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jeasiq-1218
Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 30 2023
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The Role Of Atheism In The Demolition Of Societal Security
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The enemies of religion are still following the approach of undermining the Islamic faith in various ways through the diversity of methods of smear campaigns by raising suspicions to obliterate the Islamic identity and threaten security and stability of social life under the Islamic religion in Islamic societies, as we find that they have employed the doctrine of atheistic thought in order to distance people from the path of truth, distort the features of religion, destabilize psychological security and family stability, and thus destroy societal security by questioning the tolerant faith at times, and by raising suspicions at other times.

Hence, this research came to review the legal duty that requires Islamic scholars to protec

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 04 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Colors Harmony in the Poetry of Hana Al-Bawab
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The research is dealing with the color articulation and its significance in the poetry of Hana Al-bawab, who employed the “color” in a special technique in her poetry.The research is trying to deal with the identification of the color and its aesthetic significance and function in the poetic context, as it determines its indication and interaction with the words next to it in the context. The research will clarifies that the color is not only a visual phenomenon, but also an aesthetic, mental and emotional significance. The results that I have concluded, indicate that the poet has beseeched to display the color in her poetry with the plain and borrowed colors besides the inspired dark and bright colors. The color’s indication has b

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 15 2022
Journal Name
Al-academy
Attributes of the figure in the work of Afifa Aleiby
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The experiments and artistic performances in contemporary Iraqi painting varied between objective simulation and experimentation in other invisible worlds through metaphor and employment to express the latent implications between the human relationship with the tangible and the intangible. The research problem contained the answer to the following questions to understand the formal features in Afifa Laibi's drawings: What are the formal features of Afifa Laibi's drawings and what are the intellectual transformations that she embodied in presenting her subjective subjects? Did the Iraqi and global environmental changes and influences contribute to the forms of Afifa Laibi? The importance of the research also lies in the study of one of th

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 01 2006
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The Image of the Anti- Hero in James Joyce's Ulysses
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The hero traditionally has such admirable traits as courage, fortitude,
chivalry and patriotism. In the literary works, the hero is the leading
character and the pivot around which all the characters and the events
revolve. The characteristics of the hero usually reflect the cultural values
of his time. Because, in each age, Man's attitudes towards himself and the
world change, different images of the hero emerge.
In Greek Mythology, the hero is frequently favoured by the gods;
therefore, he is himself semi-divine. The Greek hero is of princely birth
and is endowed with good physique, exceptional strength, skill in
athletics and battle, energy and eloquence, like Odysseus who is the hero
of the Odyssey, long

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Publication Date
Wed May 17 2023
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
A stylistic vision of the objection in the Quranic discourse
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The modern stylistic lesson has become more committed to the scientific limits in which it believed, and more confident in itself, and it is no longer just a scientific procedure that helps other curricula and sciences that preceded it.

Based on this, our modest research ((a stylistic vision of the objection in the Quranic discourse)) arose to explore an artistic rhetorical phenomenon that was included in the Holy Quran text. ; Because analysis is a situation that allows us to see a lot and absorb the stranger more clearly.

And since the horizontal arrangement of the linguistic elements in which stylistically undistinguished elements meet with distinct ones, the other trend has emerged that believes that the stylistic dis

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Affect of learning the bag in the acquisition of historical concepts for students in the fifth grade literary history
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The  adopted method in the teaching of history is conservation and indoctrination in all grades, and this will lead to a lack of students interact with teachers in the course of the lesson, and poor use of teachers to questions that raise students' thinking during the lesson, which leads to a lack of interest in the topic of the lesson and wasting opportunities contribution making it the teacher at the center of the educational process, and to provide arrogating the researcher to contribute to teaching style with the belief that the use of this method of teaching could lead to overcome the difficulties and problems faced by the teaching material.

And there are educational complexes integrated approac

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Transfer Of Training In Framework Of Supporting The Work Environment Characteristics (Filed Research of The Generals lnspectors Offices)
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The  transfer of  training  process occupies a great importance in achieving the ultimate goal of participating in the training programs , it  is sure that this does not take place without the support of the working environment for trainees,  and The research aims to personification role the work environment characteristics  of supporting the transfer of training.                                    

The research problem is the weakness transfer of training to the work en

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 31 2023
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The fatwa based on the statement of Zafar In the Hanafi school of thought
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Each school of Islamic jurisprudence has principles and rules upon which the diligent work in these schools is based. This is due to the view of sanctification of these rulings, as they are divine rulings. Therefore, the goal is to reach a ruling that represents the intent of the legislator as much as possible.
Hence, these schools of thought established rules for issuing fatwas with the intention of restricting the performance of a fatwa to the hands of those who are qualified for it and have met its conditions, so they gave priority to the most knowledgeable person over others to perform the fatwa. In the Hanafi school of thought, for example, the saying of Imam Abu Hanifa (may God have mercy on him) is given precedence over others,

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Publication Date
Sun Aug 18 2019
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The impact of energy's policy in the strategy of restoring the Russian global role
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Abstract : This research has tackled about the role of Russia in the international policies which concerning with energy , So the most important states in the world that possesses huge energy resources to be more able in the control over the reality and future production programs and the distribution of global energy alike , the latter had effectively influence on the economic and developmental aspects within many countries in the world and its impacts on political decisions and perhaps effected too much in the dimensions of strategic policies . In this context of research , Russia has been developed a high energy policy of strategic planning in order to restoring Russia position and its global role by using its potential powerful streng

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 08 2024
Journal Name
Al-academy
The influence of heritage on the ceramic sculpture of the American potter Paula Rice
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The current study entitled (the influence of heritage in the ceramic sculpture of the America Potter Paula Rice)
The study is based on four chapters:
Chapter I included structural find of clarification of the research problem and its importance, also included a mention of the research limits and the aim of this study, which is:
-Identify sculptures Ceramic affected ranges for Potter Paula Rice civilization heritage of intellectual and artistic, whether global or local.
-Trying to detect and intellectual influences the formalism of inherited and which resulted in the latest version of the unfinished ceramic artist.
-Did the artist callback method to the values inherent succeeded in the embodiment of the meaning of originali

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