Preferred Language
Articles
/
Pxc4s40BVTCNdQwCChkw
نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
...Show More Authors

تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Feb 02 2021
Journal Name
كلية القانون والعلوم السياسية
التنافس الامريكي الفرنسي في القارة الافريقية بعد عام 2000
...Show More Authors

تعدُّ القارة الإفريقية ذات موقع جيوسياسي إذ إنه يربط دول العالم بعضها ببعض، وأنّها تحتوي على ثلث الاحتياط النفطي المؤكد العالمي واليوريانيوم والمعادن الأخرى مما جعلها ذات أهمية للدول العظمى، وأنّها غير مستقرة سياسياً إذ تكثر بها النزعات والهجمات الإرهابية مما جعل الدول العظمى تتسابق لوقف المشاكل، ومن أهم هذه الدول العظمى هي فرنسا التي تحتفظ بنفوذها السبق أي الاستعماري في القارة وأنّها لا تتنازل عنه لأي دو

... Show More
Preview PDF
Publication Date
Thu Jan 23 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
تأثير التسويق الالكتروني في عناصر المزيج التسويقي للخدمة التأمينية
...Show More Authors

The emergence of e-marketing to make the world a small village does not comply with barriers, the place nor the time, which led to the transformation of marketing in various service sectors, regional and international general and the insurance sector, especially from traditional marketing to electronic marketing, bringing e-marketing of insurance services is the effective tool to achieve for growth, was able to jump to the overall marketing efforts to the contemporary trends in line with the current and its variables, and this significant acceleration in technological development has made insurance companies are racing to offer their insurance services on the latest applications of modern technology through multiple sites on the Internet

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sat Apr 01 2023
Journal Name
مجلة كلية بغداد للعلوم الاقتصادية الجامعة
دور استراتيجية الانتاج الانظف في حماية البيئة وتخفيض التكاليف
...Show More Authors

ان حماية البيئة وتخفيض التكاليف من األهداف التي تسعى الوحدات االقتصادية الى تحقيقها لكي تتماشى مع التوجه العالمي لحماية الموارد الطبيعية وإنتاج منتجات صديقة للبيئة وفي الوقت نفسه التخلص من االلتزامات التي تتحملها الوحدات االقتصادية من تكاليف بيئية وغر امات مما يؤدي الى ارتفاع كلف االنتاج ، يهدف البحث الى دراسة المرتكزات المعرفية الستراتيجية اإلنتاج األنظف وتحديد التكاليف التي يمكن تخفيضها خالل مراحل اا

... Show More
Publication Date
Wed Jun 20 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
Directed by Treatment for single-place events in the cinematographic medium
...Show More Authors

The cinematographer mediates through the means of cinema and television a set of elements complementing each other in the light of developments in various sciences, culture and arts for the purpose of conveying the meaning to the recipient and achieve aesthetic taste. Despite the diversity of cinematographic media with its multiple forms, The researcher started from the principle of definition and knowledge of a technical phenomenon that emerged in the cinematographic medium through the treatment of dramatic events through the solutions of the exit line depends on the narrative of events in one place contributes to attract Mam spectator since this interesting phenomenon in the mediator, there .van question arises the adoption of that vis

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Jan 04 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Measuring the impact of internal governance mechanisms on the quality of financial reports
...Show More Authors

Abstract:

                The research aims to define the theoretical framework for corporate governance and its mechanisms and shed light on corporate governance in Iraq as well as the theoretical framework for the quality of financial reports and their relationship and the role of corporate governance in activating them. A commercial bank as a sample for the research, and a survey list was prepared to show the extent to which the research sample banks are committed to applying internal governance mechanisms. imposed on them by the local environment, which leads to improving the quality of financial reports for these banks.

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Feb 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Employ GIS technology GIS in the educational process – learning
...Show More Authors

Witnessing human societies with the turn of the century atheist twenty huge revolution in information , the result of scientific and technological developments rapidly in space science and communications , and that made the whole world is like a small village not linked by road as it was in ancient times, through the rapid transportation as was the case a few years ago , thanks to the remote sensing devices that roam in space observant everything on the ground , that the information networks that overflowed the world a tremendous amount of information provided for each inhabitants of the earth , which made this information requirement for human life and human survival and well-being , as it has allowed that information to humans opportun

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Feb 01 2017
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Strategic Command and its role in activating the Organisational performance analytical study of the views of the heads of academic departments at General Authority of groundwater.
...Show More Authors

Abstract

The research aims to identify the strategic leadership and its role in activating the Organisational Performance, which is an analytical study of the views of the heads of scientific departments at General Authority of groundwater researcher's quest focused towards building a theoretical framework suitable for strategic leadership and performance Organisational and itُs dimensions.To achieve the aims of the research is designed to identify the researcher included (35) items to collect the raw data from the research sample consisting of 33 of the heads of departments. Data was collected by questionnaire, field visits, interviews and some official documents to complete the search data. It has also been used a numb

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Sep 30 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Numerical Investigations on Heat Flow of Nanofluids in Ribs Tube Configurations
...Show More Authors

Abstract

In this paper presents two dimensional turbulent flow of different nanofluids and ribs configuration in a circular tube have been numerically investigation using FLUENT 6.3.26. Two samples of CuO and, ZnO nanoparticles with 2% v/v concentration and 40 nm as nanoparticle diameter combined with trapezoidalribs with aspect ratio of p/d=5.72 in a constant tube surface heat flux were conducted for simulation. The results showed that heat flow as Nusselt number for all cases raises with Reynolds number and volume fraction of nanofluid, likewise the results also reveal that ZnO with volume fractions of 2% in trapezoidal ribs offered highest Nusselt number at Reynolds number of Re= 30000.

Key

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref (1)
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Jun 20 2018
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Reduction in the design structure ofThe emblems ofIraqi sports clubs is amodel
...Show More Authors

   Singled current study on the subject of shorthand in structure designs logos (Iraqi sports clubs model), as the current study Tdmt four chapters, was in the first chapter defines the research problem and its significance, as well as the aim of the research in the know shorthand formal in structure designs logos (Iraqi sports clubs model ), and identifies Find time limits: - slogans Iraqi sports clubs for the years (1956 - 1970), because it represented the years to include designs slogans official Iraqi sports clubs that have been elected in this period for the purpose of examining the reality of the design in the current search. And it represented the spatial limits: - the Republic of Iraq - Iraqi slogans designs sports

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Jan 23 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The importance of achieving fair tax accounting in attracting foreign Investments
...Show More Authors

Targeted this study underlined the importance of the adoption of international accounting standards and their impact on the process of tax for settlements to achieve taxation justice the application on a sample of foreign banks investing in the local environment in order to achieve many of the objectives:

  1. Definition of the concept of justice for settlements taxation.
  2. To identify the impact of adopting international accounting standards in achieving the justice for settlements taxation.
  3. To determine the impact of the adoption of international accounting standards in attracting foreign investment.

They are summed up the problem of the study in the light of the nature of the problem and que

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref