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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 14 2017
Journal Name
Iraqi Journal Of Market Research And Consumer Protection
ATTITUDE OF OFFICIALS IN THE INDUSTRIAL COMPANY TOWARDS THE PRACTICE OF REVERSE/ AN APPLIED STUDY IN BAGHDAD COMPANY FOR SOFT DRINKS.: ATTITUDE OF OFFICIALS IN THE INDUSTRIAL COMPANY TOWARDS THE PRACTICE OF REVERSE/ AN APPLIED STUDY IN BAGHDAD COMPANY FOR SOFT DRINKS.
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This paper deals with the subject of demarcating as appropriate scientific techniques to rationalize consumption and to control segments of the society for the technical conduct of its handling of the product depending on the mix of elements (product and the volume of demand, Price, promotion and distribution), but inverse manner designed to adjust the working condition of balance between supply and demand and to ensure that rates continue in the marketing process properly, and therefore the research aims to shed light on some of the practices that reflect the Demarketing techniques, As well as the statement of the reality of attitudes towards the practice of those techniques through a sample survey of officials in Baghdad company for so

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Publication Date
Sat Mar 30 2019
Journal Name
حولیات أداب عین شمس
أثر أنموذج فراير في اکتساب المفاهيم البلاغية عند طالبات الصف الخامس الادبي في مادة البلاغة
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رمي البحث الحالي الى تعّرق أثر أنموذج فراير في اکتساب المفاهيم البلاغية عند طالبات الصف الخامس الادبي في مادة البلاغة. ووضع الباحثون الفرضية الصفرية الآتية: "ليس هناک فرق ذو دلالة احصائية عند مستوى (0.05) بين متوسط ودرجات طالبات المجموعة التجريبية اللواتي يدرسن مادة البلاغة بانموذج فراير، ومتوسط درجات طالبات المجموعة الضابطة اللواتي يدرسن المادة نفسها بالطريقة التقليدية (القياسية) في الاختيار البعدي لا کتسا

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Publication Date
Wed Apr 06 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The Role Talents Management in Consolidating Organizational Learning Process: An Applied Study at the Yemeni General Telecommunications Corporation
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This study aimed at accounting for the role of talents management in consolidating organizational learning process at the Yemeni General Corporation For telecommunication. To achieve the objective of the study, the researcher designed a questionnaire and administered it. The sample of the study consisted of (166) employees (General Manager, Manager and Department Head). They were selected randomly out of a total Population of (291) employees during the Year 2019. The descriptive analytic approach was used t reach conclusions.

The finding of the study revealed existence of effect of talents management dimensions, all together and alone, (talents polarization, talents development, talents maintenance and ma

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 16 2014
Journal Name
مجلة كلية التربية للبنات
The Impact of Polia Strategy in the Achievement and Retention of the Grammar of the Arabic Language
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Publication Date
Tue Sep 27 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
CREATIVITY IN THE TELEVISION ADVERTISING MESSAGE AND ITS EFFECTIVENESS IN ATTRACTING THE ATTENTION OF THE RECIPIENT: (A research drawn from a Degree thesis)
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Declaration has become today has an important and active and influential role in the recipient public life، and are concentrated advertising on the creativity component manufacture to attract his attention toward what to be announced from a variety products، and is dominated by television commercials tempo and imagination، and display them a variety of ways catches the attention and an impressive simulates the their senses of hearing and sight، to influence in the receiver and the public paid for purchase.

Through it crystallization the subject of our research on the importance of creativity in television advertising and effective for attracting the attention of the publi

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Publication Date
Thu Jan 04 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The effect of intellectual capital on sustainable competitive performance: field research in a sample of private colleges
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Abstract:

                  This research seeks to test the influence of intellectual capital as an explanatory variable and its components (human capital, structural capital, relational capital) and sustainable competitive performance as a responsive variable and its components (reducing service delivery cycle time, rapid response to market demand, increasing customer satisfaction, providing better Quality of service, increasing market share)” through a field study, and here the research problem was diagnosed in an attempt to answer the following question: Is there awareness among the senior management within the private colle

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Publication Date
Mon Jan 01 2024
Journal Name
مجلة الدراسات المستدامة
اهمية اخلاقيات البحث العلمي في مؤسسات التعليم العالي - الامانة العلمية في منهج البحث السياسي انموذجا
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اهمية اخلاقيات البحث العلمي في مؤسسات التعليم العالي - الامانة العلمية في منهج البحث السياسي انموذجا

Publication Date
Thu Jan 04 2024
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The role of organizational trust dimension in customer relationship management: Applied research in the general ethnic insurance company
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Abstract:

               The aim of the research is to verify the role of organizational trust as an “administrative” dimension of objective importance in the relationships adopted by the Iraqi General Insurance Company with customers, as it is one of the basic pillars in building and succeeding companies, which allows the provision of services with high confidence through the customer relationship management system in order to achieve The company's goal is to gain new customers, retain current customers, increase work in insurance companies, and develop the national economy by increasing the company's sales and profitability. The research

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 01 2018
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
Evaluation of internal control System in non-governmental organizations: Applied Research in the Iraqi National Olympic Committee
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After 2003 Iraq witnessed a rapid development in the number and kind of non-governmental organizations in addition to the increase in their sources.A lot of obstacles and constraints hinder the development of the said organizations and one of the most important and prominent obstacles is their administrative and accounting structure that affect directly on the existence, continuity and survival of these organizations.This research discussed the concept the non-governmental organizations and reaching the assessment of internal control System in these organizations. Therefore, the researcher has assessed the internal control System applied National Olympic Committee of Iraq. The study showed vulnerabilities in the internal control the said

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Impact of the Constructive Scientific Stations Strategy on Achievement and Mind Habits for The Fourth Scientific students in biology
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The study aimed at ideutifying the impact of scieutific skills in strategy and liabits of mind amony stueuts in tenth grade . The study demanded to choose a sampie that coutaiun (42) student of the fourth grade of the secondary school who were dirided into tow groups , the first is experimental studied according to scieutific skill strategy , and the other controlling , studied according to the  usualway . An achievement test  has been taken that adopted  staudard for mind skills as research tools that are applid after ascertaining  sincerity proved at the end of the experiment .The study has reached to the conclusion that there are statistically significant differnces in farour of the experiment group in both

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