تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.
Industry represents a cornerstone of the process of economic development and a measure of progress and contribute to increased prosperity and high standard of living.
The researcher analyzed the productivity indicators in industrial facilities large and small at several time periods ranging from 1970 to 2009, according to the economic situation that prevailed in each period.
Different impact of periods under discussion, it made Iraq the cash surpluses during the period 70-1980 then the effects of the war after 1980 and the economic blockade since 1990, and the subsequent events of the year
... Show MoreThis study deals with the conceptual rooting of the practical relationship between the practice of international public relations and popular diplomacy, as the latter sought - as a legitimate extension of traditional diplomacy - to involve foreign residents in international public relations capable of drawing a positive image of the state among people of other countries, by employing modern communication technology. Especially social media, which led to a shift from old diplomacy to digital public diplomacy. The research paper seeks to analyze the communicative content of the Facebook page (Israel in the Iraqi dialect), which a page is belonging to the "Israeli" Ministry of Foreign Affairs that aims, according to its messages, to encoura
... Show MoreInternational satellite channels in Arabic are targeted to the region with their news bulletins and their innovative programs, attracting the interest of the Arab viewers in their news articles and programs with new ideas and methods as well as high technology in the production and synthesis of videos. Therefore, they work on framing the above, And the media policy that governs, so focused the problem of the study to try to answer the question of the President is how to frame the international satellite channels in Arabic to the phenomenon of terrorism? What are the aspects that are working to highlight and aspects that try to hide? The study adopted the survey methodology for the main news bulletins in the Russian channel today for the
... Show Moreءأرﻘﻟا ةﺎﯾﺣﺑ ًﺎﻘﯾﺛو ًﻻﺎﺻﺗا لﺻﺗﺗ. نﻣ ﮫﺑﺗﺎﮐﻟﻟ ﻲﺻﺧﺷﻟا ﻊﺑﺎطﻟا ﻲﻔﺣﺻﻟا دوﻣﻌﻟا لﻣﺣﯾ ا فﻟﺗﺧﻣﻟ ﮫﻟوﺎﻧﺗ لﻼﺧ وا ﮫﺋارا وا هرظﻧ ﺔﮭﺟو لﻣﺣﺗ ﻲﺗﻟا ﺔﯾﻣوﯾﻟا ثادﺣﻻاو ﺎﯾﺎﺿﻘﻟ ﺢﺿﻔﺑ موﻘﯾو ثادﺣﻻاو ﺔﯾﺑﻟﺳﻟا رھاوظﻟﻟ ىدﺻﺗﯾ وا، ءيرﺎﻘﻟا ﯽﻟا ﮫﺑرﺎﺟﺗ وا هرﺎﮐﻓا ءﺎطﺧﻻا دﺻرﯾ بﯾﻗرﺑ ﮫﺑﺷا وھو، ءيرﺟﻟا دﻘﻧﻟا نﻋ مﻧﯾ بوﻟﺳﺎﺑ ﺔﺋطﺎﺧﻟا تﺎﺳرﺎﻣﻣﻟا ﺎﮭﺣدﻣﯾو تﺎﯾﺑﺎﺟﯾﻻا ﯽﻟﻋ
... Show MoreHighlights the role of taxes in being a major source of funding sources internal economic and social development, and then, any decrease in tax revenue caused by tax evasion, for example, would weaken the government's ability to finance their investments and core financing private sector investment as a result of reduced ability to increase their reserves's cash banks, as well as the weakening of the effectiveness of tax evasion taxes as a tool to guide economic activity in the framework of service for development, and to achieve justice. And the statement of the reasons for and methods of evasion mandated to pay the tax due on them, whether legitimately or illegal with the statement of the proposed methods to tackle tax evasion and elim
... Show MoreIn spite of the foundation of Iraqi state in 1921 and the formation of the new features of
the modern state, however, the inherited costumes and traditions sustained in the conservative
society. But due to the development that inflicted to the Iraqi society and the development of
the staff in all fields and requirement conducting to female learning. After WW II and the
1950s, women get out of their houses to seek learning by approaching the doors.
What is positive about that phase was the formation of the College of Queen A'liya
which is regarded as a positive indicator. In any case the Iraqi family encouraged women to
be indulged in higher education. Calling the college Queen A'liya
لم تكن المخدرات وليدة هذا العصر فقد عرفها الانسان منذ القدم وحاربتها المجتمعات القديمة ثقافياً واجتماعياً ودينياً ، حيث تعتبر المخدرات اخطر كارثة عرفتها البشرية في تاريخها وبدأت تتطور لتصبح تجارة عالمية غير مشروعة ترعاها عصابات منظمةهدفها تدمير طاقات وقدرات وقيم الشباب آمال هذه الامة وكنزها الحقيقي وهذا يعني تفريغ المجتمع من العقول المبدعة فيه حتى يبقى مجتمعنا متخلفاً من السهل السيطرة عليه.
... Show MoreThis paper shed light on castles in Iraq through Othman reign to know their sorts , and studying planning concentrating on the nature of architecture , this is a serious trying to study and important side of military architecture in Iraq with its reasons of building them which had related with political, military , social ,and economical circumstances of country .
This research aims to present a range of views and beliefs about the climate that have prevailed spontaneously in the Iraqi society and, whether agricultural or Bedouin communities and even popular communities within cities.