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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 01 2022
Journal Name
حوليات كلية الاداب-جامعة عين شمس
اثر الترجمة الحرفية على تأويل الصور البلاغية في ترجمة القران الكريم الى اللغة العبرية(ايات من سورة النساء انموذجا)
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Publication Date
Wed Mar 30 2022
Journal Name
Modern Sport
The point of download of the faculty members for the reality of administrative motivation for the faculties of physical education and sports sciences deans of Baghdad and Al-Mustansiriya Universities Authors
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The aim of the research is to identify the reality of administrative motivation for the deans of the faculties of physical education and sports sciences at the universities of Baghdad and Al-Mustansiriya from the point of download of the faculty members. The number of the exploratory sample was (7) faculty members, they were taken in a random way, while the rest of the sample number was (150) faculty members who considered the application sample for the scale, and the two researchers also adopted a questionnaire for the scale and it is applied to the Iraqi environment. phrase, which are phrases that are interrelated with the administrative leadership motivation in the faculties of physical education and sports sciences. The researchers did

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Publication Date
Fri Jul 03 2026
Journal Name
Kufa Journal Physical Education Sciences
اثر تدريبات بأسلوب التدريب الدائري لبناء التحمل في تطوير بعض القدرات الحركية لأشبال لكرة القدم بأعمار (13- 15) سنة
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اهمية البحث هي مرحلة نمو وبناء اجهزة الجسم للاعبين الاشبال واعداد تدريبات بأسلوب التدريب الدائري لبناء التحمل لتطوير بعض القدرات الحركية والمهارية لدى اللاعبين الاشبال بكرة القدم , حيث لاحظت الباحثة ضعف في مستوى الاداء الحركي ارتأت اعداداً بدنيا ومهارياً منذ مرحلة البناء الأولى للاعب الفئات العمرية , واستخدم الباحث المنهج التجريبي بالاختبار القبلي والبعدي للمجموعتين التجريبية والضابطة لملائمته لطبيعة ال

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Re-engineering management processes and its impact on the strategic decision-making process Field study on the College of Education / University of Mustansiriya / Iraq
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The aim of the research is to identify both the re-engineering of management processes and the strategic decision-making process in the research community and determine the nature of the correlation between the two variables and know the relationship between them to achieve the research goal. The researcher used a descriptive and analytical method. The research community consists of a group of professors and staff of the College of Education affiliated to the University of Mustansiriya in Baghdad, which their number were (45),  the researcher has distributed the forms to all members of the sample,  only (3) forms were excluded for invalidity and thus the number of forms approved in the analysis were (42) forms. The rese

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 28 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Conflict of Active Regional and International Powers over Nagorny Karabakh Region: وداد حسين خضير علي , و مهيمن عبد الحليم طه الوادي
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      The current study is descriptive; it focuses on studying the contemporary geopolitical problem, and sectarian differences in Caucasus. Nagorno-Karabakh is considered an important disputed region nowadays. Many parties and states participated in this dispute, especially after the conflict had developed into an open war between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Thus, the study aims to examine the causes of the conflict in this region, analyze the international positions on this conflict, and find if Armenia was able to occupy this region. The methodology adopted by the researchers is the functional approach, and the theory of power analysis that Cohen created for analyzing all strengths that drove each of the parties t

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 06 2015
Journal Name
مجلة
فعالية استخدام تدريبات القوة الدافعة الذاتية في تطوير القوة الخاصة و بعض القدرات الوظيفية و المهارية للاعبين الشبابا بالكرة الطائرة
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Publication Date
Tue Jan 08 2019
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الأمير كوركوز الاويغوري دراسة في سيرته ودوره السياسي والاداري والاقتصادي والعمراني خلال العصر العباسي 624-641 هـ/ 1226- 1243 م
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حظيت عدد من الشخصيات التاريخية ممن كان لها أثر واضح المعالم في تطور النظام الإداري والسياسي للإمبراطورية المغولية، بأهتمام عدد لا بأس به من الباحثين.

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 15 2018
Journal Name
كلية التربية الاساسية
تقويم الكفاءة الادارية لأعضاء اللجان المشرفة على التطبيقات التدريسية في كليات التربية بجامعة بغداد من وجهة نظر التدريسيين المشرفين عليها
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هدف البحث إلى معرفة تقويم الكفاءة الادارية لأعضاء اللجان المشرفة على التطبيقات التدريسية في كليات التربية بجامعة بغداد من وجهة نظر التدريسيين المشرفين عليها. اعتمد البحث المنهج الوصفي التحليلي. وتكون مجتمع البحث من (162) مشرفاً على التطبيقات التدريسية من كليات التربية/ جامعة بغداد، واختيرت عينة البحث بالطريقة العشوائية البسيطة، وبلغ عدد أفراد العينة (120) مشرفاً من الكليات آنفة الذكر. وتم بناء استبانة تضمنت (35)

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2019
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Histological and Physiological Studies on the Long-term Effect of Different Concentrations of Energy Drink (Tiger) on the Renal and Hepatic Systems of Young Mice
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The present study aims to investigate the long-term histopathological, and physiological effects of different concentrations of a commercially available energy drink (Tiger) on liver and kidney of young mice. Sixteen Balb/c male mice,6 -week old, were divided into 4 groups (n=4). Two groups consumed the energy drink at a concentration of 28µl energy drink/ml water. One group were killed after 10 days (T1), another group were killed after 20 days (T2). Other group of mice consumed the energy drink at a final concentration of 14µl/ml for 20 days (T3). The last group was provided only with water and served as control. Mice of all groups drank around 3 ml per day. The histopathological study on liver of treated groups showed many changes s

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 31 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Improving Customer Value Through the Integral of Techniques Quality Function Deployment and Value Engineering
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Health service institutions suffer from challenges resulting from the great changes that our world is witnessing today.  This has affected the value that these institutions add to the patient.

This research aims to identify the effect of integrating each of the techniques of QFD and value engineering for the health services provided to the patient to improve the value for him and thus obtain his satisfaction, which is reflected in the reputation of the surveyed hospitals. To achieve this, the descriptive analytical method was used, and a questionnaire was designed to collect the necessary data, which represents a measure of this research. The questionnaire was distri

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