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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Tue Nov 29 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
A proposed form for the Combined Assurance report and its impact In achieving sustainable development in the Iraqi economic units
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Despite the importance of sustainable development and its dimensions in developing performance and supporting competitive advantage in economic units, there is a gap and lack of coordination between Combined Assurance  providers (management, internal audit, external audit) to report on sustainable development, and the research aims to propose a model for the Combined Assurance report to achieve development sustainable development in the Iraqi economic units, especially the Baghdad Municipality, enables assurance providers to coordinate efforts that lead to the achievement of Combined Assurance, The research found the proposed model for the Combined Assurance report in achieving sustainable development in the Iraqi economic units, es

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Publication Date
Tue Feb 05 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
The Concept of Value in De Saussair Linguistics and their Extension in the Book (Arabic Language, Its Meaning and Structure) by Tammam Hassan
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This research was distributed into two sections, the first section was concerned with the concept of value for De Saussair and its methodological impact on his linguistic structural conceptions with respect of the distinction between synchronism and diachronism, the value role of linking function between the sounds and the though, the basing of his theoretical conception on the language being a form and not a material according to this principle and the value impact on the demonstration that the linguistic element acquires its functional importance from the relations inside the language system. It also stopped at the methodological impact of value on defining the analytical linguistic unit and the value role in semantics through the prin

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Publication Date
Sat Dec 02 2017
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Mathematical Modeling for the Clarifier Units and Turbidity Parameters in AL-KARAMA Treatment Plant
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The high cost of chemical analysis of water has necessitated various researches into finding alternative method of determining portable water quality. This paper is aimed at modelling the turbidity value as a water quality parameter. Mathematical models for turbidity removal were developed based on the relationships between water turbidity and other water criteria. Results showed that the turbidity of water is the cumulative effect of the individual parameters/factors affecting the system. A model equation for the evaluation and prediction of a clarifier’s performance was developed:

Model: T = T0(-1.36729 + 0.037101∙10λpH + 0.048928t + 0.00741387∙alk)

The developed model will aid the predictiv

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Publication Date
Thu Dec 30 2021
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The omission of letters according to Zakaria al-Ansari in his book (Fath al-Rahman by revealing what is ambiguous in the Qur’an)
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Summary

The book (Fatah al-Rahman reveals what is ambiguous in the Qur’an), which is a book of verbal similarities that tries to touch the Qur’an expression, and the subtle differences between its expressions and expressions. It appeared when it appeared in many chapters, from which I chose to delete in monolithic letters such as Ba and Ta, and to heal and delete in non-monosymbols such as (that) and (may) and (no), so the search came to two chapters The first is for deleting the monolithic letters, and the second is for deleting non-monosyllabic letters, preceded by introductory discussions revolving around the linguistic and idiomatic definition of deletion, a brief translation of the

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Publication Date
Fri Feb 08 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
نظرة المجتمع إلى التقنیات الحدیثة في تنظیم الأسرة (دراسة نظریة في علم الاجتماع الطبي)
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Human use means of birth control in multiple ways including (Isolate
women) and (breast-feeding) and (with drawl) and was used on a small scale for
religious social and economic reasons, but after the industrial Revolution and the
increase in migration from the country side to the city and the over cowing of
population and the limited income and a women going out to work out side the
home and poor relations of the kinship and the weakness of religious morals and
the rule of the individualism and the complexity of life and the Multiplicity of
needs and goals and openness to western culture and the application of love and
spread the principle of democracy and freedom and deviant use of the media, all
this has hel

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Publication Date
Sat Mar 26 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The role of the marketing intelligence system in the quality of the insurance service : Applied research in the National Insurance Company
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The current research seeks to identify the role of the marketing intelligence system in its dimensions (customer intelligence, market intelligence, competitor intelligence, insurance product intelligence, sales representatives) and its reflection on improving the quality of the insurance service provided by the National Insurance Company represented in its dimensions (reliability, response, tangibility, Safety, the spirit of empathy, communication) adopted in the current research, and based on that, the research came as an attempt to find out the extent to which the research sample company can apply the approach of the marketing intelligence system and its impact on improving the quality of the insurance service provided to custo

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Publication Date
Sun Jul 03 2016
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
فاعلية برنامج GeoGebra في التحصيل وعادات العقل لدى طالبات الصف الثاني متوسط في الرياضيات
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This study aims to find the effectiveness of GeoGebra software in the achievement and habits of mind of eighth grade female students.

The research sample consisted of (62) students and divided into two groups.  The first one is the experimental group (35 students) and it was taught using GeoGebra software, and the second group is the standard group (27 students) and it was taught using the traditional method of teaching. Two multiple-choice-question tests were prepared, one of them tests the achievement (40 paragraphs) and the other tests the habits of mind (24 paragraphs) and comprises four habits of mind according to Costa and Kallick classificatio

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 14 2018
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
الاجازات الإجازات في كتاب ((غاية النهاية في طبقات القراء)) لابن الجزري (ت833هـ)/ دراسة منهجية
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يمثل ابن الجزري احد علمائنا الذين كان لهم دور في التطور الثقافي والحضاري الذي شهده العالم الإسلامي آنذاك، ويعد كتابه هذا منهلا غزيرا لطلاب العلم لدراسته من النواحي كافة، وتشكل الإجازات إحدى حلقات الوصل في تراجمه ولها أهميتها من الناحية المنهجية ولها دور كبير في رفد كتابه هذا بكثير من الموارد التي لها أساسها احتوت على مادة كتبت بخط المجيز كان لها أثرها في دعم منهجية الكتاب،والمادة التي تشعبت في ضوء هذا الات

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Publication Date
Sun Apr 17 2016
Journal Name
Al-academy
Expressionism in painting contemporary in Iraq Study features formalism: عبد الرزاق جبار رحيل الكناني
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In the present research is marked (expressive drawing in contemporary Iraq, the study of morphological features) eating expressive as the direction of modern art in the drawing for the period before and after World Wars I and II. And follow the tracks. And in research and investigation about the origins and sources and characteristics of expressionist painting at adult patrons and art gatherings, and the extent of their impact in the drawing for contemporary Iraqi sixties and seventies generation (generation of professors) and down to the younger generation in the eighties of the last century. Over the nearly two decades of history of fine movement in Iraq, a period specified in the search within the limits of temporal boundaries, and by

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Crossref
Publication Date
Sun Jul 07 2013
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
Effect of Using Computer in Getting and Remaining Information at Students of First Stage in Biology Subject
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Effect of Using Computer in Getting and Remaining Information at Students of First Stage in Biology Subject MIAAD NATHIM RASHEED LECTURER Abstract The recent research goal is to know the influence of computer use to earn and fulfillment information for students of first class in biology material and to achieve that put many of the zeroing hypothesis by researcher as follow: There were no differences between statistical signs at level (0,05) between the average students' marks who they were study by using computer and between the average student ' marks who they were study in classical method of earning and fulfillment. The researcher chose the intentional of the medical technical institute that included of two branches the first class (A

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