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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 06 2021
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
antonyms in Quranic readings
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This research aims to investigate the impacts of Quranic readings on the meanings of antonyms in the Quran, with considering the practical aspects that clarify them. The importance of this topic lies in clarifying the importance of the science of Qiraʼat, its great value and its high status. Moreover, this research sheds light on the relationship between Quranic readings and the antonyms words, following the descriptive approach in the study. The research has found several findings, the most prominent of which was: antonyms are linguistic phenomena that are proven to occur in Quranic readings, so each reading deliver a meaning that is opposite to the meaning learned from the other reading.In addition, Quranic readings are considered as

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Noun markers in Arabic
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This study aims to show the markers of the Arabic noun(genitive, nun nation articles,
vocative, definite article and predication). These markers distinguish the noun from other
parts of sentence. It alsoaims at showing why these markers are peculiar to nouns.

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Publication Date
Wed May 05 2021
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
منهج الجاحظ في كتاب الحيوان
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Al-Jahiz is considered one of the scholars who had a great participation
in building the Arab scientific heritage, through his scientific
contributions that

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Publication Date
Tue Jan 01 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Basic Education
الجودة الشاملة في التعليم العالي
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Publication Date
Sun Mar 01 2020
Journal Name
مجلة الاداب، جامعة بغداد
مفارقة ُ الذائعِ في التقديم والتأخير
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مارسَ التراث بغير قصد دوراً تحكّمياً في العلل البلاغية ، إذ أمكث في كل موضوع علّة ً في عليائها بـها يقارع وبفضلها يداول ، ممـا كفل ديمومتها وتوجّـه الخاطر إليها، ومـن تلك العلل ( العناية بالمتقدّم لأنـــه الأهمّ ) الماثلة في موضوع( التقديم والتأخير) ، فقد تركت هذه العلّة لقوّة ركائزها بصمتها بنجاح لتكون مدخلاً إلى علل أخرى في إطار مفاهيمي مستوفٍ حقائق موضوعية وهواتف نفسية يغذيها الواقع، ولكن بمتابعة نصـوص قرآ

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 03 2020
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The problem of political change in Algeria
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The article aims to study the crisis of political change  from three Phases . The first focuses on the crises of political legitimacy and democratic postponement, as fundamental issues in analyzing the phenomenon of power struggle through the dialectic between the concept of historical legitimacy and institutional fragility from the beginning of statehood in 1962 to the stage of multi-partyism and the cessation of the electoral process in the 1990s. While the second focuses on the question of the monopoly of power in the post-terrorism and national reconciliation according to considerations  Political, social and security measures to prolong the life of the regime and avoid the demands of political change brought about

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 28 2023
Journal Name
Baghdad Science Journal
Kinetic Study of Polymerization Isopropylacrylamide in Aqueous Solution
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An experimental of kinetics investigation of the solution free radical polymerization of isopropylacrylamide (IPAM) initiated with potassium persulfate (PPS) was conducted. The reactions were carried out at constant temperature of 60 °C in distilled water under unstirred and inert conditions. Using the well-known conversion vs. time technique, the effects of initiator and monomer concentration on the rate of polymerization (Rp) were investigated over a wide range. Under the conditions of our work, the orders 0.38 and 1.68 were found with respect to initiator and monomer, respectively. However, the rate of polymerization (Rp) is not straight forwardly corresponding monomer concentration. The value 46.11 kJ mol1 was determined as the o

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 30 2019
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Talk show in prophetic stories
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This research deals with dialogic submission as one of the most important deliberative topics in the process of linguistic communication between the two sides of the discourse, and therefore we find in this research its concept among the ancient Arabs of grammarians, rhetoric and fundamentalists, and we started with Western linguists as a result of their knowledge of the philosophy of language, and this research was satisfied with the principle of cooperation that came By Grace as the founder of this modern deliberative topic with an attempt to monitor this principle in the prophetic stories and the susceptibility of the stories to this kind of implicit communication, as the prophetic stories included multiple deliberative dimensions of

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Publication Date
Wed Oct 06 2021
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Linguistic deposits in the Arabic language
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Abstract of the research:

     This research sheds light on an important phenomenon in our Arabic language, which is linguistic sediments, and by which we mean a group of vocabulary that falls out of use and that native speakers no longer use it, and at the same time it happens that few individuals preserve the phenomenon and use it in their lives, and it is one of the most important phenomena that  It should be undertaken and studied by researchers;  Because it is at the heart of our huge linguistic heritage, as colloquial Arabic dialects retain a lot of linguistic sediments, and we usually find them at all levels of language: phonetic, banking, grammatical and semantic.  In the

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Publication Date
Sun Nov 04 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الالعاب الألعاب في التراث البغدادي
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In conclusion, I should mention that a lot of Alabaltrathih disappeared and no longer practiced in the present invention of alternatives to it like a game Almsra practiced by children for many generations by Almsra wooden, replaced Almsra-mail, or game Aledo.

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