Preferred Language
Articles
/
Pxc4s40BVTCNdQwCChkw
نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
...Show More Authors

تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

Preview PDF
Quick Preview PDF
Publication Date
Tue Sep 08 2020
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Prevalence and Characterization of Some Colibactin Genes in Clinical Enterobacteriaceae isolates from Iraqi Patients
...Show More Authors

The members of the family of Eentrobacteriaceae harbour a gene cluster called polyketide synthase (pks) island. This cluster is responsible for the synthesis of the genotoxin colibactin that might have an important role in the induction of double-strand DNA breaks, leading to promote human colorectal cancer (CRC). Eleven out of the eighty eight isolates (12.5%) were pks+, distributed as 7 (8%) isolates of E. coli, 2 (2.25%) of K. pneumoniae and 2 (2.25%) of E. aerogenes. The cytotoxic effects of selected pks+ isolates (E. coli and E. aerogenes) on HeLa cells were represented by decreasing cell numbers and enlarged cell nuclei in comparison to the untreated cells. Cyt

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Scopus (4)
Crossref (2)
Scopus Clarivate Crossref
Publication Date
Sat Jul 01 2023
Journal Name
مجلة دراسات محاسبية ومالية
تكنولوجيا التحول الرقمي في الخدمة التأمينية في شركة التامين الوطنية وشركة التأمين العراقية العامة / بحث تطبيقي
...Show More Authors

هدف هذا البحث الى التعرف على أثر فاعلية تكنولوجيا التحول الرقمي في تحسين كفاءة الخدمة التأمينية في شركات التأمين العامة في العراق من خالل تكنولوجيا التحول الرقمي في العملية التأمينية "الترويج لمنتج التأمين,تقديم طلب التأمين,االكتتاب ,تسوية الخسائر" ولتحقيق هذا الهدف تم تصميم استمارة استقصاء وزعت في المجتمع المبحوث والتي تمثل متخذي القرار في الشركات المبحوثة قيد البحث وكان من اهم نتائج البحث وجود عالقة بين ا

... Show More
Publication Date
Sun Feb 28 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The role of corporate merger in achieving synergy (Analytical research in a sample of companies of the Iraqi Ministry of Industry and Minerals)
...Show More Authors

The research aims to shed light on the recent experience in the Iraqi business environment, which is the experience of the merger. To evaluate a recent experience in an important sector of the Iraqi business sectors, namely the industrial sector to enable decision-makers to review that experience to judge the extent of its success and address some of the lapses that experience that by measuring synergies can be judged on the success of the merger experience or not. The research community is the governmental industrial sector. The research sample included six cases of merger (14) companies before the merger. The Holt method was used to predict the net sales and total cost values ​​before the merger as if it were not merged. Th

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Nov 29 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
اثر أثر مقامات بديع الزمان الهمذاني في تقنيات السرد الأدبي ( صورة بغداد الفنية في مقامات الهمذاني )
...Show More Authors

    There is nothing new in saying that Baghdad is the capital of world culture for eight centuries during the Islamic caliphate, it was the Arab book manuscript and copied books worldwide touring most of the capitals of the world

View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Wed Aug 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Zankoy Sulaimani - Part A
A Comparison Study on the Formation of Administrative and Leadership Policies for the Team and Individual Olympic Games in the Iraqi National Olympic Committee
...Show More Authors

The planning for the formation of administrative policies and guidance through leadership are important things for managing administrative processes and sporting activities. As both contribute in the stability of the administrative conditions, and their development in the sport federations, whether they both were attentive about team and individual Olympic Games. The two researchers observe that, there is a variation in the correct way of application. Particularly in the formulation of administrative policies and leadership describing it as, modern management standards for both team and individual Olympic Games in the Iraqi National Olympic Committee. That led to cause a misconception and lack of clarity for some administrators of those uni

... Show More
Preview PDF
Publication Date
Fri Jun 27 2025
Journal Name
Journal Of Baghdad College Of Economic Sciences University
تأثير إستراتيجيات ادارة اللاتأكد في إستراتيجيات التغيير المنظمي دراسة مقارنة في شركتي زين واسيا سيل للاتصالات
...Show More Authors

The research aims to diagnose the level of reflection of uncertainty management strategies (Ignoring uncertainty, knowledge generation , interaction , coping) managing of Organizational change strategies (power coercive, rational empirical, Normative reductive) to the importance of the two subjects and the importance of the expected results has been selected sample size (65) managers from Zain , Asia Cell Telecommunication (32 Zain and 33 company Asia),which alignment for the such a study being heavily dependent on the certainty or uncertainty subject . The researchers are attain there is the effect of uncertainty management strategies in Organizational change management strategies on the overall level in the two companies but have tended t

... Show More
View Publication
Publication Date
Mon Nov 12 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
جهود جهود المرأة في الحديث النبوي الشريف في كتاب الإصابة لابن حجر العسقلاني ( ت: 852هـ / 1445م)
...Show More Authors

إمتاز ابن حجر بعلميته ، وغزارة عطائه في وضع كتب قيمة وتصانيف موسوعية  فكانت كتبه  هذه يشار لها  بالبنان .

اعتنى الكثير من  العلماء فاحتلت المرأة  مكانة متميزة  في كتبهم وخصصوا  لمعطياتها أجزاء واضحة ضمن مؤلفاتهم  ويعد أبن حجر أحد  هؤلاء العلماء الافذاذ الذين اعتنوا  بالمرأة  ، وهذا يعني انه أفرد لها جزءاً خاصاً بها سماه ( كتاب النساء) وهو يقع ضمن الجزء الرابع  من كتابه ، على الر

... Show More
View Publication
Publication Date
Wed Dec 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
The communicative education of fine arts in the COVID-19 crisis and its manifestations in the modernization of the works of the Iraqi painter "Nabil Ali as a model"
...Show More Authors

 This study attempts to address the importance of communicative digitization in the field of various arts for the sake of continuity of shopping and aesthetic, artistic and intellectual appreciation of artistic achievements by the recipient on various places of their residence in light of the COVID 19 crisis, and to highlight the importance of the plastic arts of the Iraqi painter exclusively and how it expresses in a contemporary way the environment or life reality in Iraq in light of this crisis. With all its implications affecting the life reality from various aspects and methods of its negative and positive employment. As for the research procedures, the researcher reviewed the research methodology represented by the descriptive ana

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Crossref
Publication Date
Thu Mar 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Commitment of Public Companies in disclosure requirement of Financial Statement: Analysis Study in State Company for Leather Industries (SCLI)
...Show More Authors

It has been an increase concern of scientific and professional accounting sides on disclosure especially after appearance of business firms and accounting development with its relationship to financial statements which are considered to be outputs of the activity results.  The preparing of financial statements and auditing of those accounts according to normal principles and standards of accounting on both local and international levels. Accounting disclosure can be seen an importance through discover all fundamental and necessary information for proper supply. Therefore, the research will highlight on public companies commitment in Iraq for basis and standards which have taken disclosure in financial data. The conceptual frame of t

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF
Publication Date
Sun Feb 10 2019
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Assessment of Pregnant Women Knowledge toward Urinary Tract Infection in Primary Health Care Centers at Kirkuk City
...Show More Authors

Abstract
Objective: To assess pregnant women Knowledge toward Urinary Tract Infection at Kirkuk City.


Methodology: A descriptive and analytical study was conducted from 1st of November 2013 and up to the 19 th of August 2014 in five typical primary health care centers at Kirkuk City. A Probability (randomly sample) was used to select the sample of 180 women aged (15-44) years. A questionnaire format was used as a tool for data collection , content validity of the questionnaire achieved through reviewing it by (24) experts in numerous scientific fields and reliability of the questionnaire was determined through a pilot study. Descriptive and inferential statistics were used to analyze the data.

 

Resul

... Show More
View Publication Preview PDF