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bsj-4606
A Modified Approach by Using Prediction to Build a Best Threshold in ARX Model with Practical Application
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The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in determining the best seasonal model. Then they are compared with the obtained models from two methods that mentioned above of the two approaches within a group of the criteria as AIC, MDL, Loss Function, BIC, FPE, MSE, in addition the proposed weighted comparison criteria to determine the best model for representing the wind speed data as input variable, soil and dust as an output variable, in Baghdad Station from January 1956 to December 2012.

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Publication Date
Sat Sep 30 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Study the Effect of Multilayer Single Point Incremental Forming on Residual Stresses for Bottom Plates
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Abstract

 

Knowing the amount of residual stresses and find technological solutions to minimize and control them during the production operation are an important task because great levels of deformation which occurs in single point incremental forming (SPIF), this induce highly non-uniform residual stresses. In this papera propose of a method for multilayer single point incremental forming with change in thickness of the top plate (0.5, 0.7, 0.9) mm and lubrication or material between two plates(polymer, grease, grease with graphite, mos2) to knowing an effect of this method  and parameters on residual stresses for the bottom plates. Also compare these results for the

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Publication Date
Sun Jun 30 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The poetry of the sensory image of Ibn Dannir al-Musli poems (B627 H.)
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تُعبّرُ الصُّورةُ الحسَّيةُ في شعرِ ابن دُنَينير الموصليِّ([i]) في بنيتها عن تجربةِ الشاعرِ الوجدانيةِ والذهنيةِ, وأفكارهِ ومشاعرِهِ؛ فيصوغُ بها مَفهومًا جديدًا للواقعِ الماديِّ والمعنويِّ، الذي يتسمُ بالوضوحِ أولاً، وبالقرْبِ من الذهنِ ثانيًا، للربْطِ بين الحواسِّ الإنسانيةِ والمعاني الذهنيةِ، لِتُقَدِّمَ الصُّورةُ الحسيَّةُ إلى ((المتلقي صُورًا مرئيةً، يُعادُ تشكيلُها سياق

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 03 2024
Journal Name
مجلة الذكوات البيض
أشكالية توظيف الخطاب السياسي ودوره في تعزيز السلم المجتمعي: العراق انموذجا
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لكل دولة في هذا العالم خطابها السياسي والذي يحدد سياستها الداخلية والخارجية، وهي سياسة ثابتة تنطلق من مفاهيم وبرامج وثوابت تخدم مصالحها الحيوية، لكون الخطاب السياسي ليس مجرد كلام عابر في عالم السياسة الدولية وانما هو ثوابت مهمة يحدد توجهات هذه الدولة او تلك ويحدد دورها الدولي وطبيعة العلاقة مع البلدان الاخرى ومنها الدول المجاورة لها. شهد العراق بعد العام 2003 تحديات جديدة تمثلت بتغليب خطابات الطائفية والكراه

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
مفھوم الامانة في التراث الأدبي للامام علي ( علیھ السلام ) - دراسة تحلیلیة
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the boot of honesty in the dictionary the term linguistic and religious
heritage, literary and Islamic Sufi thought, and concept in the literature of Imam
Ali, peace is upon him. And studied the summary first concerns its presence in the
literature and implications and directions, either the second part, has cared for the
analytical study has found research that safe weight was the counterpart of the
personality of the Imam accompanied the character most prominent in his
character, namely, (courage), it has struggled to deliver a impact of humanity in his
time and after the word and deed, It was based on the imagination in the formation
of images sensual and intellectual, to his persuasion of the evidence and argu

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Publication Date
Sat Jun 01 2024
Journal Name
المجلة العراقية للعلوم السياسية
التغيرات المناخية واثرها على المرأة العراقية: دراسة في الاسباب وضرورات الاستجابة
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تعد التغيرات المناخية قضية بيئية عالمية وشاغلاً مشتركاً للبشرية وهي نتيجة حتمية للتطور الحضاري، لاسيما بعد قيام الثورة الصناعية، فقد كان الاستهلاك غير العقلاني لموارد الطبيعة والتوسع العمراني على حساب المساحات الخضراء آثار خطيرة على المناخ الذي يعد من اهم عناصر البيئة الطبيعية لما له من اثر واضح على كافة مجالات الحياة. على صعيد الحالة العراقية يواجه العراق تحديات عدة يفرضها تغير المناخ كارتفاع درجات الحرا

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
ملامح معاییر نقدیة في مقامة الشعراء (الموفیة) للسرقسطي ت ٥٣٨ ھ
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Stop and stop Alsergsti classed many of the characteristics of great poets and
literary arts and persuasions, in Mqamth cash cash Antzmtha three criteria: the
standard of Islam and the standard time, and Maaartadd purposes of poetry. This
has had its effect on lighting stand many of the goals of the poets and their
attitudes.
The first criterion: Those who study the positions of Alsergsti to poetry and
poets must be discerned his money comes from the spirit of Islam as a religion and
creed and a system, a position that is encouraging him wherever expressed, such as
the Muslim community the new values, away from the vulgarity, which contributed
to the formulation of the standard of religious poetry criticism.

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Relations Of Design And The Role Of It Making The Idea For Fashion Design: فرات جمال العتابي
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Any design subject to a set of forces contributing to the establishment of relations working to strengthen the internal elements of the design; any imbalance in these elements can make a fragmented and weak design, thus preventing it from achieving the goal or performance. Poor performance can be attributed to various factors: the extent and function of the elements and principles in the design, realization of the idea, especially in fashion design.
Moreover, there are many aspects of a design that go into achieving the realization of the designer’s idea. The design utilizes a lot of stimulants by drawing attention to its design, which is consistent with the need for psychological and material individuals. In this research, we will

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Publication Date
Wed Nov 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
المنهج المنهج الأدبي في كتاب "أدب الكتاب" للصولي (ت335هـ) دراسة منهجية
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It is summarized that Abu-Baker Al-Soly is one of Arabic Muslim scientists who had special style in literary writing specifically in sciences and knowledge that had depended on the encyclopedia culture gained from various fields of science , this means that he was an individual who had participated to characterize features of Islamic –Arabic history enhanced the rules of it , this matter would encourage us to know the method and style of writing in the field of intellectual life in which the writer depended on the procedures direction of scientists that he lived in the Abbasid era .

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 12 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Stress and Its Associated Factors among Students of the College of Nursing University of Baghdad
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Objectives: The current study aims at identifying the level of perceived stress among nursing college students and determining the factors associated with stress they have. Methodology: A cross-sectional descriptive study initiated for the period on November 1st, 2014 to May 1st, 2015. The study has been conducted on the undergraduate nursing college students / University of Baghdad. The sample of the study was consisted of (128) students who were selected purposively. The questionnaire of the study was adopted and modified for the present study which consisted of socio-demographic data and the scale of

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 01 2011
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
أثر تحسين جودة الخدمات التأمينية في تحقيق المزايا التنافسية: دراسة ميدانيــة
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يعد التأمين أحد المؤسسات المالية ذات التأثير على برامج التنمية ، وما زال قطاع التأمين يعاني من العديد من المشاكل منها الوعي أو التشريع أو كيفية توظيفه كمورد اقتصادي واجتماعي خدمة للمجتمع والمؤسسات والافراد. وحيث أن التأمين يقدم خدمة تستوجب التزامها بمواصفات محددة ، لذا أصبح من الضروري دراسة آليات تحسين جودة الخدمة التأمينية وكذلك دراسة واقع العملية التسويقية للخدمة التأمينية وما ينالها من تحديات داخلية أ

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