Preferred Language
Articles
/
bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
...Show More Authors

The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

Scopus Clarivate Crossref
View Publication Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Jul 06 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
أصول التربية : تضارب المحتوى وإشكالية الإعداد دراسة نقدية لكتب ومقررات أصول التربية في الجامعات العربية ووضع تصور منهاجي بديل
...Show More Authors

Research questions  start from the fact that what the Arab origins of education  indicted . First question are :

- To what extent the subject of assets acquired a specific meaning in the Arabic books and educational subjects ? Is these selections are reflected on the classification of assets and their types ?
- What’s the nature of the content ? .Is there a consistency between the meaning and content ?

- What entrances handling and curriculum approach and tactics are in those books ?

- Is the assets subject introduced within  the grade  best suited ?

         &nb

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Sep 30 2002
Journal Name
رسالة ماجستير
THE JAPANESE – CHINESE RELATIONS Study of the Real and Future of the Japanese - Chinese Relations since 1949 - 2001
...Show More Authors

With the twenty - First century, It becomes clear to us that for 110 years the Japanese - Chinese relations have been witnessing big radical events and developments. ( we take the year of 1949 as the starting date for this relations). In order to prove hypothesis the study divided in to four chapters. - The first chapter deals with explaining the factors of the subject of the Japanese - Chinese relations which described as Indirect threat and aggressive relations from Japan to China after the Second World War by Japanese entering in the American world strategy, in order to destroy the communist china's system which decleard in 1949, because the united states understood that the new system in Beijing could threat American's Interest

... Show More
Publication Date
Tue Dec 31 2013
Journal Name
مجلة كليه التربيه الاساسيه
صعوبات تدريس مادة الكيمياء الكمية في قسم الكيمياء - كلية التربية - للعلوم الصرفة من وجهة نظر تدريسي المادة و الطلبة
...Show More Authors

تعد أساليب وطرائق تدريس المواد الدراسية العلمية من المجالات المهمة التي تساعد في تحويل المجرد إلى ثوابت في الذهن وترفع مستوى خبرات كل من المعلم والمتعلم على حد سواء إضافة إلى إنها جزء لا يتجزأ من العملية التربوية ومن الركائز المهمة التي تقوم عليها المناهج الدراسية لأنها تساعد الطلبة على اكتساب مهارات ومعلومات وتكوين اتجاهات وميول تخدم أهداف تدريس المادة وبما أن مادة الكيمياء الكمية هي إحدى المواد الدراسية

... Show More
Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2018
Journal Name
المجلة العلمية للبحوث التجارية في كلية التجارة جامعة جنوب الوادي في جمهورية مصر العربية
استعمال نظام محاسبة العميل كأحد اساليب المحاسبة الادارية الحديثة لتحقيق الميزة التنافسية بحث تطبيقي في عينة من المصارف العراقية
...Show More Authors

Publication Date
Thu Nov 02 2023
Journal Name
الدراسات اللغوية والترجمية
استراتيجية التثاقف في الترجمة الادبية بين الحفاظ على الموروث الحضاري والاندماج المجتمعي رواية فرايم ... فرايم للقاص شالوم درويش (انموذجا)
...Show More Authors

الملاخص كامل

Publication Date
Sun Jul 02 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
اثر تصميم تعليمي قائم على ستراتيجية التعليم من اجل الفهم في تحصيل مادة الرياضيات لدى طالبات الصف الخامس العلمي
...Show More Authors

The objective of the current research is to identify the effective of the suggested instructional design that based on the teaching strategy for understanding in achievement for students(girls) of mathematics in the fifth grads secondary school. To achieve the research goal, the empirical research method is depended. In this method a realistic empirical design pre-test of two equivalent sets to determine the students’ grade is used. The following zero hypotheses is formulated “There is no statistical difference for the faction at 0.05 between the mean grad for the students of the empirical group who studied the subject using the Instructional design based on the teaching strategy for understanding and those who studied the same subje

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Dec 31 2020
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
نماذج من التمازج في قصص الأنبياء بين التشريعات السماوية الثلاث : الإسلامية واليهودية والنصرانية: التشريعات السماوية الثلاث: الاسلامية واليهودية والنصرانية
...Show More Authors

   يهدف هذا البحث إلى تأصيل الإستدلال بالقاعدة العقائدية، وبيان ضوابطه، وإبراز نماذج من أهم تطبيقاته المعاصرة، وقد أعتمد مناهج من أهمها المنهج الإستقرائي والمنهج المقارن ، وتناول البحث التعريف لقصص النبوة فى الأديان السماوية ، وعرض بعض الدراسات السابقة التى تناولت نفس الموضوع ، ثم تطرق البحث لذكر نماذج من قصص الأنبياء من الديانات السماوية الثلاث ، وتوصل البحث الى أن الأديان السماوية رغم بعض الإختلاف

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Mon Oct 22 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الاميرة الأَميرة أَشرف بهلوي ودورها في التآمر على وزارة مصدق ومجيء قوام السلطنة (6 آيار 1951-22 تموز 1952)
...Show More Authors

      The name of princesses  Ashraf Bhlwi was associated with very important events influnced on social polical Iranian fact through second half of twentieth century, with access Dr.Mosaddeq to cabinet on May 1951, The conflict seemed between him and princesses Ashraf in creasingly, when Mosaddeq came to authority he had many projects deal with oil industry laws in Iran and reform the elections laws, reducing terms of reference of Al shah and made it honorable only,  This matter disturbance Royal court especially, Ashraf, she started to coordinate with members of the shura council and other military personalities in order to over throw Mosaddeq cabinet but she failed because Mosaddeq supported by Irani

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
An empirical Evaluation of the effect of service encounter on customer voluntary behavior: Exploration study of (TBI) customers
...Show More Authors

Purpose: To determine the impact of service encounter in stimulating voluntary customer behaviors.

  • Approach / methodology: It was selected a sample of customers Bank Iraqi Trade (TBI) was (105) individual, using a questionnaire designed in the light of previous studies, was drafted scale and tested in the light of a group of statistical methods developed (reliability coefficient, reliability coefficient composite, convergence). Then test hypotheses through structural equation modeling.
  • Results: The behaviors and characteristics of the service provider in effect urged bank customers to perform voluntary extra, as the service environment service encounter

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Fri Jul 01 2022
Journal Name
حوليات كلية الاداب-جامعة عين شمس
اثر الترجمة الحرفية على تأويل الصور البلاغية في ترجمة القران الكريم الى اللغة العبرية(ايات من سورة النساء انموذجا)
...Show More Authors