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Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
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The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 01 2024
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Applied Physics
Structural and Electrochemical Characterization of ITO Electrode Modified by f- MWCNT/graphene/polypyrrole Nanocomposite Decorated by Gold Nanoparticles
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There is currently a pressing need to create an electro-analytical approach capable of detecting and monitoring genosensors in a highly sensitive, specific, and selective way. In this work, Functionalized Multiwall Carbon Nanotubes, Graphene, Polypyrrole, and gold nanoparticles nanocomposite (f-MWCNTs-GR-PPy-AuNP) were effectively deposited on the surface of the ITO electrode using a drop-casting process to modify it. The structural, morphological, and optical analysis of the modified ITO electrodes was carried out at room temperature using X-ray diffraction (XRD), field emission scanning electron microscopy (FE-SEM) images, atomic force microscopy (AFM) and Fourier transform infrared (FTIR) spectra. Cyclic voltammetry (CV) and electrochemi

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 01 2022
Journal Name
Chemical Data Collections
Removal of an anionic Eosin dye from aqueous solution using modified activated carbon prepared from date palm fronds
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Publication Date
Sun Oct 22 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
New Approach for the On-Line Spectrophotometric Determination of Vanadium (V) In Different River Water via the Use of a Homemade Ayah 6SX1-T-2D Solar-Continuous Flow Injection Analyser
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A new simple sensitive and selective spectrophotometric method has been developed for the analysis of vanadium(V) in three randomly chosen samples from river water at different locations by continuous flow injection analysis. The method based on the oxidation of pyrogallol by vanadium(V) in acidic solution to form color species and the same species was determined using homemade Ayah 6SX1-T-2D solar cell analyser . Chemical and physical parameters were investigated using the high intensity of snow white light emitted diode as a source. The linear dynamic range for the instrument response versus vanadium(V) concentration was 1-200 mg.L-1 with correlation coefficient r = 0.9920. The limit of detection (S/N=3) was 70 ng/ sample from the step

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 02 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
New Approach for the On-Line Spectrophotometric Determination of Vanadium (V) In Different River Water via the Use of a Homemade Ayah 6SX1-T-2D Solar-Continuous Flow Injection Analyser
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A new simple sensitive and selective spectrophotometric method has been
developed for the analysis of vanadium(V) in three randomly chosen samples from
river water at different locations by continuous flow injection analysis. The method
based on the oxidation of pyrogallol by vanadium(V) in acidic solution to form color
species and the same species was determined using homemade Ayah 6SX1-T-2D
solar cell analyser . Chemical and physical parameters were investigated using the
high intensity of snow white light emitted diode as a source. The linear dynamic
range for the instrument response versus vanadium(V) concentration was 1-200
mg.L-1 with correlation coefficient r = 0.9920. The limit of detection (S/N=3) was 70<

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 22 2023
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
New Approach for an On-Line Turbidimetric Determination of Cadmium (II) in Different River Water Via the Use of A homemade Ayah 6SX1-T-2D Solar-Continuous Flow Injection Analyser
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A newly developed analytical method characterized by its speed and sensitivity for
the determination of cadmium (II) in aqueous solution in three randomly chosen
samples from river water at different locations via turbidimetric measurement by
Ayah 6SX1-T-2D Solar - CFI analyser. The method is based on the formation of
yellowish white precipitate for the complex Cd3[Fe(CN)6]2 by direct reaction of the
cadmium (II) with potassium hexacyano ferrate (III) in aqueous medium. Turbidity
was measured via the reflection of incident light that collides on the surfaces
precipitated particles at 0-180o. Chemical and physical parameters were investigated.
Linear dynamic of cadmium (II) is ranged from 0.05-12 mmol.L-1, with cor

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Selection of the initial value of the time series generating the first-order self-regression model in simulation modeAnd their impact on the accuracy of the model
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In this paper, compared eight methods for generating the initial value and the impact of these methods to estimate the parameter of a autoregressive model, as was the use of three of the most popular methods to estimate the model and the most commonly used by researchers MLL method, Barg method  and the least squares method and that using the method of simulation model  first order autoregressive through the design of a number of simulation experiments and the different sizes of the samples.

                  

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 06 2011
Journal Name
Fes Journal Of Engineering Sciences
Derivation of a New Equation to Obtain the Permeability Coefficient of Clayey Soils
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The main objective of this research is to find the coefficient of permeability (k) of the soil and especially clayey soil by finding the degree of consolidation (rate of consolidation). New modify procedure is proposed by using the odometer (consolidation) device. The ordinary conventional permeability test usually takes a long time by preparing and by testing and this could cause some problems especially if there is a need to do a large number of this test and there were a limited number of technicians and/or apparatus. From this point of view the importance of this research is clear, since the modified procedure will require a time of 25 minute only. Derivation made to produce an equation which could be used to fined the permeabi

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 06 2013
Journal Name
Eng. & Tech. Journal
A proposal to detect computer worms (malicious codes) using data mining classification algorithms
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Malicious software (malware) performs a malicious function that compromising a computer system’s security. Many methods have been developed to improve the security of the computer system resources, among them the use of firewall, encryption, and Intrusion Detection System (IDS). IDS can detect newly unrecognized attack attempt and raising an early alarm to inform the system about this suspicious intrusion attempt. This paper proposed a hybrid IDS for detection intrusion, especially malware, with considering network packet and host features. The hybrid IDS designed using Data Mining (DM) classification methods that for its ability to detect new, previously unseen intrusions accurately and automatically. It uses both anomaly and misuse dete

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2019
Journal Name
Wireless Communications And Mobile Computing
Corrigendum to “Developing a Video Buffer Framework for Video Streaming in Cellular Networks”
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Publication Date
Sun Mar 15 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
A Stylistic Study of Cohesion in Relation to Narrative Techniques in Religious Discourse
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Cohesion is well known as the study of the relationships, whether grammatical and/or lexical, between the different elements of a particular text by the use of what are commonly called 'cohesive devices'. These devices bring connectivity and bind a text together. Besides, the nature and the amount of such cohesive devices usually affect the understanding of that text in the sense of making it easier to comprehend.  The present study is intendedto examine the use of grammatical cohesive devicesin relation to narrative techniques. The story of Joseph from the Holy Quran has been selected to be examined by using Halliday and Hasan's Model of Cohesion (1976, 1989). The aim of the study is to comparatively examine to what extent the type

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