardiness
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Objective(s): The study aims to identify the role of sociodemographic factors in predicting the level of psychological hardiness of nurses.

Methodology: A descriptive correlational study conducted in the Medical City hospitals in the city of Baghdad during the period from November 1, 2022 to May 1, 2023 on a sample of 156 male and female nurses.  The validity of the quest

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 10 2017
Journal Name
Al-academy
The important the drama dance in sporte iraqes theatre acting actor
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dance that reflect deferent sides from life human , in this search ensure for the causation can the expressionistic dancing be development acting actor in Iraqis theatre ? so this search concept of section one composed of the search problem  , and important  the search  and need it , aimed the search , lines search it composed of the lines time ,  place , and lines subject , and the searcher ended this section with practical terms .   Section tow – theatrical lines form that composed of part one the dance kinds: the expressionistic dancing, is very important in analyses the symbol .                     

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The role of monetary policy tools in stimulating local investments in Algeria
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Abstract

The various countries seek to encourage their local investments through the various policies they follow. The most important of these is the monetary policy, which is a means and procedures taken by the monetary authority to control the supply of money and maintain its stability of its financial impact on economic activity.
       The effect of monetary policy is to stimulate domestic investment through money supply that is inversely related to the interest rate and a direct relationship with domestic investment. When money supply increases, interest rates fall and local investment growth rates rise, but when the rise in money supply is high, Inflationary measure

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Publication Date
Tue Mar 31 2020
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The benefits extracted from Surah of Prophet Mohammed ( peace upon him and on his family) from the beginning of Surah until the end of Ayah 15/ the 1st part
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The current study is concerned  over the  benefits  from  our Prophet  ' Surah , these   benefits  are seven  which are : the first : (  The  losing  , disappointment ,  weakness  in the affairs  of those disbelievers ,the second : showing the affairs of the believers   in respect to integrity ,  forgiveness   and rest, the third :  Indicating  the big difference  between the believers and disbelievers , each team has   his own characteristics that being distinguished from the other,  I have explained  the benefit   that the disbelievers are in a difficult

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 30 2022
Journal Name
Revista Iberoamericana De Psicologia Del Ejercicio Y El Deporte
THE EFFECT OF (HIT) TRAINING ON IMMUNE GLOBULINS AND WHITE BLOOD CELLS FOR AMATEUR WEIGHTLIFTERS AFTER THE RETURN OF ACTIVITY FROM THE MANDATORY QUARANTINE FOR THE COVID-19 EPIDEMIC
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The aim of the research is to identify an appropriate training method that raises the levels of immune globulins (IgA, IgM, IgG) and white blood cells and the effect of training by (HIT) method using resistance (weights) as a training curriculum that increases immunity and ensures the continuation of the pills after the return of activity from the stone The response to the Covid-19 epidemic among amateur weightlifters, the researchers relied on the method of trace analysis in an experimental way by conducting a pre-, medial and post-test with the same experimental one agroup on a sample of amateur weightlifters in the Fury private hall for weightlifting and body building in Adhamiya, the number of sample members reached (15 players) who int

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 30 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Reflection of the Adoption of IFRS 17 “Insurance Contracts” on the Procedures for Auditing Insurance Contracts in the Iraqi Environment
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          IFRS 17 aims to provide a unified basis for accounting for all types of insurance contracts, including reinsurance contracts, in a manner that benefits both investors and insurance companies and enhances the ability of the financial statements of insurance companies for comparison between companies listed in financial markets around the world. According to this standard, insurance contracts are accounted for on the basis of the Asset-Liability Approach and the use of fair values that the standard requires updating regularly in order to provide more useful information to the users of financial statements, as a result of the failure of reporting requirements for insurance contr

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Publication Date
Thu Apr 30 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Role of E-Learning in enhancing Total Quality Management in Educational Institutions: an exploratory study of the opinions of a sample of the staff of the Directorate of Education in the province of Nineveh
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Purpose: The research aims to determine the relationship between E-Learning and Total Quality Management (TQM) in Educational institutions in Nineveh Governorates.

Methodology / Design: The researchers distributed (30) questionnaires to employees (teachers and administrators) of Nineveh Governorate education who represent the community of the research sample, as they were analyzed using the SPSS V.20

The importance of research: The importance of the research in the fact that it focuses on one of the educational methods represented in integrating the traditional method and relying on modern technologies using computers and the Internet in the field of education to improve the reali

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