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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Sun Feb 28 2021
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
The impact of fun in the workplace In achieving internal marketing (Applied research)
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    The research aims to study the impact of the dimensions of fun in the workplace in achieving internal marketing And knowing the type of relationships That link the dimensions of fun in the workplace With each other, None of the researchers mentioned (to the researcher's knowledge) the link between fun in the workplace and internal marketing From this point of view the main objective is determined, which is to study the effect of fun in the workplace in internal marketing, The research was conducted at Al Salam Public Company for Communications and Information Technology The research community was represented by (308) employees of the aforementioned company , Where a random sample was selected tha

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Publication Date
Wed Sep 21 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of Planner And Development
The Role of Information Technologies in the Management and Sustainability of Land Use in Future Cities
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The most important contemporary issues which related to the survey of the influence of communication development technology to land use sustainability. The research aims to explain the changes that happened in the quality & land use activities performance by understanding the transformations due to modern technology and its impact on current uses and its impact on changing functional relationships between those uses to create new combinations or hybrid uses.Research will follow the analytical descriptive approach in presenting the problem of research. Research has several conclusions & recommendations, one of conclusions is the change of the place concept and its relation to changing the concept of land use and its sustai

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Publication Date
Sun Oct 07 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Educational And Psychological Researches
The Role of School in Promoting Intellectual Security of Students in Qurayyat Governorate
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The current study aimed to reveal the role of the high school (boys) in the Governorate of Qurayyat (KSA) in promoting intellectual security of students, and whether there were differences in the estimates of the study sample due to the variables; the current position, academic qualification, teaching specialization and years of experience. This study was conducted by applying the analytical descriptive method, and used questionnaire as a tool for data collection. The survey consisted of (44) ite

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Publication Date
Fri Dec 30 2022
Journal Name
Journal Of The College Of Education For Women
Military Arrangements for the Battle of Kadesh in 1274 BC During the Era of the New Kingdom
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The Battle of Kadesh is replete with many military arrangements that reflect the tremendous development of war preparations in the thirteenth century BC; where the expressive pictures the Egyptians left on some of the walls of their temples show the tremendous ability to organize and divide the forces and the great development that affected the war machine. Furthermore, the text accompanied these pictures reveal some news about that battle, which is considered one of the most important wars in the ancient world. Thus, the importance of the study lies in the fact that it examines one of the most important battles of the ancient Near East, the results of which had great repercussions on the region. This is because it is the most abundant B

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Publication Date
Tue Jun 25 2024
Journal Name
مجلة كلية التربية للبنات /الجامعة العراقية
أثر القران الكريم في الرؤيا الشعرية الجديدة في ديوان النابغة الجعدي
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يقف البحث الموسوم (أثر القرآن الكريم في الرؤيا الشعرية الجديدة في ديوان النابغة الجعدي) على العديد من الرؤى الشعرية التي ظهرت في ديوان الشاعر، والكشف عن التأثير القرآني على رؤيا الشاعر النابغة الجعدي. ولذلك صار من المنطقي أَنْ يقسم البحث إلى مبحثين: فكان المبحث الأول بعنوان: (الرؤيا الاجتماعية قبل نزول القرآن)، ثم يكون المبحث الثاني بعنوان (الرؤيا الشعرية الجديدة وأثر القرآن فيها. أهداف البحث: يسعى البحث للكشف

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Publication Date
Fri Mar 01 2024
Journal Name
مجلة الاداب الجامعة المستنصرية
منصة زوم ودورها في تقديم خدمات المعلومات في ضل جائحة كورونا
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Publication Date
Tue Jan 28 2020
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
نظام المعلومات التسويقي في شركات التأمين ودوره في اتخاذ القرارات التسويقية
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                   Seek Iraqi insurance companies to face the global changes today that may affect the overall performance of the company, it must find an effective means of providing everything you need company information, and by increasing attention to administrative operations in general, especially the marketing process, which from its core focus on activities related to elements of the marketing mix, as the success of any company in achieving the planned objectives, linked to its ability to make sound decisions in the context of the above elements, for the latter of great importance, especially if based on facts and indicators obtained from th

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Publication Date
Wed Jan 26 2022
Journal Name
Arab Science Heritage Journal
قراءة في الحوادث التاريخية في مخطوطة تحفة الأصحاب ونزهة ذوي الألباب
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The manuscript (Tuhfat al-Ashab wa Nuzhat al-Albab) by the author Ahmed bin Ibrahim al-Hanafi al-Srouji (d. 0ٓٔ AH / ٖٓٔٔ
AD), one of the important manuscripts because it is an encyclopedia characterized by the diversity of its topics

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Crossref
Publication Date
Mon Sep 30 2019
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
What Bukhari shortened to a bug in its attribution: (Applied study in the correct mosque)
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This study aims to show some of Imam Al-Bukhari's criticism of the Hadith from the Metn side, and part of his methodology in dealing with the correct hadiths that are tainted by a bug. This research focuses on what Imam Al-Bukhari summarized in his Sahih illusion of the narrator in his attribution, or uniqueness of the narrator, or to suggest a novel. We find that Bukhari sometimes abbreviates the hadeeth, and does not bring it out completely in his Sahih. He is satisfied with the abbreviated position but has done so because of a bug in it. The Bukhari usually does not declare his intention but knows this through tracking, inspection, and research of the correct hadiths.

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Publication Date
Fri Sep 30 2022
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
The efforts of scholars in the science of readings in the fifth century AH (450 AH - 500 AH).
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The sciences related to the Book of God are many, and the benefits of every science in it are abundant, and among those sciences is the science of readings, which is for the sake of science and the most honorable, due to its strong attachment to the Book of God Almighty. From this care, and aims to show the attention of scholars to the science of readings in general and the scholars of the fifth century in particular, as the literature on it abounded until it became the principal for those who came after them.

The research consists of an introduction that includes the objectives of the research, the reasons for choosing it, previous studies, research questions, and research terms, then a preface dealing with the im

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