A large number of researchers had attempted to identify the pattern of the functional relationship between fertility from a side and economic and social characteristics of the population from another, with the strength of effect of each. So, this research aims to monitor and analyze changes in the level of fertility temporally and spatially in recent decades, in addition to estimating fertility levels in Iraq for the period (1977-2011) and then make forecasting to the level of fertility in Iraq at the national level (except for the Kurdistan region), and for the period of (2012-2031). To achieve this goal has been the use of the Lee-Carter model to estimate fertility rates and predictable as well. As this is the form often has been familiar with the relevant studies mortality, and rarely used in studying of fertility (in the Arab world, at least). This model is based on the idea of singular value analysis on a hand, and taking time series impact on the phenomenon into consideration on the other.
תקציר
הילדות נחשבה השלב חשוב בתולדות האדם, וגם המשפיע ביותר בהיווצרות של אישיותו, משום שבו תתהווה את הליבה של ציוני דרך אישיותו של האדם, ויתגבש בו את ציוני דרכו ותכונותו שלו, וגם תשרטט את הבסיס העיקרי של מה יהיה האדם בעתיד. היות והילדות נשארה היא והשלכותיה בקרבו של האדם, עם זכרונותיה היפות והעצובים כאחד, במחקר זה עסקנו בילדותו של הסופר עמוס עוז כסיסמה לפענוח לדמותו, ולספרותו, כמו כן לכאבים שהעברו
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مجتمع مدني ام مجتمع اهلي ؟ دراسة لواقع المجتمع المدني في البلدان العربية
We must live in an era dominated by the call for equality between men and women, in which the voices of advocates of gender integration were heard. After women opened their doors to compete with their brother, Knowledge, and culture in the various forms of life, language as a science of the time and knowledge of the other had to match this reality and express the most accurate expression of this task
Is astronomy in the Abbasid era one of the sciences that Muslims developed at that time? The restriction of students at the hands of a large number of students, which increased the development and increase the value of monitoring mechanisms and their outstanding efforts in support and development of the Arab civilization of Islam
التسليات في البلدان الاسلامية مشاهد حياة الطرب والالات الموسيقية كما يعكسها الفن
Abstract
The relationship between population and development is one of the most interrelated relations in contemporary societies. Therefore it is important focus on the demographic aspects of the population and its integration with developmental aspects, because the population is the makers of development and responsible for its success. The population composition and their qualitative composition are important factors in development. This change in age rate is because of demographic operations which lasted for long time. The change we are talking about is happing currently in Arab cou
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