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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
المشكلات التي تواجه الطلبة المتفوقين دراسيا في المدرس الثانوية الاعتيادية
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تولي المجتمعات المتقدمة اجتماعياً واقتصاديا وثقافيا وعلميا اهتماما بارزا للعنصر البشري واستثماره على أفضل صورة ممكنة لتحقيق التقدم والرفاهية لتلك المجتمعات وللأفراد على حد سواء , وتحتل تنمية الثروة العقلية واستثمارها محل الصدارة حيث يبذل اهتمام خاص للكشف عن المواهب والكفاءات المبدعة وتنميتها وتوجيهها ورعايتها علميا وتربويا ومهنيا وذلك لان العنصر البشري يعد جزءا لا يتجزأ من الثروة القومية للأمة حيث

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 27 2026
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
THE PREVAILING SCIENTIFIC VALUES IN CHILDREN'S PROGRAMS PROVIDED BY MBC3
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The main problem of this research titled (the prevailing scientific values in children's programs provided by the channel (mbc3) is the disclosure of the scientific values that are included in the children's program in the mbc3 channel) which are directed to an important group of society, which is the category of children who spend long hours in front of TV screens to watch these programs, and therefore they acquire many values that can replace fixed values, such as social, moral, religious, etc., and the content analysis method has been used to analyze children's programs presented by mbc3 channel), and the research has reached a number of The results can be summarized b To come:

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Publication Date
Wed Mar 10 2021
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Morphological, Molecular and Pollen Grain Investigations of Salix Species in Egypt
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Genus Salix is among family Salicaceae, distributing in the northern hemisphere. It is represented in Egypt by two species (Salix mucronata and Salix tetrasperma). The classification of Salix at the generic and infra-generic levels is still outstanding. We have agreed to list the Egyptian species of this genus. We collected them during field trips to most Egyptian habitats; fresh and herbarium specimens were subjected to taxonomic revision based on morphological characters; scanning electron microscope (SEM) for pollen grains; isozyme analysis using esterase and peroxidase enzymes and genetic diversity using random amplified polymorphic DNA (RAPD). We recorded that both sexes of S.

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 01 2005
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Languages (jcl)
Difficulties Faced by Engineering Students in Reading and Comprehending English Texts
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Reading is an interactive process that goes on between the reader and the text, resulting in comprehension. The text presents letters, words, sentences, and paragraphs that encode meaning. The reader uses knowledge, skills, and strategies to determine what that meaning is. Reading comprehension is much more than decoding; it results when the reader knows which skills and strategies are appropriate for the type oftext, and understands how to apply them to accomplish the reading purpose.Reading comprehension is important because without it reading is nothing more than tracking symbols on a page with your eyes and sounding them out leaving the reader with no information. Instead of promoting traditional approaches, reading should be taught

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2008
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
مستويات التقويم والتصانيف التي تضمنتها في اسئلة امتحان مادة التاريخ
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      جاء التقويم  ليكون مكملا للعمليات التعليمية يساعد على الوقوف على نتائجها وسبل النهوض بها والوقوف على المعوقات التي تقف امام مسيرتها وقد عنيت عمليات التقويم باهتمام كبير من قبل القائمين على العمليات التعليمية اذ عقدت العديد من المؤتمرات والندوات واجريت العديد من الدراسات عالميا ومحليا من اجل الوقوف على هذه العملية المهمة الداعمة للتعليم والنهوض بمستويات المتعلمين ، ومن بي

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Publication Date
Sun Sep 27 2026
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
The contents of the opening article of electronic newspaper (Al-Nabaa): (Analytical study of duration 2015 for 2018)
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The study aimed to identify what (isis) (Daesh) have been touched in the opening article of Al-Nabaa newspaper

This objective is organized for asset of sub-targets it is the knowledge of media discourse and for those who are directed and methods of employing the strong content debt organization and we used the survay method to monitor and understand the content of opening anticale and the researcher took the numbers of the newspaper for years 2015-2018 consist of 157

The results of this study are :

 

*  Use religious texts from (Holly qoran) (Abbreission of the prophetic) Remove from its context and empby them in justifying in what use of vio

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Crossref
Publication Date
Wed Feb 08 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Activating the Role of Women Leaders in Educational Decision-Making in Educational Administrations in the Northern Border in Light of the Kingdom's 2030 Vision
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This study aims at identifying the activation of the role of feminine leaders in educational decision-making in educational administrations in the Northern Borders Province in light of the Kingdom's vision 2030. It also aims to identify what educational leadership is, to study the conceptual framework of the contemporary education decision-making process, and to examine the reality of the problems of feminine leaders in educational decision-making in the educational administrations in the Northern Borders. In addition, it tries to develop a proposed vision to activate the role of feminine leaders in educational decision-making in Educational Administrations in the Northern Borders Province in light of Vision 2030. To achieve the objectiv

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Publication Date
Sat Jan 09 2021
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
Obstacles to reforming the Security Council and new international changes
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The international system that established the United Nations after the end of the Second World War witnessed many changes. These changes overshadowed the nature of the work of the international organization, especially its first and most important executive organ (the Security Council). This has sometimes weakened and dulled the Security Council's role in performing the tasks stipulated in the Charter of the Organization, which has led the Organization itself to work on reforms within it in general and to seek reforms in the Security Council in particular. Academic and advisory efforts were made to submit proposals for amendment to be reflected on the Council's performance effectiveness.

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The effect of Investment in Human Capital on Economic Growth in Algeria A standard Study within the period of: 1970 – 2015
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The summary:

This research paper presents a standard economic study. This study aims to build an economic standard form of the investment effect in Human Capital on Economic Growth in Algeria. The study showed that there is an inverse relationship between the investment and human capital. This is expressed by expending on education and economic growth. This contradicts with the economic theory. Such matter could be explained by that expending on education does not contribute in the economic growth. This refers to that the education sector result does not employee or save jobs. Thus, it does not contribute in growth; in addition, the Algerian economy depends on petrol in the first class. This means the ab

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Publication Date
Sat Mar 26 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The impact of applying the CAMELS banking assessment model asa control tool On Iraqi private commercial banks for the period 2016 -2020
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The banking sector is currently facing great challenges resulting from intense competition in the financial environment, and this is what makes the supreme audit bodies and the Central Bank audit as the highest supervisory authority on banks in order to achieve profit and not be exposed to loss, and this requires identifying the banking strengths and risks that constitute points Weakness that affects the future performance and the life of the bank, which requires special supervisory care, and from this point of view, the research aims to use the CAMELS model as a control tool in banks, through the use of its six indicators: capital adequacy, asset quality, management quality, profits, liquidity And sensitivity to market risks, th

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