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Bayesian Regularized Neural Network Model Development for Predicting Daily Rainfall from Sea Level Pressure Data: Investigation on Solving Complex Hydrology Problem
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Prediction of daily rainfall is important for flood forecasting, reservoir operation, and many other hydrological applications. The artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm is generally used for stochastic forecasting rainfall which is not capable to simulate unseen extreme rainfall events which become common due to climate change. A new model is developed in this study for prediction of daily rainfall for different lead times based on sea level pressure (SLP) which is physically related to rainfall on land and thus able to predict unseen rainfall events. Daily rainfall of east coast of Peninsular Malaysia (PM) was predicted using SLP data over the climate domain. Five advanced AI algorithms such as extreme learning machine (ELM), Bayesian regularized neural networks (BRNNs), Bayesian additive regression trees (BART), extreme gradient boosting (xgBoost), and hybrid neural fuzzy inference system (HNFIS) were used considering the complex relationship of rainfall with sea level pressure. Principle components of SLP domain correlated with daily rainfall were used as predictors. The results revealed that the efficacy of AI models is predicting daily rainfall one day before. The relative performance of the models revealed the higher performance of BRNN with normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) of 0.678 compared with HNFIS (NRMSE = 0.708), BART (NRMSE = 0.784), xgBoost (NRMSE = 0.803), and ELM (NRMSE = 0.915). Visual inspection of predicted rainfall during model validation using density-scatter plot and other novel ways of visual comparison revealed the ability of BRNN to predict daily rainfall one day before reliably.

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Publication Date
Sat Apr 30 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
The effect of the Coefficient Function on the Solution Behavior for the Second-Order Complex Differential Equation
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The purpose of this research paper is to present the second-order homogeneous complex differential equation   , where   , which is defined on the certain complex domain depends on solution behavior. In order to demonstrate  the relationship between the solution of the second-order of the complex differential equation and its coefficient of function, by studying the solution in certain cases: a meromorphic function, a coefficient of function, and if the solution is considered to be a transformation with another complex solution. In addition, the solution has been provided as a power series with some  applications.

 

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 04 2011
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Modifying Hebbian Network for Text Cipher
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The objective of this work is to design and implement a cryptography system that enables the sender to send message through any channel (even if this channel is insecure) and the receiver to decrypt the received message without allowing any intruder to break the system and extracting the secret information. This work modernize the feedforward neural network, so the secret message will be encrypted by unsupervised neural network method to get the cipher text that can be decrypted using the same network to get the original text. The security of any cipher system depends on the security of the related keys (that are used by the encryption and the decryption processes) and their corresponding lengths. In this work, the key is the final weights

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Physics: Conference Series
Impulsive Pressure Activity on MHD Flux Generalized Burgers Fluid
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Abstract<p>The main purpose of the work is to analyse studies of themagnetohydrodynamic “MHD” flow for a fluid of generalized Burgers’ “GB” within an annular pipe submitted under impulsive pressure “IP” gradient. Closed form expressions for the velocity profile, impulsive pressure gradient have been taken by performing the finite Hankel transform “FHT” and Laplace transform “LT” of the successive fraction derivatives. As a result, many figures are planned to exhibit the effects of (different fractional parameters “DFP”, relaxation and retardation times, material parameter for the Burger’s fluid) on the profile of velocity of flows. Furthermore, these figures are compa</p> ... Show More
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Publication Date
Wed Aug 30 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Effect of Pressure on Fabrty- Perot Interferometer Fringes Pattern.
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A design and construction of Fabry -Perot Interometer  system  were achivcd to spcify  and  calculate wavelengths to the neart  nanometers for spectroscopic research investigation, this  accuracy  required  for as the refractive index is a function of pressure on the medium   when the space between  the two windows is keptn constant .

He-Ne  laser (632.8)  nrn and  the green  laser (532)  nm  were  used  as

coherent sources.

Lasers of  (632.8)  & (532)nm  respeCtively,  were  used  as  coherent sources. Results  showed accuracy  of (0.2)nm in determining  the waveleng

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 14 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Boosting the Network Performance using Two Security Measure Scenarios for Service Provider Network
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Network security is defined as a set of policies and actions taken by a network administrator in order to prevent unauthorized access, penetrated the defenses and infiltrated the network from unnecessary intervention. The network security also involves granting access to data using a pre-defined policy. A network firewall, on the other hand, is a network appliance that controls incoming and outgoing traffic by examining the traffic flowing through the network. This security measure establishes a secure wall [firewall] between a trusted internal network and the outside world were a security threat in shape of a hacker or a virus might have existed

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Improving the Network Lifetime in Wireless Sensor Network for Internet of Thing Applications
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Mobile Wireless sensor networks have acquired a great interest recently due to their capability to provide good solutions and low-priced in multiple fields. Internet of Things (IoT) connects different technologies such as sensing, communication, networking, and cloud computing. It can be used in monitoring, health care and smart cities. The most suitable infrastructure for IoT application is wireless sensor networks. One of the main defiance of WSNs is the power limitation of the sensor node. Clustering model is an actual way to eliminate the inspired power during the transmission of the sensed data to a central point called a Base Station (BS). In this paper, efficient clustering protocols are offered to prolong network lifetime. A kern

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 19 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Quality of Experience Measurement for Video Streaming Based On Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System
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Technological development in recent years leads to increase the access speed in the networks that allow a huge number of users watching videos online. Video streaming is one of the most popular applications in networking systems. Quality of Experience (QoE) measurement for transmitted video streaming may deal with data transmission problems such as packet loss and delay. This may affect video quality and leads to time consuming. We have developed an objective video quality measurement algorithm that uses different features, which affect video quality. The proposed algorithm has been estimated the subjective video quality with suitable accuracy. In this work, a video QoE estimation metric for video strea

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 30 2010
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Chemical And Petroleum Engineering
PREDICTION OF FINITE CONCENTRATIONBEHAVIOR FROM INFINITE DILUTION EGUILIBRIUM DATA
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Experimental activity coefficients at infinite dilution are particularly useful for calculating the parameters needed in an expression for the excess Gibbs energy. If reliable values of γ∞1 and γ∞2 are available, either from direct experiment or from a correlation, it is possible to predict the composition of the azeotrope and vapor-liquid equilibrium over the entire range of composition. These can be used to evaluate two adjustable constants in any desired expression for G E. In this study MOSCED model and SPACE model are two different methods were used to calculate γ∞1 and γ∞2

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Publication Date
Tue May 20 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
Estimating Water Quality from Satellite Image and Reflectance Data
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The useful of remote sensing techniques in Environmental Engineering and another science is to save time, Coast and efforts, also to collect more accurate information under monitoring mechanism. In this research a number of statistical models were used for determining the best relationships between each water quality parameter and the mean reflectance values generated for different channels of radiometer operate simulated to the thematic Mappar satellite image. Among these models are the regression models which enable us to as certain and utilize a relation between a variable of interest. Called a dependent variable; and one or more independent variables

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Publication Date
Mon May 22 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Evaluation of The Nuclear Data on(α,n)Reaction for Natural Molybdenum
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The cross section evaluation for (α,n) reaction was calculated according to the available International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and other experimental published data . These cross section are the most recent data , while the well known international libraries like ENDF , JENDL , JEFF , etc.   We considered an energy range from threshold to 25 MeV in interval (1 MeV).   The average weighted cross sections for all available experimental and theoretical(JENDL) data and for all the considered isotopes was calculated . The cross section of the element is then calculated according to the cross sections of the isotopes of that element taking into account their abundance . A mathematical representative equation for eac

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