Preferred Language
Articles
/
bsj-7489
Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
...Show More Authors

The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

Scopus Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Apr 30 2025
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
The Influence of Fear on the Dynamics of Harvested Prey-Predator Model with Intra-Specific Competition
...Show More Authors

The influence of fear on the dynamics of harvested prey-predator model with intra-specific competition is suggested and studied, where the fear effect from the predation causes decreases of growth rate of prey.  We suppose that the predator attacks the prey under the Holling type IV functional response. he existence of the solution is investigated and the bounded-ness of the solution is studied too. In addition, the dynamical behavior of the system is established locally and globally. Furthermore, the persistence conditions are investigated. Finally, numerical analysis of the system is carried out.

View Publication
Scopus (1)
Crossref (1)
Scopus Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Sep 01 2020
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Physics
Study of the nuclear structure of halo nuclei 23O and 24F using the two-body model
...Show More Authors

The nuclear structure included the matter, proton and neutron densities of the ground state, the nuclear root-mean-square (rms) radii and elastic form factors of one neutron 23O and 24F halo nuclei have been studied by the two body model of  within the harmonic oscillator (HO) and Woods-Saxon (WS) radial wave functions. The calculated results show that the two body model within the HO and WS radial wave functions succeed in reproducing neutron halo in these exotic nuclei. Moreover, the Glauber model at high energy has been used to calculated the rms radii and reaction cross section of these nuclei.

View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (2)
Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Apr 24 2020
Journal Name
Modeling Earth Systems And Environment
Assessment of reservoir properties and Buckles model for Rumaila Formation in Ahdeb oil field, Central Iraq
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus (4)
Crossref (2)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Nov 01 2021
Journal Name
Energy Reports
Global solar radiation prediction over North Dakota using air temperature: Development of novel hybrid intelligence model
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus (77)
Crossref (78)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Jan 01 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Pharmaceutical Negative Results
Gentiopicroside ameliorates lipopolysaccharide-induced acute kidney injury by inhibiting TLR4/NF-κB signaling in mice model
...Show More Authors

View Publication
Scopus (7)
Crossref (5)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2024
Journal Name
Results In Engineering
Stability analysis for the phytoplankton-zooplankton model with depletion of dissolved oxygen and strong Allee effects
...Show More Authors

View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (17)
Crossref (13)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Tue Apr 01 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of Engineering
Comparative Analysis of The Combined Model (Spatial and Temporal) and Regression Models for Predicting Murder Crime
...Show More Authors

This research dealt with the analysis of murder crime data in Iraq in its temporal and spatial dimensions, then it focused on building a new model with an algorithm that combines the characteristics associated with time and spatial series so that this model can predict more accurately than other models by comparing them with this model, which we called the Combined Regression model (CR), which consists of merging two models, the time series regression model with the spatial regression model, and making them one model that can analyze data in its temporal and spatial dimensions. Several models were used for comparison with the integrated model, namely Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Decision Tree Regression (DTR), Random Forest Reg

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Mar 16 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Self-control of kindergarten teachers and its relationship to some variables
...Show More Authors

The aim of the current research is to identify the self-control of kindergarten teachers as well as to identify the significance of the differences according to a variable (years of service, academic achievement, specialization). Its final paragraphs consist of (35) paragraphs, and its psychometric properties were verified and the tool was applied to a sample of (400) teachers chosen randomly from kindergarten teachers affiliated to the General Directorates of Education in Baghdad, Rusafa, and Karkh for the academic year 2019-2020

In light of the objectives of the current research, the following results were reached

  1. The current research sample is from kindergarten teachers with self-contro
  2. There are diffe

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2023
Journal Name
Ssrn Electronic Journal
How to Build Your House?
...Show More Authors

After the designs for the house plan and the facade plan are completed, the construction implementation stages are proceeded. Below: Fig. 1 design Determining the plot of land, the building area and the spaces, and drawing the map by a specialized technical authority (engineer or engineering office) depending on the dimensions of the plot for example, building maps of 100 meters 5 by 20. Keywords: how, to, build, house

View Publication
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2015
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Euro-Mediterranean cooperation to partnership
...Show More Authors

تقدمت احداث النصف الاخير من القرن الماضي من تاريخ العالم الاقتصادي صور كثيرة من التكتلات والاليات التعاونية والتشاركية القائمة على مصادر مختلفة للتجمع الاقتصادي من اهمها شكل الشراكات التجارية والاقتصادية ولها امثلة كثيرة على المستوى الاقتصادي الدولي ومنها الشراكة الاورومتوسطية التي تمثل منطقة حيوية في حسابات التبادل الدولي تجاريا وراسماليا ولكن هذا التشكيل التكتلي يحتاج الى وقفه تخص

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref