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نمذجة السلاسل الزمنية التي تنتجها اجهزة الاحصاء الدولية وانتاج قيم تنبؤية لمتخذ القرار حالة دراسية : التنبؤ بالمساحة المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة (2015-2020
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تنفذ أجهزة اإلحصاء الدولية ومنها الجهاز المركزي لإلحصاء في العراقإحدى أجهزة وزارة التخطيط، تقوم بإجراء مسوح سنوية ودورية لإنتاج مؤشرات تقييم وتقويم أنشطة القطاعات الاقتصادية المختلفة. يتيح هذا الكم الهائل من البيانات بشكل سلسل زمني لهذه الأجهزة إنتاج مؤشرات جديدة، بما في ذلك القيم التنبؤية لمؤشرات رئيسية تستخدم في إعداد الخطط طويلة وقصيرة المدى. في عام 2015، قامت مديرية الإحصاء الزراعي في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء ببناء منظومة زمنية لمؤشرات الإحصاء الزراعي، وهذه خطوة أولى نحو بناء نماذج تنبؤية لهذه المؤشرات تساعدنا على رؤية مستقبلية. يهدف البحث إلى تحديد أفضل نموذج إحصائي للاستخدام في تنبؤ المساحات المزروعة لمحصول الذرة الصفراء في العراق للفترة 2015-2020 باستخدام بيانات السلسلة الزمنية للأعوام 1949-2014، بطول فترة 65 سنة. تم تطبيق أسلوب بوكس-جنكينز، وأظهرت النتائج أن النموذج الأنسب هو نموذج ARIMA (0,1,2) مقارنة بعدة نماذج أخرى باستخدام معايير إحصائية مختلفة لاختيار النموذج المناسب. توصي الدراسة وزارة الزراعة ووزارة التجارة بالاعتماد على القيم التنبؤية في إعداد الخطط الزراعية والتسويقية، وتوصي العاملين في الجهاز المركزي للإحصاء باعتماد هذا النموذج في تنبؤ مساحات المحاصيل واعتماد منهجية البحث في بناء نماذج تنبؤية لمؤشرات منظومة السلسلة الزمنية للإحصاءات الزراعية الأخرى.

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Publication Date
Wed Dec 31 2014
Journal Name
Al-khwarizmi Engineering Journal
Energy Saving of Heat Gain by Using Buried Pipe Inside a Roof
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Abstract

    This work deals with a numerical investigation to evaluate the utilization of a water pipe buried inside a roof to reduce the heat gain and minimize the transmission of heat energy inside the conditioning space in summer season.     The numerical results of this paper showed that the reduction in heat gain and energy saving could be occurred with specific values of parameters, like the number of pipes per square meter, the ratio of pipe diameter to the roof thickness, and the pipe inlet water temperature. Comparing with a normal roof (without pipes), the results indicated a significant reduction in energy heat gain which is about 37.8% when the number of pipes per m

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Publication Date
Thu May 04 2017
Journal Name
مؤتمر الإصلاحات التشريعية اساس النهوض بالواقع العراقي
الامتيازات الوظيفية في ضوء المتغيرات التشريعية (دراسة في القانون العراقي)
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Publication Date
Fri Dec 15 2023
Journal Name
Al-academy
The role of artificial intelligence in revolutionizing the clothing and textile industry
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 The integration of AI technologies is revolutionizing various aspects of the apparel and textile industry, from design and manufacturing to customer experience and sustainability. Through the use of artificial intelligence algorithms, workers in the apparel and textile industry can take advantage of a wealth of opportunities for innovation, efficiency and creativity.
The research aims to display the enormous potential of artificial intelligence in the clothing and textile industry through published articles related to the title of the research using the Google Scholar search engine. The research contributes to the development of the cultural thought of researchers, designers, merchants and the consumer with the importance of integ

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Publication Date
Sun Jan 02 2005
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
المعارضة في الاسلام
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المعارضة في الاسلام

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Publication Date
Mon Dec 01 2008
Journal Name
Political Sciences Journal
في المعادلة السياسية
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في المعادلة السياسية

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Publication Date
Wed May 17 2023
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Despondency in the Qur'an
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the door of interpretation cannot be closed; Because the Qur’an is a living message, until the Day of Judgment, and Muslims continue to come to it, study it, stir it up, move with it, and live in its shadows until the Day of Judgment.
In anticipation of the blessing of revelation and the lights of revelation, and in pursuit of the service of the Book of God, I decided to choose the subject of my research:

Despondency in the Qur’an an objective study

As the study of one of the topics of the Qur’an on the foundations and steps of objective interpretation makes the reader stand on the Qur’an’s method in dealing with various problems and topics.

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Publication Date
Mon Sep 30 2019
Journal Name
College Of Islamic Sciences
Exaggerating sentences
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The purpose of the description of the source in some grammarians is exaggeration, and many examples in the Koran, it is news of the source about the self, the Almighty says: What the Kufa gurus used to direct the description of the source on the interpretation of the derivative, and Basrah on the added estimate. The ancients and modernists agreed on the importance of the context of the sentence and its effect in raising the ambiguity, determining the meaning, and not content with the manifestation of the word and its connotations in isolation from the denominator. Raising and erecting in the adjective "means that the prescribed is known as a known fact or claim.

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Publication Date
Fri Jun 01 2012
Journal Name
Journal Of Economics And Administrative Sciences
Analysis of liquidity and profitability of general price level changes Applied Study State company for Glass and Ceramic industry
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     The accountants are preparing the financial statements under the Monetary Unit Stability Assumption without taking into consideration the changement of prices for the monetary unit. The income statement accounts containing different items of expenses and revenues. These items are not paid or obtained at one date, because the value of monetary unit is changing from one date to another , also the financial position contains different items of current and fixed assets, also contains different items of long-term liabilities and ownership rights, the continuity of applying historical cost principle will make the financial statements misleading, The adoption of financial analyst of these statements will affects

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Publication Date
Mon Feb 25 2019
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The effectiveness of the financial analysis in the statement of the ability of financial ratios in the detection of fraud in the financial reports of industrial companies
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This research after financial ratios in the detection of fraud to the financial statements published which enables specialists from the work of their studies and their conclusions to obtain the information they seek on the activities of the entity. Has provided researchers what these relics They then field study to test the validity and sincerity of the findings of the suggestions that have been upheld the need to study all financial ratios extracted in general, organized and used in decision-making processes necessary administrative.And that the financial management attention more financial analysis and extraction of financial ratios and compare them with industry standards taken from historical norms

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Publication Date
Sat Mar 01 2014
Journal Name
Journal Of Accounting And Financial Studies ( Jafs )
The annual regulations r0le in achieving justice in tax accounting in the field of income tax: Applied Research in the General Commission of Taxes
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The research gets its importance through the importance of the annual regulations in the taxation accounting and its efficiency  to fulfill accounting justice under the effect of  the financial changes and the truth of the activity of the taxable businesses .This through the problem of the research which is found in many objections about taxation accounting according to the annual regulations issued by the General Commission of Taxes , Their aim is to get the real benefits and to decrease the difference in opinions during the estimation to fulfill justice in distributing the burden of taxation .

The research expose many conclusions and recommendations  namely , the taxation justice fulfillment is not only in justic

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