تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.
The principle in the language is that each word has one meaning. This is because the purpose of language development is for understanding, understanding, and communication between people. The language is sounds with which each people expresses their Arabic language did not stop at this point, but rather needed another next stage or to convey additional features or characteristics that would qualify it. To be the language of the Qur’an and revelation, and capable of carrying this heavy burden.
حقوق الانسان في الدستور الامريكي
إن موضوع العلاقات الحضارية بين المغرب و وادي الرافدين في عصر فجر التاريخ من المواضيع التي تعنى بإنتقال التأثيرات الحضارية العراقية إلى دول المغرب العربي عامة والمغرب خاصة . فقد إسترعى إنتباهي وجود إشارات مقتضبة أحيانا ومفصلة أحيانا أخرى عن تأثيرات في بعض الصناعات الفخارية والمعدنية والعمارة الدينية والدنيوية بين بلدان شرق البحر المتوسط والمغرب في
With the massive presence of the critical approaches &, artistical School, movements, methods, Concepts, & theories, which came to take its chance from arts in general view & the plastic arts in special view. The Searches of fine arts & what this methods present from excitement become the point for many questions, & go to the purposes to be useful. For the artistic Work to come out in aesthetic image, especially on the subject of reading& reception, & entering it into layout of multiple relationships, for the artistic Work to be more simulation of the appearances of the things & interpreted it in Accor.
Dance to aesthetic that Limited by the new method. With those Innovative Visions, & Composite Sy
Modern digital technologies have affected the means of communication in terms of structure, function and methods of dealing with them, and the communication process has changed, becoming bilateral, reciprocal and interactive, after it was one-way and limited in circulation and the roles changed, so the receiver became the sender and reversed is correct, and the culture of the active user and the participant spread, and the communication process became continuous.
The international information network has provided new electronic channels in the media and communication that are not known and opened a new era for these means, which led to a trend towards digital media in an unprecedented way.
The new communication platforms are the re
في ظل العولمه و التقدم التكنولوجي الهائل و الصراعات الاقتصاديه و تنافس السوق في شتي المجالات اصبح يثق علي عاتق الاداره علي جميع المستويات المؤسسيه و جميع تخصصاتها الحمل الاكبر في مواكبه تلك التغيرات ، وحيث ان نظام التعليم ينتج لنا اجيال يجب ان تواكب تلك التغيرات لتتماشي مع متطلبات السوق الحالي و المستقبلي و نظام التعليم يعد احد اهم الركائز التي تستند عليه الموارد البشريه بالنسبه للدوله و اي مؤسسه ، و من هنا ب
... Show MoreBecause it is obligatory for every Muslim to pay attention to the jurisprudence of his religion in order to achieve goodness thereby
He is guided to the paths of light.
One of the most important topics of Islamic jurisprudence is marriage. Because it relates to the life of every member of society, the engagement is one of the prerequisites for marriage, and whatever is related to what is important is important. It also contains many matters and details, so we wanted to write a study in it that understands its tasks so that the Muslim is aware of his religion.
And let him stay away from situations and customs that contradict our true religion. We have adopted approved books that are widely circulated among the majo
... Show MoreNesrin Erbil, Çağdaş Türk şiirinin kıvançla söyliyebileceğimiz öncü bir isimdir. Gerçek aşk, ayrılık, üzüntü, sevgiliye hasretin yetiştirdiği ve olanaksızlıklara haykıran bir sesidir. O bir Türkcesine tüm zencirleri kıran engelleri aşan sevgiyle sevgiye ve sevgiliye koşan kendi başına bir yaratıcılıktır. Şiirleri Erbil kokar yumuşak saçının tellerini Altın Köprü suyuyla yıkamayı diler. Yüreği ise Gürgür Baba’dır Türkmen için yanar.
Nesrin Erbil, 1960 yılından sonra Irak’ta gelişen yeni Türk edebiyatı ve serbest şiir akımının en önde gelen temsilcisi olarak, büyük ilgi toplamıştır. Şiire karşı olan merak
... Show MoreThe eloquence assemblage, as it is appeared in this research, is the most prominent terms that
accompany the art. It includes the whole artworkand it does not stop at the borders of the
construction, but also extends to the material presented in this or that work. It means the
discovery of all that essential in the material presented and it is far away from what is
accidental and fleeting. Moreover, it is the type of pressure of the poetic status and the
familiarity with the material flowing subconsciously. It means that the clever poet masters his
language alongside with his discernment and intelligence framed by fast-witted. The semantic
assemblage within the technical construction means focusing on what embodies t