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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 26 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of Physical Education
Standard Levels of Modern Administration for the Iraqi Central Olympic Committee's Olympic Federations
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The problem of the research lies in the lack of standard levels for modern administration as a guide for evaluating weaknesses and strengths as well as finding solutions. The aim of the research lies in identifying standard levels for modern administration in Iraqi central Olympic committee and international federations. The subjects were (24) Olympic committee' federations. All procedures were standardized to fit our modern administration work. The data was collected and treated using proper statistical operations. The researcher concluded standard levels for modern administration in international federation of the Iraqi Olympic committee, in addition to that he concluded that most administrations levels ranged within four levels (good, fa

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Publication Date
Mon Aug 01 2022
Journal Name
مجلة الجامعة العراقية
المكتبة الاسلامية الرقمية مشروع صناعة مكتبة رقمية للطالب في قسم علوم القران الكريم والتربية الإسلامية
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تهدف الورقة البحثية الى اعداد مشروع لصناعة مكتبة رقمية للطالب في قسم علوم القران الكريم والتربية االسالمية في كلية التربية ابن رشد للعلوم االنسانية / جامعة بغداد ، اعدت الباحثة استمارة نموذج كوكل تضمنت مجموعة من االسئلة الغرض منها تحديد المؤلفات االساسية التي يحتاجها طالب العلوم االسالمية في دراساته وابحاثه ،واعتمدت الباحثة على المنهج الوصفي اسلوب المسح لجمع البيانات ، ووزعت االستمارة عبر الصفوف االلكترو

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 07 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Level of Administrative Work Quality of Private Schools Principals at Southern Governorates of Palestine form the Teachers Point of View
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The study aimed at identifying the level of administrative work quality of private Schools principals at Southern Governorates of Palestine from the teachers' point of view in their schools. To achieve the objectives of this research, a questionnaire was prepared by the researcher consisted of (28) items. It was applied to a sample of (350) teachers. The researcher adopted the descriptive-analytical approach. The results of the study showed that the degree to which principals of private schools in the southern governorates of Palestine practice Administrative Work Quality from the viewpoint of their teachers was very high, with relative weight (85.00%). The results also showed that there are statistically significant differences at the l

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Impact of the Lean Thinking on the Rationalization Costs & Achieving Customer Satisfaction: An applied Research at Ur State company Electrical Cables industries
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The research explored the impact of applying lean thinking With all that carries this term of goals, trends, principles, foundations and concepts, The possibility of applying it in institutions, including Ur public company, an industrial company, And the only one in Iraq specialized in the manufacture of cables, Electrical Wires and the aluminum industry ,Which has been applied to the curriculum of lean thinking , The problem of research is that the institutions, including the company (research sample), adopt and practice traditional administrative, financial and technical methods without relying on modern curricula and ideas, including the subject of our research, In order to achieve the research objectives, the research was divided int

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Publication Date
Mon Mar 01 1999
Journal Name
مجلة الاستاذ للعلوم الانسانية والاجتماعية
اخلاقيات مهنة العاملين في المكتبات المركزية الجامعة بغداد والمستنصرية والتكنولوجية من وجهه نظر المستفيدين منها.
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يهدف البحث إلى معرفة ما هيه اخلاقيات مهنة العاملين في المكتبات وتحديث متطلباتهم الضرورية من المهنة لكي يسمو بأخلاقياتها ، وهل هذه الاخلاقيات متوافرة في العاملين في مكتباتنا الجامعية ضمن حدود الدراسة ؟ ومن ادوات جمع البيانات : استمارة بالاخلاقيات وزعت على مجموعة من الاساتذة و استبانة وزعت على من المكتبات الجامعية . وكان مجتمع الدراسة العاملون في المكتبات المركزية الأولى والثانية لجامعة بغداد والمكتبة المرك

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 01 2017
Journal Name
مجلة القانون المقارن
التكليف الضريبي لحقوق المؤلف في ضوء احكام قانون ضريبة الدخل العراقي رقم 113 لسنة 2007
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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2007
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
استعمال أنموذج (Altman) للإفلاس دالة لقياس الأداء دراسة تطبيقية في بعض الشركات المساهمة الخاصة العراقية
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Performance measures are a central component of management control system, making good planning and control decisions requires information about how different subunits of organizations have performed. To be effective, performance measures (both financial and nonfinancial) must also motivate managers and employees at all levels of organization to strive to achieve organization goals.

To give aclear picture about performance must be used compound measure, that was best than single measure.

Altman model can be used as a compound performance measure that measures the performance by tied a sum of variables, due to make weight for every variable to reach for performance.

 

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Publication Date
Sat Nov 10 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
(دور الوعي البيئي لدى الأسرة العراقية في التخلص من النفايات الصلبة) (مدينة الرمادي – حي العزيزية)
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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Reflection of innovative marketing skills on the broad recommendation Survey Research at Asia Telecom- Iraq
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The research aims at clarifying the relationship between innovative marketing skills and broad recommendation as a vital and important issue for organizations in general and service organizations in particular to demonstrate how innovative marketing skills contribute to broad adoption and to determine the relationship between interdependence and the impact of innovative marketing skills on the broad recommendation. Some questions are posed by the research problem. Is there a clear awareness among individuals in the company about the concept of marketing marketing skills and how do innovative marketing skills affect the broad recommendation of the surveyed company? How innovative marketing skills relate to the broad recommendation

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 14 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The effect of dramatizing characters within the social subject of the basic education stage on student achievement
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The researcher used the experimental approach due to its suitability and the nature of the research problem. The research community was represented by the eighth-grade students in the Rozak Elementary Mixed School affiliated with the General Directorate of Education in Erbil / the center, for the academic year (2021-2022), the number is (96) students, and the research sample consisted of (63) male and female students, with (31) in the experimental group, and (32) in the control group, and (11) students were excluded by (5) students from the experimental group, and (6) students from the control group, as the excluded, are students who failed and were absent from the lessons, and accordingly, the research sample became composed of (52) mal

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