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Analysis and Prediction of COVID-19 Outbreak by a Numerical Modelling
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Pandemic COVID-19 is a contagious disease affecting more than 200 countries, territories, and regions. Recently, Iraq is one of the countries that have immensely suffered from this outbreak. The Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) is also prone to the disease. Until now, more than 23,000 confirmed cases have been recorded in the region. Since the onset of the COVID-19 in Wuhan, based on epidemiological modelling, researchers have used various models to predict the future of the epidemic and the time of peak, yielding diverse numbers in different countries. This study aims to estimate the basic reproductive number [R0] for COVID-19 in KRI, using the standard SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Removed) epidemic model. A system of nonlinear differential equations was formulated and solved numerically by the 4th order Runge-Kutta method. The reproductive numbers R0 was estimated by the method of fitting the curves between the actual daily data and numerical solution by applying the least square method. For the analysis, data were taken for the duration of 165 days, from 1st of March to 12th August 2020, in a population of 5.2 million. It is concluded that the R0 value was fluctuating during the outbreak, with an average of 1.33, predicting that infection cases will reach their maximum value of around 540,000 on the 5th of November 2020. Then, the spread of the disease will die out since the number of susceptible people will decrease to about 3.2 million. While the number of removed individuals will reach approximately to 1.5 million.

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 27 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
تأثير علاقة النمط الحضري مع النموذج المعماري في تكاملية البنية الشكلية للمراكز الحضرية
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هناك عوامل عديدة تؤثر في البنية الشكلية للم ا ركز الحضرية التي تشهد تحولات وبصورة مستمرة ومع
توسع المدينة ونموها تفقد هذه الم ا ركز لمقومات بنيتها الحضرية المتكاملة بسبب تلك التحولات الحاصلة
ضمنه وبصورة ديناميكية من اضافات وتغيرات في النمط الحضري الذي يتشكل من عدة نماذج معمارية
جديدة مؤثرة ولأجل ذلك جاء البحث لايضاح اثر هذه العلاقة بين النمط الحضري والنموذج المعماري
وتحولاته في تكاملية البنية ا

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
بررسیِ حرکت¬شناختیِ افعالِ متنِ "ما زِ بالاییم و بالا می رویم" مولانا Kinetic Study of Mewlana Jalaluddin Rumi's "Mazi Balaeem we Bala Mi Roeem" Text's Verbs
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چکیده­ی بحث

       به نظر می­آید که عالم هستی ، بر مسأله­ی « حرکت» استوار دارد ، و روح ، همیشه دنبال دگرگونی و تکامل و برتری می­گردد. حرکت ، همه­ی چیزها در عالم إمکان را  در بر می­گیرد. حرکت در بنیادهای فکر مولانا جای مهمی دارد .اشعار مولانا مقدار زیادی از پویایی و حرکت برخوردارست، و از آنجایی که فعل ، عنصر تکانبخش جمله ، و کانون دلالت است ، ترجیح دادیم - علاوه بر دیگر عنا

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 30 2014
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Ignite the burn on those who did not sign          The divorce of the buoy                  For the mark Muhammad ibn al-Haj Hassan alani Kurdish (1111 - 1196 e)
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One of the Kurdish scholars who have research on the doctrinal issues of the author of this brief message that we are about to achieve; to bring it out better and in order to preserve the Islamic heritage, and revive what can be revived after being close to death by staying in libraries here and there, out of reach of hands, carrying dust Years of forgetting and marginalization, and this letter is the papers in the door of the divorce entitled his author "Iqdar al-dream for those who did not sign divorce commoner," and the name is evident the name, and the intention of the author through writing, where he wrote it to answer some of the knowledgeable among the public at the time So they decreed that there was no divorce from commoners D w

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 01 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Hidden messages in (Pour un oui ou pour un non) of Nathalie Sarraute: Les messages cachés dans "Pour un oui ou pour un non" de Nathalie Sarraute
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       The implicit is the narrative technique used to give indirect hidden messages. To read between the lines means to understand the implicit meaning that is not directly indicated. This technique is expressed in two forms: the hypothesis and the implications of linguistic and non-linguistic rules. Nathalie Sarraute’s "Pour un oui ou pour un non" states this narrative method through her character’s verbal and non-verbal dialogue. The present paper discusses the implicit method and shows the reason behind which  the author uses it in her play "Pour un oui ou pour un non".

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 24 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Arabic Language Teachers’ Training Needs for Implementing Cognitive Trips Strategy when Teaching Arabic Language Courses in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: أمل ناصر الحربي, و وفاء العويضي
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The present work focuses on examining the strategy of cognitive trips and the Arabic language teachers’ training needs of such a strategy when teaching Arabic language courses in the Saudi Arabia Kingdom. To achieve the objective of the study, and check whether this strategy is used in lesson planning, lesson teaching, or lesson assessment, a descriptive approach and a questionnaire have been adopted. The researchers used a number of statistical tools, and chose a purposive sample, which consists of (58) Arabic language teachers from Saudi Arabia Kingdom. Results have shown that the training needs of Arabic language teachers for implemining the strategy of cognitive journeys while teaching Arabic language courses came in the following

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Publication Date
Wed May 18 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Role of T.V. Shaws in Transmitting Violence in Children: An Analytic Study for T.V. Chanels for Children During 1/3/2014 – 1/9/2014: يوسف محمد حسين
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Our study comes up to clarify the role of television in spreading the culture of violence with a child. This study represents one of the important studies that have tried to highlight the impact of these programmes, particularly cartoons, on the child's behaviors, actions and acquired habits.Violence considers a common phenomenon among the people, as the role of the media, particularly TV has a vital role due to its properties, characteristics and its significant impact on different segments and groups in society and in children particularly through exposure to programmes of films.The results of the study have been affected by the rising proportion of females to males, and that the contribution of real life has a big role in the child ac

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Environmental Taxes Effectiveness on controlling The Pollution reduction levels due To the Activity Contracted Foreign Oil Companies in Iraq: An applied research in the general commission of taxes
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     Environmental Tax is deemed as one of the most important tools that can be used to eliminate the problem of oil –based  environment pollution resulted out of oil products processes and this has been significantly approved by the experience in those leading countries in the field of protecting the environment against pollution whereas oil-producing countries which are rather awkward in maintaining the environment such as Iraq , suffer from notorious environmental effects pertaining to oil product processes.

     The problem of the research is represented the increased and constant rise in the volume of the environmental pollutants resulted from the processes managed by the intern

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2013
Journal Name
Advances In Physics Theories And Applications
Adsorption Study of Symmetrical Schiff Base Ligand 4,4’-[hydrazine-1,2-diylidenebis(methan-1-yl-1-ylidene) bis (2-methoxyphenol)] on Granulated Initiated Calcined Iraqi Montmorillonite via Columnar Method.
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The adsorption ability of Iraqi initiated calcined granulated montmorillonite to adsorb Symmetrical Schiff Base Ligand 4,4’-[hydrazine-1, 2-diylidenebis (methan-1-yl-1-ylidene)) bis (2-methoxyphenol)] derived from condensation reaction of hydrazine hydrate and 4-hydroxy-3-methoxybenzaldehyde, from aqueous solutions has been investigated through columnar method.The ligand (H2L) adsorption found to be dependent on adsorbent dosage, initial concentration and contact time.All columnar experiments were carried out at three different pH values (5.5, 7and 8) using buffer solutions at flow rate of (3 drops/ min.),at room temperature (25±2)°C. The experimental isotherm data were analyzed using Langmuir, Freundlich and Temkin equations. The monol

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 23 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Active Role of Admin strative Skills in Reinforcing Strategic Entrepreneur Ship Through Organizational Flexibility: دراسة استطلاعية لأراء عينة من الإدارات العليا والوسطى في المصارف العراقية الخاصة / بغداد
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The study has tackled three important variables on the strategic and organizational level, that are : (Administrative skill, strategic Entrepreneurship  and organizational flexibility). Through the statistical analysis is, the research hers have sought to identify the relation among them. The study has been applied on a sample of (44) private banks in Iraq. A questionnaire, which has been designed according to a number of international standards, has been used. It's made of (29) items that cover the three variables to test their hypotheses. A number of statistical tools have been used A number of conclusion have been reached and recommendations have also been suggested.

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 30 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Hybrid CNN-SMOTE-BGMM Deep Learning Framework for Network Intrusion Detection using Unbalanced Dataset
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This paper proposes a new methodology for improving network security by introducing an optimised hybrid intrusion detection system (IDS) framework solution as a middle layer between the end devices. It considers the difficulty of updating databases to uncover new threats that plague firewalls and detection systems, in addition to big data challenges. The proposed framework introduces a supervised network IDS based on a deep learning technique of convolutional neural networks (CNN) using the UNSW-NB15 dataset. It implements recursive feature elimination (RFE) with extreme gradient boosting (XGB) to reduce resource and time consumption. Additionally, it reduces bias toward

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