تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.
This paper deals with one of important topics that serve the art movement music, which is looking at the stairs of Arab music in the process of reaching to the directory musical on the subject of so-called (Photo by stairs music) and that by comparing the method used previously and the proposed rules reached by the researcher and received the patent invention, the method is easier for the musician and the author in a directory of peace Arab music when used on grades and half grades voice, and to achieve its objectives researcher dealt with the problem that is determined by the multitude of stairs leading Arab and the difficulty of keeping its catalog of music, and for being an anchor and pillar of the music was taken up and put her impor
... Show MoreThe current research aims to know the method and strategy of rainstorming for students to open the door towards innovation and creativity in the field of teaching the subject of geography and the importance of brainstorming method and the studies that touched on it. The study also dealt with the steps of teaching the method of brainstorming and the most important (traditional and modern), and the difficulties of using the method of brainstorming in the teaching process, as well as explained the guidance to improve teaching using the method of brainstorming in the teaching p
... Show MoreObjective:To measure the acceptance level of the Personal Digital Assistance (PDA)’suse among nursing students as a tool of education in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Methodology: Eighty-nine nursing students participated in this cross-sectional descriptive study by completing a questionnaire based on the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) by Davis. Two dimensions were explored and evaluated; (1) the applicability of the TAM model in assessing this technology; and (2) the overall percentage of students’ agreement on the different TAM variables. Results: This study presented significant positive influence bet
The mihrab is an architectural element created by the Muslims for the necessities of which the direction of Qibla is set in the mosques, and the front stands in it during the prayer so as to provide a complete description of the Muslims inside the chapel. The mihrab has a third benefit in amplifying the voice during the time of prayer, Peace be upon him) and the Mosque of Damascus, the Mosque of Kairouan, and the Mosque of Amr Balfstat?.
ملخص البحث
العولمة ظاهرة اقتصادية سياسية اجتماعية لها انعكاساتها المختلفة على المجتمعات وعلى منظمات الأعمال في مختلف دول العالم، هذه الظاهرة أدت إلى المزيد من النتائج التي زادت منظمات الأعمال في الدول الغنية غناً وزادت منظمات الأعمال في دول العالم الثالث فقر، وقد ترتب على ذلك نتائج ايجابية لدى المجتمعات الغربية والمؤتلفة معها بسبب سيطرة منظمات الأعمال في تلك الدول على الأسواق في البلدان الن
... Show MoreObjective: is to determine the level of awareness concerning the reproductive health among adolescent girls in
Baghdad City.
Methodology: A cross sectional study was performed in order to assess the level of awareness regarding reproductive
health among 180 adolescent school girls in the age 12-18 years from five secondary schools in Al-Seder Sector in
Baghdad city, the data was collected by direct interview using constructed questionnaire to obtain socio-demographic
characteristics and level of awareness related to reproductive health. The study started from September 2012 to
January 2013.
Results: the results show that the highest percentage of girls (47.7%) was in age (17-18) year's age, (54.5%) at 4th class
se
The essential objective of this study presents a analyzes of the combination of reality and fantasy in three dramas of Spanish author Alejandro Casona. "Trees die standing" (premiered in Buenos Aires in 1949), “Prohibited suicide in spring” (premiered in Mexico in 1937) and "The boat without fisherman" (premiered in Buenos Aires in 1945).
The first part is an introduction about the biography of Spanish author Alejandro Casona that will allow us to understand some peculiarities of his work in relation to the social historical context of his time.
In the second part of this study we have analyzed elements of reality and fantasy in the th
... Show Moreالسياسة في الفلسفة الاسلامية : الفكر السياسي عند الفارابي
التجليات الاقتصادية والثقافية والاعلامية للعولمة في العالم الثالث
Perhaps it is of paramount importance for researchers to present grammatical topics with a uniqueness that distinguishes them from everything else that may overlap with them, and a specificity that distances them from much of what may be thought to be similar to them or similar to them. The subject pronoun is one of these topics that should be considered. Due to the uniqueness of this pronoun among the rest of the family of pronouns, with features and adverbs that deserve research and study, and then analysis and treatment; Because of its scientific value, it goes hand in hand with other pronouns. This topic would not have drawn my attention or received much of it had it not raised some fundamental questions, including, f
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