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bsj-7489
Building a Sustainable GARCH Model to Forecast Rubber Price: Modified Huber Weighting Function Approach
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The unstable and uncertain nature of natural rubber prices makes them highly volatile and prone to outliers, which can have a significant impact on both modeling and forecasting. To tackle this issue, the author recommends a hybrid model that combines the autoregressive (AR) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models. The model utilizes the Huber weighting function to ensure the forecast value of rubber prices remains sustainable even in the presence of outliers. The study aims to develop a sustainable model and forecast daily prices for a 12-day period by analyzing 2683 daily price data from Standard Malaysian Rubber Grade 20 (SMR 20) in Malaysia. The analysis incorporates two dispersion measurements (IQR/3 and Sn) and three levels of IO contamination 0%, 10%, and 20%. The results indicate that using the Huber weighting function with the IQR/3 measurement to build the AR(1)-GARCH(2,1) model leads to better sustainability. These findings have the potential to enhance the GARCH model by modifying the weighting function of the M-estimator

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
استعمال أنموذج (Altman) للإفلاس دالة لقياس الأداء دراسة تطبيقية في بعض الشركات المساهمة الخاصة العراقية
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Performance measures are a central component of management control system, making good planning and control decisions requires information about how different subunits of organizations have performed. To be effective, performance measures (both financial and nonfinancial) must also motivate managers and employees at all levels of organization to strive to achieve organization goals.

To give aclear picture about performance must be used compound measure, that was best than single measure.

Altman model can be used as a compound performance measure that measures the performance by tied a sum of variables, due to make weight for every variable to reach for performance.

 

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
بناء أنموذج لتقويم مادة هندسة البرامجيات من وجهة نظر التدريسيين
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The aim of the present research is to construct a model to evaluate the software engineering subject in the third grade department of Computing, in colleges of education. Then, evaluating the software Engineering subject from the view point of staff members by applying the constructed model, and in order to achieve the second aim of the present research the researcher has to find answers to the following questions:- 1. What is the presence of the proposed evaluating model fields, which was prepared by the researcher for the third grade Soft Ware Engineering subject from the view point of staff members? 2. What is the presence of the items for the proposed evaluating model, which was prepared by the researcher for the third grade Soft War

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 11 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Kufa Studies Center
فتوى الجهاد الكفائي ودورها في بناء الإنسان (رؤية قرآنية معاصرة )
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صار لزاماً علينا بيان مفهوم المعنى الحقيقي للجهاد وبيان أفضل أنواعه ورتبه وتحديداً الجهاد الكفائي بين النظرية والتطبيق من حيث معناه العام وبجوانبه الفكرية والاجتماعية , والسياسية ,والاقتصادية , وإيماناً منّا بانتفاضة المرجعية العليا في إعلانها الجهاد الكفائي ضد العصابات الارهابية التي استباحت الدين والوطن فكانت بالفعل الهام إلهي جسد أروع مبادئ الاسلام في التضحية والدفاع عن الدين ومقدساته , وانبل القيم الا

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
بناء اختبار لتقييم مستوى انتاجية وثبات الانتباه عند اطفال الرياض
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Attention is one of the mental processes of knowledge that play an important role in the life of the individual in general and the child's life, in particular, the child relates to the external environment through its interaction with it, to achieve the adjustment with his environment and harmony with his community.

Much ness and multiplicity of information sources make the child need to scan and exploration to provide the appropriate response by handling sensory stimuli involving the discovery of stimulus and receive it by sensory devices then pay attention to it and realizing and storing it in memory and restoring it in the next positio

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 14 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Developing and Applying the Unrealistic Optimism Scale among Junior High School Students
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The present study aims to develop and apply the unrealistic optimism scale among high school students. The researcher has designed a scale of (38) paragraphs to measure the unrealistic optimism. A sample of (200) male and female students were chosen randomly to collect the needed data. The study found that the unrealistic scale of optimism has good psychometric characteristics. The research sample has a high level of التفاؤل غير الواقعي لدى عينة البحث unrealistic optimism. There is a statistically significant difference between male and female in the unrealistic optimism in favor of the male students. Finally, there is a statistically significant difference between students in the fourth and sixth gra

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
بناء مقياس لآنماط الشخصية على وفق نظريةالانيكرام لدى طلبة الجامعة
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أولاً: مشكلة البحث:

على الرغم من أن كل شخص هو كائن متفرد بحد ذاته ، إلا أن هناك تشابهات مشتركة بين كثير من الناس ، وتشكل هذه التشابهات أنماطآ شخصية يهدف علم النفس إلى دراستها وفهمها.

وقد حاول علماء النفس والمنظرون في مجال الشخصية بناء أنظمة نظرية لتغطية التباين الواسع بين الأفراد في السلوك ضمن المواقف المختلفة. وهدفت جهودهم إلى فهم الدافعية البشرية ، والسلوك عن طريق عملية النمو

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2025
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The Role of Public Relations in Observing Media Publishing During International Conferences: (Arab Summit 2012 as a Model)
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This study aims to identify the issue of observing media publishing and its importance for public relations in the management of special events; and its role in building the positive image of the target audience through communication messages that illustrate the political, economic and diplomatic importance of the Arab Summit. As such Summit is one of the conferences that Iraq sought to secure the requirements of its convening to re-activate its political and diplomatic role in the Arab Ocean, especially after the circumstances and crises that Iraq went through.

The convening of the Arab Summit under the auspices of Iraq was a qualitative transition, during which Iraq sought to achieve some gains b

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
Semiotics of Musical Sign in Iraqi Pantomime Show (Ahriman) as a Model: علي عدي صاحب-شيماء حسين طاهر
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The musical sign was associated with the first appearances of acting that are based on human gestures and expressive and silent movements, and they contributed in accentuating and clarifying these gestures and explain their meanings and indications, and they remained with them until these gestures turned into artistic theatrical shows so that the musical sign would have many functions and constitute the main pillars for this kind of show.
The musical sign is a language not much different than the human language in the semiotic analysis. There has been an increased interest in it and its use in the mime shows by the graduates who realized its necessity and significance in the pantomime show intellectually, artistically and aesthetical

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Publication Date
Wed Jul 01 2015
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The Position of the Oil Press about the World Oil Industry / OAPEC Bulletin 2011-2012 as a Model
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This research deals with the attitude of oil press towards oil industry in the world and the extent of their concerns with the stages of oil industry relating to the abundance of oil and natural gas, as it is an international strategic and complementary industry. The researcher uses the survey method for content analysis of the initial article and the press news for two: years (2011-2012). The results if the study are as follows
1- Oil press is concerned with developing and the stages of the Arabic oil industry in the interest of OAPEC in the first place.
2- It is concerned with exploring, extracting, and marketing oil in the first place, then with refining operations in refineries and petrochemical plants in the second place, an

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
The aesthetic work of theatrical rehearsal and its directing applications "Taqasim on Al-Hayat Play as a model"
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This research reviews the aesthetic variables that were founded according to (theatrical rehearsal) as one of the most important pillars on which the theatrical process is based, because of its necessity in developing theatrical art on several levels that helped the theatrical director in organizing his work, and this became clear through the research chapters represented in the first chapter (methodological framework) and the second chapter, which consisted of the first topic (the duality of watching / rehearsal) and the second topic (the applications of theatrical rehearsal in theatrical experiences), all the way to the third chapter (research procedures), which included the analysis of theatrical rehearsals (sharing on life), and the

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