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jeasiq-1218
Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The role of paid the offices of the Inspectors General on mutation fraud Crimes
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       Fraud crimes, which is a form of crimes against the funds in public office, is one of the crimes of traditional and cutting-edge in the same time, but it took a distinct character from other traditional crimes because of what is based upon, behavioral fundamentals and foundations and expressive image of personal qualities, concentrated in the mental work, the inventive sophistication, and skillful abilities of the perpetrators of these crimes, in addition to what is owned by crooks today a behavioral ability represented in underestimating laws and instructions. Fraud is considered one of the organized crime methods It is the most important method of its methods, all crimes practiced by the cro

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 28 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The role of accounting system in the recovery from the impact of financial crisis
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          This study aims to identify the concepts of financial crisis and its reasons of creation , also explain the effects of the accounting disclosure and the International Accounting Standards in current financial crisis, In addition to,  indicate the role of accounting in the reform of the financial system from the impact of financial crisis.      

       The  methodology of this study orientied to two main aspects, the first is an identifying approach through exploring the opinion of financial experts, the second aspect is based on an analytical approach to satisfy the requirements  of experts to get there opi

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 30 2023
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The guiding strategy In the Friday declaim of the Mohammad Mohammad Sadiq al-Sadr.
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Discourse is a form of communication, and It carries with it an Intellectual framework, and It is a form of expression to communicate Ideas to people through an interactive process.The interest and analysis of discourse Is one of the most important fields of linguistic studies, and It has a basis In ancient studies, and It has become one of the most Important topics of the study, and (Sayyid al-Sadr) often uses guidance In his sermons.

By extrapolating and analyzing a set of examples received, from the perspective of the deliberative approach and the theory of speech acts, and the statement of the extent to whichh (Sayyid al-Sadr) relied on linguistic elements, and the use of the rank of the speaker In issuing directives, and the

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 28 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The statistic structure of the title in the poetry of Muhammed Ali Kazim Haider
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In this research, we attempt to show the extent of harmony in an aspect of the text according to the stylistics for the Knowing of the stylistic value of the title threshold, and the pathways of titles that suggest and support the meaning when the recipient reads the literary text, in addition to the interpretations that reflect the purposes of the poet who contributed to the drawing of his poetic achievement. The research presented a brief about the poet and his most important works, because they are the text which will be studied according to the stylistics. The research also explained the concept of style and the stylistics in the preface , because of the stylistic is the method adopted by the research to study the title thresholds in

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 30 2019
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The approach of Al-Hafiz Ibn Al-Malqin, in his followings on the Nisaburi ruler, through the book Al-Badr Al-Munir in the graduation of hadiths of the great commentary
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Praise be to God, Lord of the worlds, and peace and blessings be upon our master Muhammad and his family and companions as follows:
   For God Almighty has swapped for every age a group of religious scholars who give news to the narrators, so that they can lie against the Sunnah of the Mustafa, who is among those who memorized Ibn Al-Mulqin, as he followed the ruler in his book Al-Badr Al-Munir in the Hadith of Al-Sharh Al-Kabeer, and our research included two topics, which we explained in the first topic: The sequels in which the teacher's son Al-Malqin disagreed, and we discussed in the second topic: the followings in which Ibn Al-Malqin agreed to rule.
   This research included important results, th

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2013
Journal Name
Photonics & Lasers In Medicine
The assessment of pathological changes in cerebral blood flow in hypertensive rats with stress-induced intracranial hemorrhage using Doppler OCT: Particularities of arterial and venous alterations/Die Beurteilung von pathologischen Veränderungen der Hirndurchblutung bei hypertensiven Ratten mit Stress-induzierten intrakraniellen Blutungen mittels Doppler-OCT: Besonderheiten von arteriellen und venösen Veränderungen
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Abstract<p>Hemorrhagic insult is a major source of morbidity and mortality in both adults and newborn babies in the developed countries. The mechanisms underlying the non-traumatic rupture of cerebral vessels are not fully clear, but there is strong evidence that stress, which is associated with an increase in arterial blood pressure, plays a crucial role in the development of acute intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), and alterations in cerebral blood flow (CBF) may contribute to the pathogenesis of ICH. The problem is that there are no effective diagnostic methods that allow for a prognosis of risk to be made for the development of ICH. Therefore, quantitative assessment of CBF may significantly advance the underst</p> ... Show More
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Publication Date
Sun Jan 27 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Unemployment among the youth
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The research talked about one of the important social subject that care public so cities which is .
This subject deals with three subdivisions papers :-
The first one deals with the reasons of unemployment mentioned the definition of it in addition to make a comparison between it and inertia . then talked specially about unemployment that had got in our wounded country become of wars in it .
It had a branch talked about in Islamic society .
The second one deals with the negative results of unemployment specially economic , moral and social with their roles in spreading negative phenomenon in our society as terrorist , stolen … etc …
The third one deals with the ways of reducing unemployment and trying to limit it , tha

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Extravagant in the Koran
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This research deals with a disease of the diseases our Muslim society, which works in the
body operate deadly epidemics in the bodies and of bodies, but it is extravagant; has spread
and rampant in our uncle everything which threatens significant damage in this life and the
afterlife, as well as that it shows that Alasirafla limited to extravagant in wasting money and
with this blessing should not have, and not be used as created him .
Excessive linked to all aspects of life, physical and moral it has many pictures and various
forms, came at the forefront of research and five sections:
The first topic: the meaning of truth and extravagant.
The second topic: Photos extravagant reprehensible contained in the Koran.<

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Publication Date
Mon Jul 01 2013
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The regional attitude towards the change in the Arab region: turkey as a case study
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This research deals with the nature of the Turkish attitude towards the events of the Arab Spring which the Arab region witnessed recently, as this attitude is characterized by hesitation and utter confusion about those events at its beginning. However, the development of events and the consequent repercussions led the Turkish decision makers of the foreign policy to reconsider their attitude towards those events for political, economic, cultural and social motives.

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 03 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
The privacy of the interior design of art education spaces in the schools of excellence
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The current research deals with the specificity of the interior design of the classes of art education in the schools of excellence for the province of Muthanna and its center of the city of Samawah. In the first chapter، the problem of research was determined by the lack of internal spaces of the classes of art education to designs that meet the requirements and needs of students in these educational stages.  The importance of the research in being an addition to knowledge in the field of interior design and engineering department of the general directorates of the Ministry of Education. The objectives of the research were determined through.

  1. Identifying the reality of the halls of art education for sch

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