The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
تعد فعالية دفع الثقل واحده من الفعاليات المميزة بألعاب القوى، وهي أحدى فعاليات الرمي الأربعة (رمي الرمح, رمي القرص, أطاحة المطرقة, دفع الثقل) وتطلب قدرات بدنية وقابليات حركية خاصة والتي تعتمد بشكل فعَال ومؤثر على النواحي البايوميكانيكية, خصوصا عندما يتعلق الأمر بذوي الأعاقة ومنهم فئة (40f) والذين يتمتعون بدعم كبير من المجتمع الدولي بصورة عامة وفي بلدانهم بصورة خاصة وأمكانية تطوير أنجازاتهم لرفع أسم بلدانه
... Show Moreهدف البحث إلى بناء مقياس التفكير المنتج بالجمناستك لطالبات، وأعتمد المنهج الوصفي بأسلوب العلاقات الارتباطية على عينة من طالبات المرحلة الثانية في كلية التربية البدنية وعلوم الرياضة للبنات/جامعة بغداد للعام الدراسي (2023/2024) البالغ عددهن الكلي (38) طالبة، وتم اختيار العينة بطريقة عمدياً بأسلوب الحصر الشامل بنسبة (100%) من المجتمع الأصل، واختير منهن (5) طالبات عشوائياً للعينة الاستطلاعية، وتم معالجة النتائج أل
... Show Moreإننا نتحدث عن عناصر السرعة مهمة وهي السرعة الانتقالية للأطراف السفلى والسرعة الحركية للذراع المسلحة والسرعة الحركية للطعن وسرعة رد الفعل وسرعة الاستجابة في أداء واحد او ما يسمى بالسرعة التفاعلية؛ لذا هدفت الدراسة الى اعداد تدريبات خاصة تتميز بتمازج أنواع السرعة التي تحتاجها رياضة المبارزة في أداء واحد ومن ثم معرفة تأثير تلك التدريبات في تطوير بعض الجمل الحركية في سلاح الشيش وقد استعمل المنهج التجريبي
... Show MoreThe technology in continuous and quick development, that reflects in all parts of our life and interred both scientific and practical fields. Marketing is one of them, a customer’s way to deal with choosing and demanding the product deferent from the traditional way. Some of the buying processes are electronic now, therefore the current research is identifying the digital channels that entered the world of marketing and influenced the activities and types that fall under this name and how it affects in positioning strategy, which is how to install the product or brand in the mind of the customer and was dimensions (brand identity, brand personality, brand communication, brand awareness, brand image), The researcher took t
... Show MoreThe phenomenon of spatial variation in the economic, social and urban development levels is considered prevalent in most of the economic and social systems,this relates to the concentration of most of those activities in certain regions and because of their rarity in other regions , that led to the emergence of the problem of the sharp contrast between the most developed areas and least developed areas within the same region or within the regions of the same country,
Reduction of this variables , in addition to the development of areas through following up and relying on an effective regional development enabling to reduce unemployment as well as to stop the migration of the unplanned for population,
And the ideal use of available
The general budget is usually linked to the role of the state in public life and economic activity, whether this role is neutral or interventionist and thus reflects the general objectives that the state seeks to achieve.
for importance of the public budget in clarifying the image of the political state philosophy and its objectives it seeks to achieve on the one hand and clarifying the degree and rank it occupies in the ladder of development among the other countries. This study is intended to highlight the concepts of the general budget and how its concept has evolved since the Middle Ages. Of the importance of the general budget in Iraq was not based on scientific and objective and then the study
... Show Moreﺔﻴﻋﺍﺫﻹﺍ ﺕﺎﻴﻨﻘﺘﻟﺍ ﻡﺍﺪﺨﺘﺳﺍ ﰲ ﲑﺒﻛ ﺭﻮﻄﺗ ﻦﻣ ﻝﺎﺼﺗﻻﺍ ﺮﺼﻋ ﻩﺪﻬﺷ ﻱﺬﻟﺍ ﺖﻗﻮﻟﺍ ﰲ ﺔﻴﻧﻮﻳﺰﻔﻠﺘﻟﺍﻭ ﺍ ﺢﺴﻓ ﰲ ﻢﻬﺳﺃ ﺕﺎﻄﶈﺍ ﺀﺍﻮﺳ ﺔﻴﻧﻮﻳﺰﻔﻠﺘﻟﺍ ﺕﺍﻮﻨﻘﻟﺍ ﺚﺒﻟ ﻊﺳﺍﻮﻟﺍ ﻝﺎ ( ﺔﻴﺿﺭﻷﺍ ﺔﻴﻠﺑﺎﻜﻟﺍ ﻭﺃ ﺔﻴﺋﺎﻀﻔﻟﺍ ﻭﺃ ( ﱵﻟﺍ ﺔﺻﺎﳋﺍ ﺔﻴﺋﺎﻀﻔﻟﺍ ﺕﺍﻮﻨﻘﻟﺍ ﻦﻣ ﺪﻳﺪﻌﻟﺍ ﺭﻮﻬﻇ ﰲ ﺎﻀﻳﺃ ﺪﻋﺎﺳ ﺎﳑﻭ ، ﺕﺎﻴﺋﺎﻀﻔﻟﺍ ﺭﻮﻬﻇ ﻚﻟﺫ ﻞﺒﻗ ﺩﺎﺳ ﻥﺃ ﺪﻌﺑ ﺔﻴﻣﻮﻜﺣ ﲑﻏ ﺕﺎﻴﻌﲨ ﻭ
... Show MoreObjective: to evaluate body image and depression symptoms of children with precocious puberty, and find out association between children`s sociodemographic characteristics and their body image and depression signs. Methodology: A cross sectional study, sample of (80) child from both gender, > 7 years were included due to their ability to express their own feeling, diagnosed with precocious puberty, attending out-patient endocrine clinics at pediatric hospitals in Baghdad city. Data collected, during the period from May to November 2018. Consent form has taken from children and their guardians to participate in study. Child body image scale (CBIS) was used to evaluate children body satisfaction (1) and Mood and feeling questionnaire (M
... Show MoreAbstract
The Non - Homogeneous Poisson process is considered as one of the statistical subjects which had an importance in other sciences and a large application in different areas as waiting raws and rectifiable systems method , computer and communication systems and the theory of reliability and many other, also it used in modeling the phenomenon that occurred by unfixed way over time (all events that changed by time).
This research deals with some of the basic concepts that are related to the Non - Homogeneous Poisson process , This research carried out two models of the Non - Homogeneous Poisson process which are the power law model , and Musa –okumto , to estimate th
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