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Bayesian Regularized Neural Network Model Development for Predicting Daily Rainfall from Sea Level Pressure Data: Investigation on Solving Complex Hydrology Problem
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Prediction of daily rainfall is important for flood forecasting, reservoir operation, and many other hydrological applications. The artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm is generally used for stochastic forecasting rainfall which is not capable to simulate unseen extreme rainfall events which become common due to climate change. A new model is developed in this study for prediction of daily rainfall for different lead times based on sea level pressure (SLP) which is physically related to rainfall on land and thus able to predict unseen rainfall events. Daily rainfall of east coast of Peninsular Malaysia (PM) was predicted using SLP data over the climate domain. Five advanced AI algorithms such as extreme learning machine (ELM), Bayesian regularized neural networks (BRNNs), Bayesian additive regression trees (BART), extreme gradient boosting (xgBoost), and hybrid neural fuzzy inference system (HNFIS) were used considering the complex relationship of rainfall with sea level pressure. Principle components of SLP domain correlated with daily rainfall were used as predictors. The results revealed that the efficacy of AI models is predicting daily rainfall one day before. The relative performance of the models revealed the higher performance of BRNN with normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) of 0.678 compared with HNFIS (NRMSE = 0.708), BART (NRMSE = 0.784), xgBoost (NRMSE = 0.803), and ELM (NRMSE = 0.915). Visual inspection of predicted rainfall during model validation using density-scatter plot and other novel ways of visual comparison revealed the ability of BRNN to predict daily rainfall one day before reliably.

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 02 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Investigating the influence of emitted Cadmium from crude oil combustion on glutathione level in workers at Al- Qudis power plant, Baghdad
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Al-Qudis power plant was chosen, as one of the power stations of Baghdad, to investigate the effects of Cadmium that emitted from combustion of crude oil in that power plant on the workers' glutathione serum level. Air samples were taken seasonally during August 2011- July 2012 from four sites at Al- Qudis power plant which are oil treatment unit 1(site 1), oil treatment 2 (site2), pre –chimney 1(site 3) and pre-chimney 2 (site 4), to measure levels of heavy metal (cadmium) under study. Blood samples were collected from the workers to estimate the heavy metal Cadmium. Air cadmium levels during summer (August and September) were varied from 6.26 ± 0.6 μg/m3 at site 1 to 6.89 ± 0.67 μg/m3 at site 3, while in spring (end of March, and

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 22 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Investigating the influence of emitted Cadmium from crude oil combustion on glutathione level in workers at Al- Qudis power plant, Baghdad
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Al-Qudis power plant was chosen, as one of the power stations of Baghdad, to investigate the effects of Cadmium that emitted from combustion of crude oil in that power plant on the workers' glutathione serum level. Air samples were taken seasonally during August 2011- July 2012 from four sites at Al- Qudis power plant which are oil treatment unit 1(site 1), oil treatment 2 (site2), pre –chimney 1(site 3) and pre-chimney 2 (site 4), to measure levels of heavy metal (cadmium) under study. Blood samples were collected from the workers to estimate the heavy metal Cadmium. Air cadmium levels during summer (August and September) were varied from 6.26 ± 0.6 μg/m3 at site 1 to 6.89 ± 0.67 μg/m3 at site 3, while in spring (end of March, and

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 30 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Effects of Gel Extract from Aloe Vera Cultivated in Iraq on Blood Glucose Level and Lipid Profile in Induced Diabetic Mice
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     In Iraq; there is a great demand for handling  some epidemic diseases such as hyperglycemia and hyperlipidema through searching some medical plant extracts which the country is rich with and contains an important phytochemicals that may solve  the incidence of such cases. Aloe vera that cultivated in Iraq, is known to be rich with biological active constituents.    The aim of  the  present study; the plant gel extract was subjected  to treat an induced diabetic lab mice through injecting  streptozotocin dose with  high fatty food to elevate lipid profile before induction of the gel oral treatment of the plant. In the study results: the oral administration of A.ver

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Geological Journal
A Review on Pressure Transient Analysis in Multilayer Reservoir: South Iraq Case Study
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Multilayer reservoirs are currently modeled as a single zone system by averaging the reservoir parameters associated with each reservoir zone. However, this type of modeling is rarely accurate because a single zone system does not account for the fact that each zone's pressure decreases independently. Pressure drop for each zone has an effect on the total output and would result in inter-flow and the premature depletion of one of the zones. Understanding reservoir performance requires a precise estimation of each layer's permeability and skin factor. The Multilayer Transient Analysis is a well-testing technique designed to determine formation properties in more than one layer, and its effectiveness over the past two decades has been

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 01 2010
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
Effect of Furnace Vacuum Pressure on the Joining Strength of Alumina Bonded Kovar
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Ceramic to metal joining technique, which was used in this investigation includes the use of active filler alloy as a sandwich between the alumina and kovar alloy for brazing. High purity powdered metals of silver, copper, and additives of titanium were used to prepare the active filler alloy, through compacting the mixed powders and alloying in a furnace with argon atmosphere at the temperature of 800oC for 10 minutes. To use it as an active filler metal, it has been modified to a proper thickness. Two groups of alumina were prepared with different sintering temperatures (1450oC and 1650oC) and each group was tested under atmospheric pressure, vacuum furnace pressure of 2*10-4 torr and vacuum furnace pressure of 2*10-6 torr. All the pro

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Complex of Lascoux in Partition (4,4,4)
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In this paper the diagrams and divided power of the place polarization
(k )
ij  , with
its capelli identities have been used, to study the complex of Lascoux in case of the
partition (4,4,4).

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 17 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Complex of Lascoux in Partition (3,3,2)
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In this paper, the complex of Lascoux in the case of partition (3,3,2) has been studied by using diagrams ,divided power of the place polarization ) (k ij ,Capelli identites and the idea of mapping Cone .

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Computers And Electronics In Agriculture
Meteorological data mining and hybrid data-intelligence models for reference evaporation simulation: A case study in Iraq
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Crossref (108)
Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Jun 30 2007
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Chemical And Petroleum Engineering
Predicting of Temperature Distribution in Direct Contact Heat Transfer
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An experimental and theoretical investigation of three phase direct contact heat transfer by evaporation of refrigerant drops in an immiscible liquid has been carried out. Refrigerant Rl2 and R134a were used for the dispersed phase, while water and brine were the immiscible continuous phase. A numerical analysis is presented to predict the temperature distribution throughout the circular test column radially and axially is achieved. Experimental measurements of the temperature distribution have been compared with the numerical results and are discussed .A comparison between the experimental and theoretical results showed acceptable agreement and applicability of the derived equations. Comparison with other related work showed similar beh

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Predicting Water Depth of Lake Using Remote Sensing image
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One of the most important of satellite image is studying the surface water
according of its distribution and depth. In this work, three images have been taken
for Baghdad and surrounding for year (1991, 1999 and 2014) and by using of envi
program has been used. Different classes have been evaluated for Al-Habania and
Al-Razaza River according to its depth and water reflectance. In the present work
four types of water depth (very shallow, shallow, moderate, and deep area) have
been detected.

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