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jeasiq-1080
The Effect of the Stability of Some Commodity Activities in Iraq on the Estimation of the Statistical Data Models for the Period (1988-2000)
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There is an assumption implicit but fundamental theory behind the decline by the time series used in the estimate, namely that the time series has a sleep feature Stationary or the language of Engle Gernger chains are integrated level zero, which indicated by I (0). It is well known, for example, tables of t-statistic is designed primarily to deal with the results of the regression that uses static strings. This assumption has been previously treated as an axiom the mid-seventies, where researchers are conducting studies of applied without taking into account the properties of time series used prior to the assessment, was to accept the results of these tests Bmanueh and delivery capabilities based on the applicability of the theory of statistical inference on these capabilities.
But the scientists Swedes Granger and Newbold 1974 blew up real surprise when, where researchers generate the time series random static Stationary Non (specifically chains conduct random) using the method of simulation of this series does not reflect any variable is known and then considered these chains separately. And then they make a large number of estimates of the regression using these strings on each other.

After the estimate was calculated values ​​of statistic t and under the assumption that the parameter real equal to zero (ie, the parameter estimates from the regression likes to be insignificant to the independence and random variables used in the estimate), but in spite of the fact that the time series was random and independent, the researchers found that zero hypothesis that the true parameter equal to zero was rejected or the possibility of greater frequency than expected by the theory were accepted moral relationship statistically, the researchers also noted that the residue resulting from the regression estimates by a large positive self-link. The researchers reached this conclusion important and serious that the capacity and statistical tests that result from the regressions used the time series is still considered the results of improper or false decline spurious regressions can not be reassuring to the results of statistical inference on its resources. The form of this research the starting point for new research in the field of sleep testing strings, cast doubt on the results of all previous standard tests used did not take the time series properties of time series into account by the estimate.

As for the current study, the test was intended to stabilize some of the activities in Iraq and the commodity involved (agriculture, manufacturing, construction, electricity and water) to estimate the models of integration between the cross-sectional data and time series.


 

 

 

On this basis, the research contained in the theoretical side Mbgesan, in the first part, the research methodology was presented by showing the importance of research which confirmed the account on the new addition to the specialists and researchers in this field. The research problem can be summarized in a statement after stabilizing the merged data on the results of the assessment method of least squares using the two-stage compact. While the aim of the research included the assessment of model integration between the data cross-sectional and time series using the GDP variable is supported and all of (the number of workers, investment) independent variables indicate the extent to stabilize the time series on the results of the assessment in order to reach more accurate results from a statistical standpoint . In addition, ensure the topic on the assumptions and the nature of the variables used in it. In the second part, the researchers introduced the concept of testing Dickey Fuller used in detecting the presence of the root of the unit (Unit root) and applied to the data used in the research, based on a program of economic measurement (Eviews 5.1) and present the results of different cases for each test and the presence or absence (Cutter, the general trend) to the data of some commodity activities in Iraq.
The practical side has included a summary of the results of the assessment using the least squares method combined with a comparison between the two cases (non-stability,, stability,) in the presence and the absence of fixed effects of periods and groups.

Finally, the researchers offer conclusions and recommendations reached by the research.

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 31 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages
إيقــاع النفـــس الشـــاعـرة في شعر الشاعر الصّقلي علي بن عبد الرحمن البلـَّنوبي
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Thu Dec 31 2020
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معيار القصديَّة في النص هو من الدراسات الحديثة المتطورة من لسانيات الجملة الى لسانيات النص ، وتحليل الخطاب . والذي يعنى بالطرق والأدوات التي يستغلها المؤلف لتحقيق الغايات المقصديَّة 

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 06 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الوسائل الوسائل العلاجيّة الطريفة في التراث العلمي العربي استعمال الأنغام الموسيقية أنموذجاَ
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Mon Jan 23 2023
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The stage of the establishment of the Alawite state in tabaristan was one of the most important stages in the history of the Shiite sect in Iran

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 04 2018
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شروط شروط الكتابة والوزارة في كتاب النصيحة لقابوس نامه (دراسة تاريخية مقارنة)
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Prince Kikaus  explained  to us Conditions of writing and establishing .Then he touched  upon the Conditions of the ministry and qualities that must be characterized Author and minister both need machines must be availabla in person if given these positions .he was creative in presenting his ideas which is not  without judgment an knowledge.He had a distinct style in mentioned professions and administrative hierarchy As explained in his speech About the writer and his Correspondence and construction and writer position who has developed into a minister then he touched it to the cabinet system and what the minister should do.of qualities .and the importance of the post of minister who mentioned several points to him ou

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 08 2026
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Publication Date
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The subject of population support is one of the most important topics in the geography of the population as it shows the amount of burden on the workforce in society and reflects the balance or

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Publication Date
Mon Nov 01 2021
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Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
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