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jeasiq-1218
Using the Box Jenkins models to predict Iraq's cement production and to demonstrate its adequacy under future construction projects
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تعد صناعة السمنت في العراق من اقدم الصناعات الحديثة واكثرها تطورا وتقدما ومن اقواها تاثيرا في الاقتصاد القومي. واذ توفر في صناعة السمنت العراقي كافة المستلزمات الناجحة من حيث توفر المواد الاولية والخبرات الفنية والتقنية واسواق ثابتة وراسخة محليا وعالميا فقد كان من المفروض ان يتم التوسع في هذه الصناعة، وان التخطيط لهذه الصناعة امرا ضروريا خاصة وان مادة السمنت هي احدى اهم المواد الرئيسة التي يؤثر توفرها بشكل كبير على انجاز المشاريع العمرانية والاقتصادية ومن هذا المنطلق فقد تم اعداد الدراسات لمستقبل هذه الصناعة من اجل النهوض بها وتطويرها وتوسيعها.

 وان هدف البحث هو التنبؤ بكميات انتاج السمنت العراقي للمدة المستقبلية (2003 - 2013) باستخدام افضل نماذج بوكس جينكنز الملائمة (B -J).

 وقد توصل البحث الى جملة من الاستنتاجات وهي: باستخدام طريقة بوكس جينكنز وجد ان السلسلة غير مستقرة وبذلك تم اخذ الفرق الاول بهدف تحقيق الاستقرارية. وكذلك من سلوك معاملات الارتباط الذاتي والجزئي استنتجنا انه امكن تحديد واختيار النموذج الملائم لتمثيل السلسلة، حيث كان النموذج الملائم هو  ARIMA (2, 1, 0) وكذلك وجدنا ان الحدود الدنيا للتنبؤ قد تكون سالبة، وهذا مما يدل على انه في حالة الحاجة الماسة الى هذه المادة فأن الانتاج المحلي قد لا يكفي لذلك يلجأ البلد الى سد النقص الحاصل عن طريق الاستيراد.

 اما التوصيات فهي: نوصي باعتماد النموذج الذي تم التوصل اليه في طريقة بوكس – جينكنز بغية الاستفادة منها في التخطيط والتنبؤ للفترات القادمة. وكذلك نوصي الشركة العراقية لانتاج السمنت ان تعتمد على القيم التنبئية المستخرجة من تطبيق النموذج برسم خططها المستقبلية. وكذلك ان البلد في الوقت الحالي بحاجة الى عملية اعمار واسعة لذلك نوصي بزيادة الطاقة الانتاجية من هذه المادة لغرض سد النقص الحاصل.

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
The Gumbel- Pareto Distribution: Theory and Applications
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In this paper, for the first time we introduce a new four-parameter model called the Gumbel- Pareto distribution by using the T-X method. We obtain some of its mathematical properties. Some structural properties of the new distribution are studied. The method of maximum likelihood is used for estimating the model parameters. Numerical illustration and an application to a real data set are given to show the flexibility and potentiality of the new model.

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Semantic differences between the Quran and abnormal
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This research Find semantic relations between the Holy Quran and readings anomalous in particular, does not mention the readings anomalies are all but signed the examples of them where he found a marked contrast between them and what is known in the Holy Quran, and the intervention of research in the words of the commentators and between their views and stated what is unacceptable and what before, nor Luck meaning significantly different in some readings, leading to different Islamic ruling as well, also found that of the readings made clear what is meant by the blessed verse in the Holy Quran and signed to be even if it was abnormal.

 

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Publication Date
Thu Mar 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
The Satellite Images Matching and Mosaic Techniques
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      The Matching and Mosaic of the satellite imagery play an essential role in many remote sensing and image processing projects. These techniques must be required in a particular step in the project, such as remotely change detection applications and the study of large regions of interest. The matching and mosaic methods depend on many image parameters such as pixel values in the two or more images, projection system associated with the header files, and spatial resolutions, where many of these methods construct the matching and mosaic manually. In this research, georeference techniques were used to overcome the image matching task in semi automotive method. The decision about the quality of the technique can be considered i

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Arabic Grammar between Originality and Sufficiency
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The Arabic Grammar between Originality and Sufficiency

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 08 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
fabrication and study the characteristic of PbTelSi
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In this research has been the manufacture and study the properties of the solar cell type retail hybrid manner thermal evaporation emptiness were studying the properties of the cell at room temperature showed measurements stream circuit behavior linear cell manufacturers reached were calculated efficiency tool cell manufacturers, as well as the expense of workers filling the cell

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Publication Date
Tue Jul 01 2014
Journal Name
Sage Open
Individual Mobility and the Sense of “Deadlock”
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Individual mobility is an outcome of the rapid changes in life; it is revealed in particular literary works within the end of the 19th century. Mobility is clearer in modern time as the individual has become physically freer in his movement. But the individual’s freedom is often conditioned by restrictions. Usually, change stimulates individuals to obtain new structure of feeling; the individual mocks or rages against institutions, or he would comply, suffering rapid personal deterioration as he faces effective stability or institutions. There is a continuous sense of “deadlock.” Sylvia Plath’s novel reflects the depression of an intellectual young woman who fails to find her right path muddled by an inconsistent, confusing

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Publication Date
Thu Jul 27 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Design And Textiles
Defining the Design Process: Methodology and Creation
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The current study is unique in its emphasis on investigating design operation and concept from multiple scientific perspectives: including invention, technique, and design components. This research tends to study the methodology and creation of design process in a holistic manner so that the readers may grasp their characteristics and properties down to its minute epistemological detail. The investigation of the design concept is where the real groundwork and pressing need for the study begin. Creation and methodology are two primary concepts in relation to design these relationships can be formed in any design because of the various forces that act upon it. The primordial objective of this study is to evaluate the relationship betw

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Publication Date
Wed Aug 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
(Energy alternatives and the possibility of substitution)
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Many of the signs that the global energy system indicate the start of a period of transition from total dependence on fossil energy sources, especially oil, into a new era in which alternative energy sources play an important role in meeting the growing needs of energy demand, so sought many of the developed countries through research the studies carried out to try to bring renewable energy sources and non-renewable (shale oil, oil sands, solar energy, wind energy .... etc) replace traditional fossil energy sources (oil, gas, coal) and despite the recent availability dramatically and spread throughout the the world, but they are going to dry up in the foreseeable future. So many countries, especially the developed sought to find

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 03 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Translating the Genre of Quran: the Challenge of translating the inimitable: Translating the Genre of Quran: the Challenge of translating the inimitable
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Abstract
The main question raised in this paper is: Is it possible to translate the ‘genre’
of Quran? And if this ‘genre’ is Quran specific, a ‘genre’ of its own, i.e. a unique one,
how can the Quranic text be translated from Arabic into English or any other
language? This question has been raising a lot of controversy among translation
theorists, linguists, philosophers and scholars of Islam and specialists in the sciences
of Arabic language let alone Quran exegetes. Scholars of the Arabic language and
scholars of Islam have argued that because of the genre of Quran is the genre of (ijaz),
translatability can never be possible. Equivalence, thus, cannot be achieved especially
if we know that so far

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 30 2015
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Weightings of Imam Ibn al-Mundhir               In his middle book in Sunan, unanimity and difference - the book of prayer
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The Imam Ibn al-Mundhir is likely in Shafi'i school. He has outlined some issues and disagreed with his doctrine. And that the vocabulary on which he relied on the weighting is correct and correct and I choose which I say. One of the most likely issues is the delay of Isha prayer to the darkness. And other issues simplified in the folds of research and study.

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