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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
An empirical Evaluation of the effect of service encounter on customer voluntary behavior: Exploration study of (TBI) customers
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Purpose: To determine the impact of service encounter in stimulating voluntary customer behaviors.

  • Approach / methodology: It was selected a sample of customers Bank Iraqi Trade (TBI) was (105) individual, using a questionnaire designed in the light of previous studies, was drafted scale and tested in the light of a group of statistical methods developed (reliability coefficient, reliability coefficient composite, convergence). Then test hypotheses through structural equation modeling.
  • Results: The behaviors and characteristics of the service provider in effect urged bank customers to perform voluntary extra, as the service environment service encounter

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 31 2013
Journal Name
مجلة كليه التربيه الاساسيه
صعوبات تدريس مادة الكيمياء الكمية في قسم الكيمياء - كلية التربية - للعلوم الصرفة من وجهة نظر تدريسي المادة و الطلبة
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تعد أساليب وطرائق تدريس المواد الدراسية العلمية من المجالات المهمة التي تساعد في تحويل المجرد إلى ثوابت في الذهن وترفع مستوى خبرات كل من المعلم والمتعلم على حد سواء إضافة إلى إنها جزء لا يتجزأ من العملية التربوية ومن الركائز المهمة التي تقوم عليها المناهج الدراسية لأنها تساعد الطلبة على اكتساب مهارات ومعلومات وتكوين اتجاهات وميول تخدم أهداف تدريس المادة وبما أن مادة الكيمياء الكمية هي إحدى المواد الدراسية

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 02 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Effect Of Flexible Grouping Strategy And Three Step Interview Strategy On Achievement Of The History Material Among Student Of The First Intermediate Class
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  The research aims to know The Effect Of Flexible Grouping Strategy  and Three Step Interview strategy on achievement of the history material among student of the first literary class, The Researcher used the experimental design of the two experimental groups and the control group and with post test, researcher group (a) represent the experimental group taught according the Flexible Grouping Strategy  , and Division (c) to represent the second experimental group which studied according Three Step Interview strategy and Division (b ) to represent the control group taught in the traditional method, the number of students (99) students of (33) female students in each division. T

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
خطة الصيانة الوقائية ومحاكاتها على وفق معايير هندسة المعولية دراسة حالة في الشركة العامة للصناعات الجلدية - معمل رقم 7-
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This research is an attempt to study and evaluate the maintenance function at Factory 7 - The State General Company for Leather Industries, and to design a computerized preventive maintenance system to design and to analyze preventive  maintenance.  To accomplish the objectives of this research, data were gathered and analyzed according to the reliability engineering criteria for the period 2/1– 30/6/2005, then a preventive maintenance plan was designed for each machine of the sample study using the computerized system designed in this research. A Monte Carlo Simulation methodology was used for the purpose of evaluating the performance of the preventive maintenance plan of each machine for one year. The simulation res

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
المجلة العلمية للبحوث التجارية في كلية التجارة جامعة جنوب الوادي في جمهورية مصر العربية
استعمال نظام محاسبة العميل كأحد اساليب المحاسبة الادارية الحديثة لتحقيق الميزة التنافسية بحث تطبيقي في عينة من المصارف العراقية
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Publication Date
Sun Jul 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثر تصميم تعليمي قائم على ستراتيجية التعليم من اجل الفهم في تحصيل مادة الرياضيات لدى طالبات الصف الخامس العلمي
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The objective of the current research is to identify the effective of the suggested instructional design that based on the teaching strategy for understanding in achievement for students(girls) of mathematics in the fifth grads secondary school. To achieve the research goal, the empirical research method is depended. In this method a realistic empirical design pre-test of two equivalent sets to determine the students’ grade is used. The following zero hypotheses is formulated “There is no statistical difference for the faction at 0.05 between the mean grad for the students of the empirical group who studied the subject using the Instructional design based on the teaching strategy for understanding and those who studied the same subje

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Re-engineering management processes and its impact on the strategic decision-making process Field study on the College of Education / University of Mustansiriya / Iraq
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The aim of the research is to identify both the re-engineering of management processes and the strategic decision-making process in the research community and determine the nature of the correlation between the two variables and know the relationship between them to achieve the research goal. The researcher used a descriptive and analytical method. The research community consists of a group of professors and staff of the College of Education affiliated to the University of Mustansiriya in Baghdad, which their number were (45),  the researcher has distributed the forms to all members of the sample,  only (3) forms were excluded for invalidity and thus the number of forms approved in the analysis were (42) forms. The rese

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Publication Date
Thu Aug 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The interrelationship between ignorance processors is ideologically defined and strategic achievement achieved
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Abstract : 

The aim of the study is to diagnose the level and nature of the relationship between cognitive interactions, cognitive ignorance and the achievement of strategic excellence). The aim of this is to explore theoretical philosophy and intellectual implications of these variables, and, then test the correlation and impact relationships and their feasibility in the application environment, which was formed from the seven directorates in the Ministry of Education. The sample of the study was determined by the directors, their assistants, and the department directors. The sample number is (130). The importance of the study is to come out with a philosophical basis for the nature of the variables, based on an app

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Publication Date
Thu Nov 12 2020
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
تحفة الأصحاب ونزهة ذوي الألباب (ما جاء في ذكر المعادن)، احمد بن إبراهيم الحنفي السروجي (ت710هـ/1310م)،"دراسة وتحقيق".
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Manuscript (Tuhfat Al-Ashaba and the Nuzha Al-Kulbab) by Ahmed bin Ibrahim Al-Hanafi Al-Suruji (d.710 AH / 1310 AD), one of the important manuscripts as an encyclopedia characterized by the diversity of its topics

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Publication Date
Sat Jul 31 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Science
Enhancement of Spectrum Sensing Performance via Cooperative Cognitive Radio ‎Networks at Low SNR
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     The inefficient use of spectrum is the key subject to overcome the upcoming spectrum crunch issue. This paper presents a study of performance of cooperative cognitive network via hard combining of decision fusion schemes. Simulation results presented different cooperative hard decision fusion schemes for cognitive network. The hard-decision fusion schemes provided different discriminations for detection levels. They also produced small values of Miss-Detection Probability at different values of Probability of False Alarm and adaptive threshold levels. The sensing performance was investigated under the influence of channel condition for proper operating conditions. An increase in the detection performance was achi

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