The grey system model GM(1,1) is the model of the prediction of the time series and the basis of the grey theory. This research presents the methods for estimating parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the accumulative method (ACC), the exponential method (EXP), modified exponential method (Mod EXP) and the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO). These methods were compared based on the Mean square error (MSE) and the Mean Absolute percentage error (MAPE) as a basis comparator and the simulation method was adopted for the best of the four methods, The best method was obtained and then applied to real data. This data represents the consumption rate of two types of oils a heavy fuel (HFO) and diesel fuel (D.O) and the use of tests to confirm the accuracy of the grey model. After obtaining the results, the best method to estimate the parameters of the grey model GM(1,1) is the method of the Particle Swarm Optimization method (PSO) It has been used to treatment the missing values in the data and in the prediction where it has been shown to have the best results
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هةست دةكريَت كة ليَكؤلَينةوة و شيكردنةوةي زمانةواني بة رِيَبازي نويَ لة زماني كورديدا لة هةنديَ رووةوة بةرضاودةكةون،وةك لة ئاستةكاني(وشةسازي،رِستةسازي،واتاسازي)دا،سةرةرِاي ئةوةش لة هةنديَ لايةنةوة زؤر هةذار و سادة و ساكارة،وةكو ثيَويست ئاورِي ليَ نةدراوةتةوة،بؤية دةبيَت بايةخ و طرنطي بةلايةنة شاراوةكان و باس نةكراوةكاني بدريَت،زمانى كوردى بةطويَرةى ئةوةى س
... Show Moreزمانةوانة بونيادطةرة ئةمريكييةكان لة نيَوانى سالاَنى ( 1925 – 1945 ) بةتيَثةرِبووكات تيؤرى ( فؤنيم)يان ضةسثاند ،بةم جؤرة زمانةوانةكان ئاراستةى كاريان بةرةو مؤرفؤلؤذى طؤرِى بؤية ماوةى نيَوان سالاَنى ( 1940 –1960 ) ليَكؤلَينةوةى مؤرفؤلؤذى بووة خالَى بنةرِةتى (1 ) . جيَى ئاماذةية كة ئةو كةم و كورتيانةى كة لة ثيَناسةى وشةدا دةركةوت هؤكاريَكى سةرةكى بوون بؤ ئةوةى بةدواى جيَطرةوةيةك بطةرِيَن ، كة ئةويش ضةمكى مؤرفيم بو
... Show MoreThis current study was built on creating four electrodes based on molecularly imprinted polymers (MIPs). As the template using Cefalexin (CFX), 1-vinyl imidazole (VIZ) and vinyl acetate (VA) as monomer, and N, N-methylene bis acrylamide (MBAA) as cross-linkers and benzoyl peroxide as the initiator, two MIPs were prepared. The same composition was used in non-impressed polymers (NIPs) preparation, but without the template (Cefalexin). For the membranes preparation, numerous plasticizers, such as tri-oly phosphate (TOP) and di-octyl phthalate (DOP), were used in the PVC matrix, slop, detection limit, lifetime, and linearity range of CFX-MIPs electrodes are characteristics &nb
... Show MoreThis study aimed to study the inhibition activity of purified bacteriocin produced from the local isolation Lactococcuslactis ssp. lactis against pathogenic bacteria species isolated from clinical samples in some hospitals Baghdad city. Screening of L. lactis ssp. Lactis and isolated from the intestines fish and raw milk was performed in well diffusion method. The results showed that L. lactis ssp. lactis (Lc4) was the most efficient isolate in producing the bacteriocin as well observed inhibitory activity the increased that companied with the concentration, the concentration of the twice filtrate was better in obtaining higher inhibition diameters compared to the one-fold concentration. The concentrate
... Show MoreIn this work, the possibility to use new suggested carriers (D= Aspirin, Ibuprofen, Paracetamol, Tramal) is discussed for diclofenac drug (voltarine) by using quantum mechanics calculations. The calculation methods (PM3) and (DFT) have been used for determination the reaction path of (O-D) bond rupture energies. Different groups of drugs as a carrier for diclofenac prodrugs (in a vacuum) have been used; at their optimized geometries. The calculations included the geometrical structure and some of the physical properties, in addition to the toxicity, biological activity, and NLO properties of the prodrugs, investigated using HF method. The calculations were done by Gaussian 09 program. The comparison was made for total energies of reactan
... Show MoreThe techniques of fractional calculus are applied successfully in many branches of science and engineering, one of the techniques is the Elzaki Adomian decomposition method (EADM), which researchers did not study with the fractional derivative of Caputo Fabrizio. This work aims to study the Elzaki Adomian decomposition method (EADM) to solve fractional differential equations with the Caputo-Fabrizio derivative. We presented the algorithm of this method with the CF operator and discussed its convergence by using the method of the Cauchy series then, the method has applied to solve Burger, heat-like, and, couped Burger equations with the Caputo -Fabrizio operator. To conclude the method was convergent and effective for solving this type of
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