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Predicting Student Dropout with Minimal Information

 

Student dropout is a problem for both students and universities. However, in the crises that Lebanon is going through, it is becoming a serious financial problem for Lebanese private universities. To try to minimize it, it must be predicted in order to implement the appropriate actions. In this paper, a method to build the appropriate prediction system is presented. First, it generates a data source of predictor variables from student dataset collected from a faculty of economic sciences in Beirut between 2010 and 2020. Then, it will build a prediction model using data classification techniques based on identified predictor variables and validate it. Using open-source software and free cloud environments, a prediction program was developed. It consolidates, corrects, and normalizes the student's data. Then, it applies simple linear regression to show the correlation between the different variables and the student dropout, which allows us to select the factors that are highly correlated. From this point on, the program tries to predict the student dropout using different classification algorithms by machine learning on student dataset who left their courses either in success or in failure. Lastly, it measures the accuracy of the results and determines the best algorithm. In this study, the Artificial Neural Networks - Multilayer Perceptron showed an accuracy of 98.1% using only five variables. Finally, we evoke new avenues to further research and improve the model.

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of The Faculty Of Medicine Baghdad
The treatment of non complicated sacrococcygeal pilonidal sinus by minimal excision and primary closure technique

Background: The surgical treatment of pilonidal sinus varies from wide excision and laying the wound open or excision with primary closure or excision with the use of skin graft in some special cases.
Objectives: The objectives of this study is to determine the efficacy of treating non complicated pilonidal sinus disease with minimal excision and primary closure technique, complications and recurrence rate.
Patients and methods: This is a prospective study conducted in shahid ahmed ismaiel hospital in rania – As sulaimania IRAQ during the period from December 2013 to January 2016 and was carried on one hundred (100) consecutive patients with non complicated non recurrent pilonidal sinus patients who were treated with minimal exci

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Predicting Social Security Fund compensation in Iraq using ARMAX Model

Time series have gained great importance and have been applied in a manner in the economic, financial, health and social fields and used in the analysis through studying the changes and forecasting the future of the phenomenon. One of the most important models of the black box is the "ARMAX" model, which is a mixed model consisting of self-regression with moving averages with external inputs. It consists of several stages, namely determining the rank of the model and the process of estimating the parameters of the model and then the prediction process to know the amount of compensation granted to workers in the future in order to fulfil the future obligations of the Fund. , And using the regular least squares method and the frequ

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 03 2017
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Revaluation of Student Failure Reasons Using Non-Additive Methods

In this paper, An application of non-additive measures for re-evaluating the degree of importance of some student failure reasons has been discussed. We apply non-additive fuzzy integral model (Sugeno, Shilkret and Choquet) integrals for some expected factors which effect student examination performance for different students' cases.

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Publication Date
Wed Apr 05 2023
Journal Name
International Journal Of Interactive Mobile Technologies (ijim)
Publication Date
Wed Apr 05 2023
Journal Name
International Journal Of Interactive Mobile Technologies (ijim)
Computer Literacy with Skills of Seeking for Information Electronically among University Students

Computer literacy is an urgent necessity for university students, given the rapid development in the means of communication in which we live in this era, and the flow of abundant information. Mainly on the computer in all administrative and academic transactions, where first of all the registration for the semester is done through the computer. Computer culture has many characteristics and advantages that distinguish it from other sciences, including the concept of computer culture that cannot be defined absolutely, and it is difficult to define its levels, because the specifications of the computer-educated individual differ from one individual to another, and from time to time also, you find it a luxury in a country What, and you

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Family Atmosphere and Relationship to Academic Adjustment for Student at Baghdad University

The research aimed: 1. Definition of family climate for the university students. 2. Definition of statistical significance of differences in family climate variable depending on the sex (males - females) and specialization (Scientific - humanity). 3. Definition of academic adjustment for university students. 4. Definition of correlation between climate and academic adjustment. The research sample formed of (300) male and female students by (150) male of scientific and humanitarian specialization and (150) female of scientific and humanitarian specialization randomly selected from the research community. To achieve the objectives of the research the researcher prepared a tool to measure family climate. And adopted the measure (Azzam 2010)

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Publication Date
Fri Jan 01 2021
Journal Name
International Journal Of Nonlinear Analysis And Applications
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Publication Date
Thu Sep 01 2022
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Computers, Communications, Control And Systems Engineering
A Framework for Predicting Airfare Prices Using Machine Learning

Many academics have concentrated on applying machine learning to retrieve information from databases to enable researchers to perform better. A difficult issue in prediction models is the selection of practical strategies that yield satisfactory forecast accuracy. Traditional software testing techniques have been extended to testing machine learning systems; however, they are insufficient for the latter because of the diversity of problems that machine learning systems create. Hence, the proposed methodologies were used to predict flight prices. A variety of artificial intelligence algorithms are used to attain the required, such as Bayesian modeling techniques such as Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD), Adaptive boosting (ADA), Decision Tre

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 30 2007
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Chemical And Petroleum Engineering
Predicting of Temperature Distribution in Direct Contact Heat Transfer

An experimental and theoretical investigation of three phase direct contact heat transfer by evaporation of refrigerant drops in an immiscible liquid has been carried out. Refrigerant Rl2 and R134a were used for the dispersed phase, while water and brine were the immiscible continuous phase. A numerical analysis is presented to predict the temperature distribution throughout the circular test column radially and axially is achieved. Experimental measurements of the temperature distribution have been compared with the numerical results and are discussed .A comparison between the experimental and theoretical results showed acceptable agreement and applicability of the derived equations. Comparison with other related work showed similar beh

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Predicting Water Depth of Lake Using Remote Sensing image

One of the most important of satellite image is studying the surface water
according of its distribution and depth. In this work, three images have been taken
for Baghdad and surrounding for year (1991, 1999 and 2014) and by using of envi
program has been used. Different classes have been evaluated for Al-Habania and
Al-Razaza River according to its depth and water reflectance. In the present work
four types of water depth (very shallow, shallow, moderate, and deep area) have
been detected.

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