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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Wed Jun 03 2020
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
The problem of political change in Algeria
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The article aims to study the crisis of political change  from three Phases . The first focuses on the crises of political legitimacy and democratic postponement, as fundamental issues in analyzing the phenomenon of power struggle through the dialectic between the concept of historical legitimacy and institutional fragility from the beginning of statehood in 1962 to the stage of multi-partyism and the cessation of the electoral process in the 1990s. While the second focuses on the question of the monopoly of power in the post-terrorism and national reconciliation according to considerations  Political, social and security measures to prolong the life of the regime and avoid the demands of political change brought about

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Publication Date
Thu Jun 30 2022
Journal Name
مجلة القادسية للقانون والعلوم السياسية
الصفة التنظيمية في العلاقات التعاقدية
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يتناول البحث الاجابة عن سؤال هل ان العقد بقي ذو صفة ارادية ام تحول الى الصفة التنظيمية نتيجة تدخل المشرع في العديد من جزئياته

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Publication Date
Sat Feb 09 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Noun markers in Arabic
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This study aims to show the markers of the Arabic noun(genitive, nun nation articles,
vocative, definite article and predication). These markers distinguish the noun from other
parts of sentence. It alsoaims at showing why these markers are peculiar to nouns.

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Publication Date
Sat Oct 01 2022
Journal Name
Al–bahith Al–a'alami
Approaches in media, role and mobilization
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There is a natural problem raised by the issue of media performance. As a separate activity and express its own capabilities. This problem can be framed in the form of a question: Is media performance merely a reflection of the activity of other sectors of society, especially political and economic, and what links them to other societal sectors of interrelated relations? Is the media limited to mere transfer, or is it an industry with its own mechanisms and rules? The answer may seem somewhat complicated if we handle media with research and study in general, but the issue may be less complicated when it comes to Arab media, because its data may add another setback to the overall Arab setbacks.

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 01 2007
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
دور المتعين الرمزي في الثقافات
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دور المتعين الرمزي في الثقافات

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 01 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Education laws in Jursi produce Science
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The Education laws in Jursi produce Science

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 15 2021
Journal Name
Al-academy
Shorthand and Implicit in Graphic Design
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 Reduction represents a form of artistic abstraction to express things with formal symbols that suggest the content of the idea, as the beauty of the design artwork cannot be unique in the form only, but in revealing its meaning as well. He resorts to shorthand to express the content of his idea related to design necessities and needs to achieve a specific function whose role is crystallized through the form that follows the function. The importance of the research was also represented in: Benefiting workers and scholars in the field of design with regard to shorthand and implicit in graphic design. The aim of the research: to identify the relationship between implicit meaning and reduced forms in graphic design. And the aesthetic of fo

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 04 2023
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Regulations of changes in Sharia policy
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Regulations of changes in Sharia policy

Variables include jurisprudential rulings that may be subject to change, alteration and interpretation, depending on the mujtahid’s view of the ruling, or changing it and switching to another view, and the variables are the crucial issues that befell the nation of Islam. It was not neglected by Islamic legislation, but rather the setting of controls that took into account in every incident the norms, interests and purposes.

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Publication Date
Wed Feb 01 2006
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
تحديدات مفاهيمية في التحليل السياسي
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تحديدات مفاهيمية في التحليل السياسي

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The Philosophy of time in contemporary arts
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Fine art represents part of society's culture. The development of art was accompanied by the penetration of new worlds known as the fourth dimension. After art entered the boundaries of geometry and reduction; He began to break into the absurd, and the form and philosophy of art changed, moving from modernity to what came after it to contemporary. Transforming from a formal form into a symbolic form with philosophical implications linked to the light, audio and kinetic effects as they embody time, the concept became the master of the idea. The research aims to identify the concept of time and its types, then the philosophical concept of time and its reflection on contemporary art, through the analytical study of a selection of contempora

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