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Spatio-Temporal Mixture Model for Identifying Risk Levels of COVID-19 Pandemic in Iraq
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     This paper focuses on choosing a spatial mixture model with implicitly includes the time to represent the relative risks of COVID-19 pandemic using an appropriate model selection criterion. For this purpose, a more recent criterion so-called the widely Akaike information criterion (WAIC) is used which we believe that its use so limitedly in the context of relative risk modelling. In addition, a graphical method is adopted that is based on a spatial-temporal predictive posterior distribution to select the best model yielding the best predictive accuracy. By applying this model selection criterion, we seek to identify the levels of relative risk, which implicitly represents the determination of the number of the model components of all regions over independent time periods. The estimation of parameters and the model selection are both performed in a Bayesian framework. Also, the means of estimated relative risk for the selected mixture model are mapped to give a clearer picture of distributing the disease risks in each district.

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Publication Date
Wed May 17 2017
Journal Name
Ibn Al-haitham Journal For Pure And Applied Sciences
Multiproduct Mathematical Model for Productive Company
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This model is an extension to H.M.M.S and related developments models of a single product. These models will be converted to deal with Multiproduct for productive company. This model executed by computer programming technique to maximize profits

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 30 2003
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Chemical And Petroleum Engineering
Mathematical Model for Multicomponent Distillation Column
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Publication Date
Sun Jan 03 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of The Faculty Of Medicine Baghdad
Serum Immunoglobulins Levels in Autoimmune Hepatitis of Iraqi Patients
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Background: Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is an unresolving inflammation of the liver of unknown cause associated with interface hepatitis on histological examination,hypergammaglobulinemia and presence of circulating autoantibodies. Antibody-mediated tissue injury might be responsible for tissue injury in AIH therefore; a number of studies have been focused on the immunoglobulines in these patients .The aim of the study is to estimate the level of immunoglobulins (IgG, IgA and IgM ) in different types of Autoimmune hepatitis ( AIH).
Patients and Methods: The study was performed on 73 Iraqi patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), attending the teaching hospital for gastroenterology and liver disease in a p

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Publication Date
Mon Oct 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Mathematical Model for BOD in Waste Water Discharges from Al Dora Refinery in Baghdad
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This research consists of two parts, the first part concern with analyzing the collected data of BOD and COD values in discharge waste water from Al-Dora refinery during 2010 to find the relationship between these two variables The results indicates that there is a high correlation between BOD and COD when using a natural logarithm model (0.86 ln(COD)) with correlation coefficient of 0.98. This relationship is useful in predicting the BOD value using the COD value. The second part includes analyzing collected data from the same site in order to find a relationsip between BOD and other parameters COD, Phenol(phe), Temperature(T), Oil, Sulphat(SO4),pH and Total dissolved solids( TDS) discharged from the refinery. The results indicated that th

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Mathematical Model for BOD in Waste Water Discharges from Al Dora Refinery in Baghdad
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This research consists of two parts, the first part concern with analyzing the collected data of BOD and COD values in discharge waste water from Al-Dora refinery during 2010 to find the relationship between these two variables The results indicates that there
is a high correlation between BOD and COD when using a natural logarithm model (0.86 ln(COD)) with correlation coefficient of 0.98. This relationship is useful in predicting the BOD value using the COD value. The second part includes analyzing collected data from the same site in order to find a relationsip between BOD and other parameters COD, Phenol(phe), Temperature(T), Oil, Sulphat(SO4),pH and Total dissolved solids( TDS) discharged from the refinery. The results indicated

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 04 2010
Journal Name
Journal Of The Faculty Of Medicine Baghdad
Malnutrition: A Risk Factor in Childhood Acute Lymphoblastic Leukemia
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Background: Malnutrition is an adverse prognostic factor in the outcome of children with standard risk acute lymphoblastic leukemia due to a significantly higher rate of bone marrow relapse in the malnourished patients. The event free survival of children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia in developed countries has increased substantially in the last two decades as treatment with intensive protocols has brought the estimated probability of event free survival at 5 years close to 75%. Although the prognosis of acute lymphoblastic leukemia has also been improved in underdeveloped countries, the figures for event free survival are lower, even when aggressive protocols are used. Unfavorable socioeconomic fa

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 04 2015
Journal Name
Journal Of The Faculty Of Medicine Baghdad
Dense breast as a risk factor in breast malignancy
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Background: One of the strongest risk factors for breast cancer is high breast density, relatively little fat in the breast and more connective and glandular tissue.
Objectives: this study aims to measure risk of increase breast density in correlation of CA breast & compare our results with results in other population, to compare the performance of ultrasonography and mammography in measuring breast density according to BIRDS system
Materials &methods: The study included 45 females .Measuring risk of increase breast density in correlation of CA breast & comparing the performance of ultrasonography and mammography in measuring breast density according to BIRADS system.
Results : there is stron

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Publication Date
Thu Sep 01 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Effect of Lime Addition Methods on Performance Related Properties of Asphalt Concrete Mixture
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In the recent years, some of the newly constructed asphalt concrete pavements in Baghdad as well as other cities across Iraq showed premature failures with consequential negative impact on both roadway safety and economy. Frequently, load associated mode of failure (rutting and fatigue) as well as, occasionally, moisture damage in some poorly drained sections are the main failure types found in those newly constructed road.

In this research, hydrated lime was introduced into asphalt concrete mixtures of wearing course in two methods. The first one was the addition of dry lime on dry aggregate and the second one was the addition of dry lime on saturated surface dry aggregate moisturized by 2.0 to 3.0 percent of wa

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Publication Date
Tue Oct 08 2002
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Laser
Effect of Gas Mixture on the Output Characteristics of a CW CO2 Laser
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In this work, the effect of partial amounts of gases in gas mixture of a CW CO2 laser on the output power was investigated. Also their effect on the condition determining the glow-discharge self-sustaining required for pumping the active medium was studied. Two fit relations were derived to predict the output laser power and the electric field to unit pressure ratio as functions to the partial amounts of gases. Results presented in this work could be used fruitfully to determine some of the optimum operational conditions of glow-discharge low-power CW CO2 lasers.

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 01 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Simultaneous Determination of Binary Mixture of Estradiol and Progesterone Using Different Spectrophotometric Methods
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Four rapid, accurate and very simple derivative spectrophotometric techniques were developed for the quantitative determination of binary mixtures of estradiol (E2) and progesterone (PRG) formulated as a capsule. Method I is the first derivative zero-crossing technique, derivative amplitudes were detected at the zero-crossing wavelength of 239.27 and 292.51 nm for the quantification of estradiol and 249.19 nm for Progesterone. Method II is ratio subtraction, progesterone was determined at λmax 240 nm after subtraction of interference exerted by estradiol. Method III is modified amplitude subtraction, which was established using derivative spectroscopy and mathematical manipulations. Method IIII is the absorbance ratio technique, absorba

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