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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Fri Apr 12 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Compatibility between leadership of empowerment and organizational learning abilities and their reflection on knowledge capital Applied research at Wasit University
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The current research aims at: - Identifying the role played by the leadership in empowerment and organizational learning abilities and their reflection on the knowledge capital, and the extent to which these concepts can be applied effectively at Wasit University. The problem of research .... In a series of questions: The most important is that the dimensions leadership empowerment and distance learning organizational capacity correlation relationship and impact and significant statistical significance with the capital knowledge.

     To understand the nature of the relationship and the impact between the variables, leadership was adopted by empowerment as the fir

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
تأثير تأثير الحضارة الأندلسية في الحضارة الأوربية انتقال أصناف من الأغذية إلى مائدة الطعام الأوروبية
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       The progress that happened in Andalusia civilization was affected  by Arabic through taking care of agriculture by entering of new kinds of planets that were more important as political sides which led to prominence new kinds of food transported to Europe that had showed a real reflect of how chat of civilization among people who had lived in various ages until now

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 28 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Interactivity of iraqi daily newspapers sites an analytical study of the websites of al-mada,al-zaman.al-sabahand tareqal-shaab newspapers
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A study of interactivity in the Iraqi newspaper sites_ An analytical study of the website of Al-Mada, Al-Zaman, Al-Sabah and Tariq Al-Shaab newspaper sought to determine the amount of interactivity in the sites of Iraqi newspapers that have been published since 2003, which consists of (15) newspapers according to the statistics of the Iraqi Books and Documents House.

and the researcher conducted an analytical survey on these sites, and the percentage of interactivity in general was weak, not more than (47.1%), and this weakness in interactivity contributed greatly to the decline in surfers of the websites of those electronic newspapers.

The highest aggregate rate of the research sample was in the simple interactive tools

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 01 2009
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Measuring the impact of interest rates on the movement of international financial flows (Japan case study) for the period 1985-2005
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يعد الاقتصاد الياباني احد اكبر الاقتصادات الرأسمالية المتقدمة ويحتل المرتبة الثالثة بعد الاقتصاد الأمريكي واقتصاد الاتحاد الاوربي من حيث حجم الناتج المحلي الإجمالي والذي يكاد يقترب من (5) تريليون دولار سنويا.

لقد ادت التطورات المتلاحقة التي شهدها الاقتصاد العالمي وخاصة في حقل التمويل الدولي خلال العشرين سنة الاخيرة الى تصاعد وارتفاع في حجم وحركه رؤوس الاموال الدولية على اوسع نطاق بحيث ا

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 14 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The effect of dramatizing characters within the social subject of the basic education stage on student achievement
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The researcher used the experimental approach due to its suitability and the nature of the research problem. The research community was represented by the eighth-grade students in the Rozak Elementary Mixed School affiliated with the General Directorate of Education in Erbil / the center, for the academic year (2021-2022), the number is (96) students, and the research sample consisted of (63) male and female students, with (31) in the experimental group, and (32) in the control group, and (11) students were excluded by (5) students from the experimental group, and (6) students from the control group, as the excluded, are students who failed and were absent from the lessons, and accordingly, the research sample became composed of (52) mal

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 07 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Impact of the Sowt Strategy on the Development of Systemic Intelligence among Students of the Ibn Rushd College of Education for the Humanities
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The aim of the current research is to identify the impact of the SWOT strategy on developing systemic intelligence among students of the Ibn Rushd College of Education for Human Sciences University of Baghdad / College of Education Ibn Rushd for Human Sciences. The current research community consists of (8590) male and female students, divided into (7) departments. The current research relied on one of the partial control designs, which is the design of non-random groups: experimental group and a control group with a pre and post-test. As for the research tool, It was represented by Tourmanin’s Systemic Intelligence Scale (2012) of (50) items that measure the eight components of systemic intelligence. The results of the Mann Whitney te

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
بعض الاضطرابات السلوكية والانفعالية والانفعالية وعلاقتها بالاستعمال المفرط للألعاب الالكترونية لدى التلاميذ في المرحلة الابتدائي
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سعى البحث الحالي الى التعرف على بعض الاضطرابات السلوكية والانفعالية وعلاقتها بالاستعمال المفرط للالعاب الالكترونية لدى تلاميذ المرحلة الابتدائية, إذ يواجه التلاميذ مشكلات سلوكية عديدة ،تظهر من خلال تعاملهم مع اقرانهم في البيت او في المدرسة والتي قد تتطور عند بعضهم وتتحول الى اضطرابات نفسية،مما يؤدي بهم الى ضعف التعلم وسوء التوافق في حياتهم المدرسية ويصبحون عُرضة للا صابة بالامراض النفسية ،إذا لم يتم تشخ

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Effect of Cognitive Strategies on Iraqi EFL College Students’ Writing Anxiety
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Writing in English language demands both mental skills and a suitable level of language proficiency. Some studies showed that writing anxiety has an impact on the acquisition of language learning. This study; however, teaches the cognitive strategies (PLAY & WRITE) as a writing strategy, so as to decrease students’ use of it when experiencing writing anxiety at the academic writing level. The sample has been (100) second-stage Department of English learners at the College of Education (Ibn –Rushd), in the University of Baghdad-Iraq. They have been randomly selected and divided into experimental and control groups; (50) students in each group. To achieve the objective of the study, SLWAI questionnaire has been distributed to the e

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 06 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
التخطيط التخطيط العمراني والسكاني لمدينة بغداد في عهد الوالي العثماني محمد رشيد الكوزلكي 1852-1857
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I've dealt with my research is marked by ((urban and population planning for the city of Baghdad, during the reign of the Ottoman governor Muhammad Rashid Alkozlki 1852-1857)), a set of facts and incidents historical with the physical and demographic dimension, which passed on the history of the city of Baghdad on the fifth of the nineteenth century the contract during the Ottoman control Iraq, which lasted almost nearly four centuries

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
اختبار العلاقة بين التدفقات النقدية والعوائد المتحققة للاسهم: دراسة تطبيقية في سوق العراق للاوراق المالية
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غالبا ما يؤكد موضوع تحليل البيانات المالية على اختبار عناصر التدفق النقدي لغرض النتبؤ بعوائد الاسهم بالمستقبل ، فضلا عن ان المستثمرين دائما ما يبحثون عن زيادة عوائد الاسهم، وان مثل هذا النوع من التحليل يمكن استخدامه لطبيعة المعلومات المحتواة في عناصر التدفق النقدي ، والدرجة التي على اساسها تنعكس مثل هذه المعلومات المالية في اسعار الاسهم من خلال تقويم القيم السوقية للأوراق المالية فتؤدي إلى تغيير قرارات م

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