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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Sat Mar 30 2019
Journal Name
حولیات أداب عین شمس
أثر أنموذج فراير في اکتساب المفاهيم البلاغية عند طالبات الصف الخامس الادبي في مادة البلاغة
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رمي البحث الحالي الى تعّرق أثر أنموذج فراير في اکتساب المفاهيم البلاغية عند طالبات الصف الخامس الادبي في مادة البلاغة. ووضع الباحثون الفرضية الصفرية الآتية: "ليس هناک فرق ذو دلالة احصائية عند مستوى (0.05) بين متوسط ودرجات طالبات المجموعة التجريبية اللواتي يدرسن مادة البلاغة بانموذج فراير، ومتوسط درجات طالبات المجموعة الضابطة اللواتي يدرسن المادة نفسها بالطريقة التقليدية (القياسية) في الاختيار البعدي لا کتسا

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 19 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Federal Board of Supreme Audit and Role in the Assessment of Tax Performance: An Applied Research in The General Commission of Taxes
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The success of any institution must be based on means to protect its resources and assets from the waste, loss, misuse and the availability of accurate and reliable data by accounting reports to increase its operational efficiency, namely, that the internal control system is considered as a safety valve for top management in any economic unit. The problem is represented by the need for an efficient system, so to ensure its success, there must exist external parties which monitor and evaluate the performance because of its importance by following clear criteria. So, the research problem came to address performance evaluation indicators which are set by the Federal Board of Supreme Audit (FBSA) and identify the extent of its contribution t

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Publication Date
Mon Jul 01 2024
Journal Name
مجلة كامبريدج للعلوم للبحوث العلمية
الحقوق المدنية والسياسية للمرأة في الدول العربية دراسة في دور المرأة العراقية بعد عام 2005
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ﺣﻘﻮق اﻻﻧﺴﺎن ﺣﻘﻮق ﻣﺮﺗﺒﻄﺔ ﺑﺤﺮﯾﺔ وﻛﺮاﻣﺔ اﻻﻧﺴﺎن واﻟﺘﻲ ﺗﻀﻤﻨﮭﺎ اﻟﺴﻠﻄﺎت اﻟﻌﺎﻣﺔ وﺟﺎءت اﻟﻤﻮاﺛﯿﻖ اﻟﺪوﻟﯿﺔ واﻻﻗﻠﯿﻤﯿﺔ واﻟﺪﺳﺎﺗﯿﺮ ﻟﻠﺘﺄﻛﯿﺪ ﻋﻠﻰ اھﻤﯿﺔ ھﺬا اﻟﻤﻮﺿﻮع وﺑﻘﺪر ﺗﻌﻠﻖ اﻟﻤﻮﺿﻮع ﻓﻲ اﻟﻤﺮأة اﻟﻌﺮﺑﯿﺔ ﻋﺎﻣﺔ اﻟﻌﺮاﻗﯿﺔ ﺑﺸﻜﻞ ﺧﺎص، ان ﺣﻘﻮﻗﮭﺎ ﺗﺸﮭﺪ ﺗﻘﺪﻣﺎً ﻣﻠﺤﻮﻇﺎً ﻓﻲ اﻟﺴﻨﻮات اﻻﺧﯿﺮة ﻧﺘﯿﺠﺔ ﺛﻮرات اﻟﻮﻋﻲ اﻟﺤﺎﺻﻠﺔ ﻓﻲ اﻟﻮﻃﻦ اﻟﻌﺮﺑﻲ، اذ ﺷ

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Publication Date
Fri Nov 09 2018
Journal Name
Iraqi National Journal Of Nursing Specialties
Assessment of Nurses’ Knowledge Regarding Oxytocin Administration during Labor at Maternity Hospitals in Al-Kut City
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Objectives of the study: To assess nurses knowledge regarding oxytocin administration during labor and
delivery in maternity hospitals, and to find out the relationship between nurses knowledge and studied
variables (age, level of education, work times (shift) experience year, training course in nursing field).
Methodology: Descriptive analytic study was conducted on non-probability sample (convenient) of (70) nurses
to assess nurse’s knowledge related to oxytocin administration. The study is conducted at Al- kut Hospital for
Gynecology Obstetrics and Pediatrics and Al- Zahraa Teaching Hospital during periods 5th February to 24th
April 2013, A questionnaire was used as a tool of data collection to fulfill with objecti

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 02 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Suspicion in the truth that the satisfaction of the student in the criticism of the speech of the poet and the writer to I bin Al-Atheer
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Suspicion in the truth that the satisfaction of the student in the criticism of the speech of the poet and the writer to I bin Al-Atheer

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Publication Date
Sun Dec 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Strategic dimension for theory of constraints and its impact in decision making: بحث تطبيقي في الشركة العامة للصناعات الجلدية
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The research illustrated that the theory of constraints is   "A group of concepts and basics that aim at helping the management in order to determine the difficulties and how to overcome these difficulties through determining the necessary change and how these change can be done efficiently and effectively ".

       The research showed that the theory of constraint including its tools calls for magnifying throughput, constricting the product cycle , determining  the optimal production mix , utilization of scare resources and canceling the idle time , that achieving  throughput  increasing  then  increasing  profit .

      Moreov

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 11 2023
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Motivations of Volunteers in Jordan: An Exploratory Study Based on a Sample of University Students within the Context of their Social Relations
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Volunteerism is an element included in many human cultures. It represents a positive cooperative act between individuals and groups. It expresses the social value systems. As a social phenomenon, it develops in societies according to innumerous circumstances and conditions. This study uses a functional approach that assumes that volunteering performs six functions for volunteers. Namely, we assume that volunteering (1) creates a sense of protection (2) meets significant cultural values (3) improves professional status of volunteers, (4) strengthens their social relationships, (5) helps them achieve a better understanding of life, and finally, (6) enhances their outlook and self-esteem. The central aim of the study is to discuss these fun

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 12 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الزراعة ا لزراعة في بلاد الشام في القرن الثامن الهجري من خلال رحلة ابن بطوطة
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Greatest travelers Muslims and Ousahm fame, called sheikh Rahalin to frequent roam in outlook, he spent twenty-eight years of his life in travel-related trips and successive, is Ibn Battuta, who wander in, as it was of adventurers who pushed curiosity to ride a lot of difficulties.

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Publication Date
Sun Mar 01 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Developing Workers’ Performance and Its Role in Settling Financial Claim: An applied research in the General Iraqi Insurance Company
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This research seeks to identify the dimensions of the development of staff performance (training ', incentives, management skills) and its impact on the settlement of compensatory claims adopted in the current research in the Iraqi insurance company،This research aims to highlight the role of developing insurance company’s workers’ performance in settling insurance compensation, and to check this process, the research was applied in the general Iraqi insurance company as it considered as the research community, and a sample was taken from this community that represented by company’s insurance department workers or by collecting actual data that is related to the research’s sample, in addition to the financial compensation data.<

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Publication Date
Tue Dec 31 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The Role of personality characteristics of Leader in Business organizations entrepreneurship with strategic flexibility mediated (A Field Research)
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    The personality characteristics of the Leader are considered one of the main elements to reach into business organizations entrepreneurship; and because of the development of the organizations of the continuous transformations as result of huge Competition in private High Education sector, there is a great need for Leaders characterized of certain personality capable of managing their organizations and can positively effect on them. Also these organizations' success to reach into entrepreneurship requires a main significant element that is (strategic flexibility) which is considered one of the important elements for success.

    Accordingly, this research is trying to fin

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