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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Thu Oct 01 2026
Journal Name
Misan Journal For Physical Education Sciences
تأثير اسلوب تدريب المقاومات المرنة في تطوير القوة المميزة بالسرعة والتحمل الخاص للاعبي كرة القدم للصالات
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ملخص البحث: يعد اسلوب تدريب المقاومات المرنة واحد من اساليب تدريب القوة العضلية فهو النظام الذي يتم من خلاله استخدام تمرينات يتم ادائها ضد مقاومات متغيرة مثل الحبال المطاطية او اشرطة الساندو، ويمتاز هذا الاسلوب بتغير الشدة خلال اداء التمرين الواحد اي ان كلما تم مط الحبل المطاطي ازدادت مقاومته وبالتالي فان اللاعب يستخرج قوته اكثر كلما اقترب الى مركزية الحركة في التمرين وهذا هو جوهر الاختلاف بينه وبين استخد

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 01 2009
Journal Name
مجلة قبس العربية
مشكلة ضعف طلبة اقسام اللغة العربية في كليات التربية الاساسية بالاعراب من وجهة نظر التدريسيين والطلبة
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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Effect of Administrative Accounting Functions on the Practices of the Higher and Central Administrations of the Economic Unit "An Applied Study on Joint Stock Companies"
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Strategy Descrtibes How an Organization Matches its own Capabilites With Opportunities in Environment , in Order to Accomplish its Overall Objectives , So That The Organization is Considering Responding to Challenges by Adopting one or More of Strategies, Like Differentioning its Product, or Achieving Cost Leadership.

The Key Role of Management Accountant is to Evlaute The Successful it Has Been in Implementing Organization Strategy.

This Research Target to Explain The Key Role of Management Accountant in Evaluate of  Organization Strategy. by Strategic Analysis of Operating Income From Specific Sources Such as Cost Savings and Growth in Stead of Emphasizing Only The Aggrega

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Publication Date
Tue Aug 31 2021
Journal Name
معرفة
نسبة مساهمة التدفق النفسي في بعض مهارات الجمناستك الإيقاعي و فعالية رمي الثقل بالساحة و الميدان
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Publication Date
Mon Apr 03 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Typical Effect of Flower and Coscroff on Expressive the Development of Lateral Thinking among the Literary Fifth Grade Students
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Abstract

The current research aims to identify the typical effect of Flower and Coscroft on expressive performance and the development of lateral thinking among literary fifth-grade students. To achieve the research objective, the researcher chose a sample of (90) female students from the fifth literary grade, with two experimental groups and a control group. The research groups are of six subjects. The research found that the two experimental groups have more expressive performance than the control group. Students of the first experimental group outperformed the students of the second experimental group in expressive performance and lateral thinking tests. In light of the findings of the research, the researcher

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 11 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
تدهور تدهور التجارة وانخفاض عائدات الضرائب في ايران(1) خلال عهد الشاه سلطان حسين ( 1694-1722).
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The weakness of the central rule at the reign of Shah Sultan Hussain who is regarded as the last Shah who governed the Safawi state near to its falling at the hold of Afghan in 1722 which is the main and the real factor for the economic collapse. The tribes of trade have faced stealing and robbery actions which have been compressed to a very big extent. This action was not the responsibility of Shah alone,

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 02 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
The morphological and syntactic grammes of the category of temporality: Морфолого-синтаксический состав категории темпоральности в русском языке
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The present paper discusses morphological and syntactic structures of time in Russian language. The morphological and syntactic structures are considered part component of time category in Russian language.

The morphological categories of time are formed through a various types of expressions .Tenses generally express time relative to the moment of speaking. In some contexts, however, their meaning may be relativized to a point in the past ,present or future which is established in the discourse .Some languages have different verb forms or constructions and that are opposed in meaning not in syntactic category. Hence, the present study traces and compares the syntacti

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 20 2005
Journal Name
الجامعة المستنصرية / كلية التربية الأساسية
اثر استخدام استراتيجية بوليا واستراتيجية التمثيل المعرفي في تحصيل واستبقاء مادة الرياضيات لدى طلبة المرحلة المتوسطة
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Publication Date
Thu Jan 25 2018
Journal Name
مجلة كلية الادارة والاقتصاد -الجامعة العراقية
أهميةتحسين ألاداءفي تخفيض تكاليف البحث والتطوير وزيادة رضا الزبون: بحثتطبيقي في وزارةالنقل– مرآبالكرخ الجنوبي للنقل الخاص
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Publication Date
Fri Jun 30 2023
Journal Name
مجلة دراسات وبحوث التربية الرياضية
تأثير تدريب الاسلوب المتباين في تنمية بعض القدرات البدنية والمهارات الاساسية للاعبي كرة القدم للصالات الشباب
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الملخص: تعد عناصر اللياقة البدنية العمود الفقري للألعاب الرياضية وخصوصا في الالعاب الجماعية ومنها لعبة كرة القدم للصالات والتي تعد من الالعاب الرياضية التي تتطلب بذل جهود كبيرة خلال المنافسة نظرا لطبيعة الاداء الذي يمتاز بالقوة والسرعة طيلة شوطي المباراة وهذا يتطلب من اللاعب امتلاكه للياقة بدنية عالية تؤهله للإيفاء بهذه المتطلبات خلال المنافسة، لذا نجد المدربين يتبعون كافة الاساليب وطرائق التدريب في سب

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