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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 27 2021
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Evaluation of Pregnancy-related Health Behaviors' Change during Pregnancy for Pregnant Women Attending Abo Ghareeb Primary Health Care Sector
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Objective(s): The study aims at evaluating pregnancy-related health behaviors for pregnant women, and to identify the association between pregnancy-related health behaviors and their demographic characteristics of pregnant woman’s age, education, employment, residential area and monthly income.
Methodology: A descriptive study is carried out for the period from December 14th, 2020 to June 20th, 2021. This study was conducted through a non-probability (convenience) sample of 150 pregnant women attending, Abo Ghareeb primary health care sector in Abo Ghareeb spend. The sample has been collected by using the instrument to gather data and accomplish the study's objectives. A questionnaire is composed of (29) items and it is divided into

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 02 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Training Program based on Some Strategies of Self-Regulated Learning for the Teachers of Mathematics and its Effect on their Relational Mathematics
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This research aims at building a proposed training program according to the self-regulated strategies for the mathematics teachers and to identify the effect of this program on relational Mathematics of teachers. The sample of the research was (60) Math teachers; (30) teachers as experimental group and (30) teachers as control group. The results of the current research reacheded that the proposed training program according to some self-managed learning strategies, meets the needs of trainees with remarkable effectiveness to improve the level of their teaching performance to achieve the desired goals. Training teacher according to self-managed learning strategies is effective in bringing about the transition of training to their students

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Publication Date
Mon Apr 03 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Typical Effect of Flower and Coscroff on Expressive the Development of Lateral Thinking among the Literary Fifth Grade Students
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Abstract

The current research aims to identify the typical effect of Flower and Coscroft on expressive performance and the development of lateral thinking among literary fifth-grade students. To achieve the research objective, the researcher chose a sample of (90) female students from the fifth literary grade, with two experimental groups and a control group. The research groups are of six subjects. The research found that the two experimental groups have more expressive performance than the control group. Students of the first experimental group outperformed the students of the second experimental group in expressive performance and lateral thinking tests. In light of the findings of the research, the researcher

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2009
Journal Name
مجلة قبس العربية
مشكلة ضعف طلبة اقسام اللغة العربية في كليات التربية الاساسية بالاعراب من وجهة نظر التدريسيين والطلبة
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Publication Date
Tue Oct 05 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
حقوق الإنسان في منهج أهل البيت (عليهم السلام) "الإمام علي بن الحسين السجاد (عليه السلام ) إنموذجا"
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    تعدُّ حقوق الإنسان من الأمور التي حثّ الدين الإسلامي على احترامها ومن الأمور غير مسموح المساس بها ، وإنّ إغفالها أو إهمالها أو تضييعها يؤدي الى نتائج خطرة

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Publication Date
Mon Jul 22 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الاسطوغرفيا العثمانية التركية حول ثيمة محمية الجزائر في الفترة العثمانية ما بين - الموضوعية العلمية والذاتية المؤدلجة
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تضمّنت الاسطوغرافيا العثمانية التركية حول ثيمة محمية الج ا زئر في -
الفترة العثمانية مؤلفات صُبغت بعضيا بطابع الموالاة والتحيّز

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 11 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
تدهور تدهور التجارة وانخفاض عائدات الضرائب في ايران(1) خلال عهد الشاه سلطان حسين ( 1694-1722).
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The weakness of the central rule at the reign of Shah Sultan Hussain who is regarded as the last Shah who governed the Safawi state near to its falling at the hold of Afghan in 1722 which is the main and the real factor for the economic collapse. The tribes of trade have faced stealing and robbery actions which have been compressed to a very big extent. This action was not the responsibility of Shah alone,

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Publication Date
Mon Jul 22 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
سرور سرور الفؤاد بالصافنات الجياد في معرفة الخيل وأسمائيا لمشيخ محمد العمري )د ا رسة وتحقيق(
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تضمن البحث تحقيق مخطوط"، سرور الفؤاد بالصافنات الجياد في معرفة الخيل
وأسمائياالشيخ محمد العمري" وكما ظاىر من عنوان المخطوط إنوُ يتناول الخيل، والخيل
موضوع ميم في حياة العربي قبل الاسلام باعتباره يمثل جزءاً من تفاصيل حياتو الملازمة لوُ
واعتماده عمييا ىذا أولاً وثانياً ماتحمموُ الخيول من معاني الفروسية والعنفوان وماتثيره في
الأنسان من حب الأقتناع والمتعة المتحققة من النظر إلييا وحبو لمسبق،

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Publication Date
Sun Aug 25 2024
Journal Name
مجلة السلام الجامعة
أحكام الزروع عند الإمام محمد بن الحسن الشيباني (ت189هـ) في روايته لكتاب الموطأ / دراسة فقهية مقارنة
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ملخص البحث تناول البحث دراسة أحد أعمدة فقهاء العالم الإسلامي من حيث العموم والمذهب الحنفي بشكل خاص الإمام محمد بن الحسن الشيباني (رحمه الله تعالى) صاحب أبي حنيفة وفقيه العراق وبعض أحكامه الفقهية المتعلقة بالزروع، ولا يخفى اهتمامه الكبير وباعه الطويل في هذا الجانب، وحرص في الغالب على ذكر وجوه الترجيح، وأسباب الاختيار، واعتمد في ذلك على قواعد وضوابط تؤيد ما يرجحه أو يختاره، مع صياغة ذلك كله بأسلوب علمي رصين، ق

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
مجلة كلية التربية للبنات / الجامعة العراقية
مسائل مختارة من ترجيحات الإمام البزازي في الحدود والجنايات من كتاب الفتاوى البزازية / دراسة فقهية مقارنة
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تضمن البحث التعريف بالإمام البزازي، وحياته العلمية، ومشايخه، وتلامذته، ومؤلفاته، ووفاته، وأربعة مسائل مختارة من ترجيحاته في الحدود والجنايات، والإمام محمد بن محمد بن شهاب بن يوسف (ت827هـ)، يُكنَّى بالكَردَرِيِّ الحنفي الخوارزمي الشهير بالبزَّازي، ويُنسب إلى كَرْدَر، وقد عرض في كتابه كثيرًا من كتب الحنفية، وذكر الكثير من آراء علمائهم مع تعرضه لبعض آراء المذاهب الأخرى. ولم يعتمد على التعريفات اللغوية والاصط

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