تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.
research aims: 1- Demonstrating an aspect of the rhetorical miracle of the Qur’an represented in the accuracy of its verses and the consistency of its topics. 2- Clarifying the intent of Surat Al-Ghashiya, and clarifying the link between the topics of the surah and its purpose. 3- Studying the topics included in Surat Al-Gashiya, and highlighting their consistency among them. 4- Referring to the gifts contained in the noble verses.Research Methodology: In preparing this study, I followed the inductive-analytical approach, according to the procedures outlined in the introduction.From the search results: 1- The purpose of Surat Al-Gashiya: Reminding the Hereafter and its scenes of reward
... Show MoreThere is a natural problem raised by the issue of media performance. As a separate activity and express its own capabilities. This problem can be framed in the form of a question: Is media performance merely a reflection of the activity of other sectors of society, especially political and economic, and what links them to other societal sectors of interrelated relations? Is the media limited to mere transfer, or is it an industry with its own mechanisms and rules? The answer may seem somewhat complicated if we handle media with research and study in general, but the issue may be less complicated when it comes to Arab media, because its data may add another setback to the overall Arab setbacks.
Forbidden Suckling Decision in Islamic jurisprudence
The expressive speech in the art of acting is considered to be the leading action for thinking and the interior interaction of the individual, in the organization of his relationship with the elements of the environment and its content, and the more acquired the individual's performance today skills in organizing and export of his conflicts and natural occasions , whenever , becomes more adaptable and an interpreted physically and acoustically inside pluralities in personalities, suited to the modern age. This research has addressed a range of topics related to expressive speech in the art of acting, since the first chapter included a systematic framework of the research, represented by the problem , the importance and aims of research t
... Show Moreدور المتعين الرمزي في الثقافات
خصوصية التراضي في عقود الاستهلاك
The research sheds light on an important religious sect that played a fundamental role in the structure of the Iraqi society in general and the Baghdadi society in particular, in which the Jews in general and the Jewish women in particular played an active role in the culture and heritage of Baghdadi society. The educational, cultural and artistic activity of Jewish literacy is a model for study.
Research title: Ruling on abortion in Sharia and law.
The importance of research: Projection is of great importance because it touches the life of a living being who enjoys human qualities. However, this organism often wastes its rights and does not protect its human beings. These souls are lost in millions by the sake of casual desire or hidden desire.
The research plan: The research dealt with an introductory topic, four topics, and in each topic there are demands, branches, and a conclusion.
The most important findings of the study: The ruling on aborting the fetus in the Sharia is only permissible (and the necessity is valued at its va
... Show MoreThe research shows that the visual image plays an important role when Farzdaq in the issue of aesthetic perception, it enables him to feel a sense of artistic and mental perception to raise astonishment and admiration through his ability to link the optics through the suggestive image to carry us to a new vision imagined full of visual images.