The proposal of nonlinear models is one of the most important methods in time series analysis, which has a wide potential for predicting various phenomena, including physical, engineering and economic, by studying the characteristics of random disturbances in order to arrive at accurate predictions.

In this, the autoregressive model with exogenous variable was built using a threshold as the first method, using two proposed approaches that were used to determine the best cutting point of [the predictability forward (forecasting) and the predictability in the time series (prediction), through the threshold point indicator]. B-J seasonal models are used as a second method based on the principle of the two proposed approaches in dete

        مهما كان السلوك الانساني بسيطا كطرفة العين او معقدا كحل مشكلة ما, فأنه يعتمد بشكل واضح على تكامل عدد كبير من العمليات داخل جسم الإنسان, وما يصدر عن الكائن البشري من سلوك خلافا للكائنات الحية الاخرى ليس مجرد استجابات, أو وروود فعل آلية بسيطة أو غريزية كما يحدث عند الحيوان, وإنما هي عبارة عن نشاط راق مركب, هادف قابل للارتقاء والتسامي . ويشير العلماء بهذا الصدد الى ان كل شيء موجود في الط

يهدف البحث الى استخدام بحوث العمليات في اتخاذ القرارات الادارية لما لها من اهمية في مواكبة التطورات الحاصلة في مجال استراتيجيات الاعمال ونظم المعلوماتية وإدارة المعرفة في القرن الحالي، إذ لم تعد الأساليب التقليدية في اتخاذ القرارات الإدارية مجدية بعد ظهور توجهات حديثة في الإدارة تركز على ضرورة الاعتماد على الأساليب الكمية كبحوث العمليات, وقد تطور استخدام بحوث العمليات في السنوات الماضية بشكل كبير وأصبحت أ

The research aims to shed light on the possibility of measuring the intellectual capital in the Iraqi insurance company using accounting models, as well as disclosing it in the financial statements of the company, where human capital was measured using the present value factor model for discounted future revenues and the intellectual value-added factor model for measuring structural capital It was also disclosed in the financial statements based on the theory of stakeholders. The research problem lies in the fact that the Iraqi insurance company does not carry out the process of measuring and disclosing the intellectual capital while it is considered an important source for the company’s progress in the labor market recently. T

Simulation experiments are a means of solving in many fields, and it is the process of designing a model of the real system in order to follow it and identify its behavior through certain models and formulas written according to a repeating software style with a number of iterations. The aim of this study is to build a model  that deals with the behavior suffering from the state of (heteroskedasticity) by studying the models (APGARCH & NAGARCH) using (Gaussian) and (Non-Gaussian) distributions for different sample sizes (500,1000,1500,2000) through the stage of time series analysis (identification , estimation, diagnostic checking and prediction). The data was generated using the estimations of the parameters resulting f

   The simulation is the oldest theory in art, since it appeared in the Greek aesthetic thought of the philosopher Plato, as we find in many of the thinkers and philosophers over a wide period of time to reach our world today. Our fascination with art in general and design art in particular is due to the creativity and innovations of the artist through the simulation, as well as the peculiarities in this simulation, which give objects signs and signals that may have an echo that sometimes does not exist in their physical reality.

   The real representation of life and design construction, descriptions of the expression of each of them in the form of intellectual construction and the ideas of producti

This research deals with the topic (Fantasy Parody in the Design of the Advertisement) in view of the important role that fantasia plays in designing the most creative and attractive advertisements to the recipients. The research problem lies in accordance with the following question:
What is the Fantasy Parody in the Design of the Advertisement?
It means the imagination, the unfamiliar; and features that emerge for it that distinguish it from other concepts. Fantasy advertisement is creativity in innovative ways, either through collage, merging, or the use of various artistic expressions in terms of intellectual and cultural awareness. When uses in the parody of advertisement, it has helped to come up with an aesthetic experie

Electronic banking plays a prominent role in providing the best banking services and upgrading the banking sector for the better, so this study aimed to shed light on the most prominent obstacles that prevent the application of electronic banking in banks operating in the city of Nasiriyah, and in order to achieve this goal the researcher used the descriptive analytical approach And through a questionnaire form that was distributed to a group of employees, numbering (60) employees in the upper, middle and operational departments in a number of branches of private banks operating in the city of Nasiriyah, namely (the Iraqi Trade Bank, the Gulf Commercial Bank, the Bank of Baghdad, the Union Bank of Iraq), which represented The stu

The evaluation of banks plays an important role in maintaining the interests of customers with the bank as well as providing continuous supervision and control by the Central Bank. The Central Bank of Iraq conducted an assessment of the Iraqi banks through the implementation of the CAMEL model during a certain period. This evaluation did not continue. The research provides continuity to the Central Bank's assessment and as a step to continue the evaluation process for all banks through the use of the CAMEL model. ROA and ROE by using the regression model for four Iraqi banks registered in the Iraqi market for securities during the period 2010-2016. The results showed that the capital and profitability indicators have a significan

The performance evaluation had Focused for many years ago on The financial factors which are Not enough for the contemporary business organizations. So in order to get useful information it con used The balanced score card which can used to offer information about some measurement on which the level of the act actual performance is determined.